Comfortable-Eviction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$494

Unrealized P&L

+$73

Hit rate

96.2%

Resolved

Trades

971

lifetime

Volume

$39.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

$739

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-22 02:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

57% 100% +$502

Politics

38% 0% $-14

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

2% 100% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	+513	$435	73¢	$375	$-60	06-22 02:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	+200	$170	99¢	$198	+$28	06-18 21:04
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	+80	$54	100¢	$80	+$25	06-11 11:41
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+87	$67	84¢	$73	+$6	06-01 17:10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	-10	$-9	86¢	$-9	+$0	06-15 15:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	-682	$-79	1¢	$-5	+$74	06-18 19:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	7	$1.4K	1,151	1,151	+0	open	—	01-30 18:19
hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	2	$1.4K	762	759	+2	open	—	04-12 21:26
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	7	$1.3K	773	773	+0	open	—	04-12 18:37
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	12	$1.3K	3,028	3,028	+0	open	—	04-05 01:54
nothing ever happens january 581	20	$1.1K	1,067	1,064	+3	open	—	01-24 20:57
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	16	$926	700	700	+0	open	—	03-23 17:34
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	26	$849	1,081	1,021	+60	open	—	03-24 21:52
will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 188 769 669 728 992	8	$811	945	236	+709	open	—	02-03 01:27
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	3	$798	973	973	+0	open	—	03-22 17:33
will the government shutdown last 14 days or more 343 693 775 861 153	8	$791	537	537	+0	open	—	02-03 00:37
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	17	$744	1,137	121	+1,016	Yes	+$502	04-16 16:00
us downs a mexican cartel drone by march 31	14	$705	515	750	-235	open	—	03-14 13:07
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	9	$678	5,469	3,722	+1,747	open	—	03-26 12:23
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	6	$642	805	905	-100	open	—	03-22 18:12
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	8	$637	893	893	+0	open	—	03-06 14:50
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	11	$625	759	759	+0	open	—	03-03 04:18
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	5	$600	344	344	+0	open	—	03-04 01:36
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by march 31	10	$594	886	5	+881	open	—	02-25 22:21
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	7	$575	320	320	+0	open	—	05-20 21:54
houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	7	$564	339	339	+0	open	—	04-01 03:48
Nothing Ever Happens: March	7	$530	446	446	+0	open	—	03-04 18:24
will crude oil cl hit high 75 by end of march 216 621 736 725 922 826 757	8	$523	563	563	+0	open	—	03-05 18:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	4	$492	950	1,432	-482	open	—	06-18 21:04
nothing ever happens february 452	5	$475	1,127	0	+1,127	open	—	02-05 22:58
iran leadership change by march 31	5	$452	1,192	1,192	+0	open	—	03-16 19:52
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	6	$435	513	0	+513	open	—	06-22 02:21
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	6	$423	543	0	+543	open	—	05-30 12:12
will bitcoin dip to 65k in february 2026 372 697	2	$418	331	331	+0	open	—	02-05 16:50
will john cornyn win the first round of the republican senate primary election in texas	13	$386	247	247	+0	open	—	03-04 17:08
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$366	300	300	+0	open	—	03-04 19:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 02:22:07	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0xb1aca6…
06-22 02:21:59	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x08b055…
06-19 20:12:16	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0x1eb5cc…
06-19 16:20:02	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	BUY	15	74¢	$12	0x0f16fe…
06-18 21:04:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x5aa760…
06-18 19:54:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	40	36¢	$14	0xab5312…
06-18 19:53:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	299	56¢	$167	0x66c768…
06-18 19:53:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1,432	14¢	$200	0x2e18f3…
06-18 15:30:41	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	125	87¢	$109	0x91b6ea…
06-18 06:58:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	150	17¢	$26	0x322467…
06-17 19:27:32	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	96	86¢	$82	0xfd8a8f…
06-17 19:12:41	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xb29bf5…
06-17 19:12:40	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x4ef11a…
06-17 19:10:35	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x4aade1…
06-17 19:10:35	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x3283ae…
06-17 19:10:34	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xd3d9ee…
06-17 19:10:34	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x526725…
06-17 19:10:34	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x42ea1b…
06-17 19:10:32	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x710cb0…
06-17 19:10:31	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xfdb4fd…
06-17 19:10:31	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xb4660e…
06-17 19:10:31	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xae229d…
06-17 19:10:31	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x8316e8…
06-17 19:10:29	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xdad56e…
06-17 19:10:29	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xbf6b2c…
06-17 19:10:29	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x8ed7e1…
06-17 19:10:29	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x455144…
06-17 19:10:29	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x349ab5…
06-17 19:10:28	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xfb20db…
06-17 19:10:26	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xbea530…
06-17 19:05:38	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x12e489…
06-17 13:46:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	40	39¢	$16	0x84072a…
06-17 13:45:10	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x7bac83…
06-17 13:44:43	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xfb47cf…
06-15 18:03:18	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0x0af8ef…
06-15 15:43:12	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	SELL	70	50¢	$35	0xa48e23…
06-15 15:28:51	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	61	81¢	$49	0x31d69f…
06-15 15:25:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0xf05865…
06-15 13:28:49	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	SELL	30	50¢	$15	0x89a4b0…
06-14 22:03:07	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	SELL	35	13¢	$5	0x5c3079…
06-14 18:02:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	600	16¢	$96	0x00d740…
06-14 18:02:10	nothing ever happens june 20260601234950501	Nothing	SELL	90	91¢	$82	0xaec3cb…
06-14 18:01:55	nothing ever happens june 20260601234950501	Nothing	SELL	30	92¢	$28	0x59d48a…
06-13 06:38:21	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	90	83¢	$75	0x1e5ef0…
06-11 11:41:21	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	80	68¢	$54	0x6e746f…
06-09 17:05:55	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	54	59¢	$32	0x9e07d7…
06-09 17:05:21	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x3e11aa…
06-08 16:30:00	nothing ever happens june 20260601234950501	Nothing	BUY	32	89¢	$28	0x498a05…
06-06 15:24:49	nothing ever happens june 20260601234950501	Nothing	BUY	18	88¢	$16	0x614a05…
06-05 18:43:40	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	48	70¢	$33	0x955c1f…
06-05 15:19:33	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	BUY	54	80¢	$43	0xef47b5…
06-05 08:58:13	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	92	27¢	$25	0x8609ae…
06-05 07:28:34	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	27¢	$2	0x8eed27…
06-05 05:14:54	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x887311…
06-05 03:03:13	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	47	27¢	$13	0xc08af8…
06-05 02:13:33	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	51	27¢	$14	0x5f0944…
06-04 23:21:34	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x454304…
06-04 17:25:01	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	200	93¢	$186	0xe396f7…
06-04 01:51:07	nothing ever happens june 20260601234950501	Nothing	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xfbfe05…
06-03 17:30:28	Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	81	69¢	$56	0x8b0960…
06-03 17:21:21	Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0x0ceb9e…
06-03 17:09:48	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	30	80¢	$24	0xbcad4c…
06-03 16:59:36	Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	27	69¢	$19	0x8b96f6…
06-03 16:38:54	Nothing Ever Happens: June	Nothing	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x071b74…
06-03 16:38:25	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0xf25a48…
06-03 16:35:55	Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x3b8ac9…
06-03 15:27:34	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x961da1…
06-03 15:04:00	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0xbf51a5…
06-03 14:19:19	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x06f252…
06-02 19:38:15	Nothing Ever Happens: June	Nothing	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x3be270…
06-02 17:38:26	Nothing Ever Happens: June	Nothing	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xd51f50…
06-01 20:23:52	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?	No	BUY	81	19¢	$15	0x96d33a…
06-01 17:52:39	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?	No	BUY	19	19¢	$4	0x9643a3…
06-01 17:10:23	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	77¢	$67	0xd542cd…
06-01 17:01:27	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0xf28c9b…
06-01 16:58:11	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	80	68¢	$54	0x71ed31…
06-01 16:42:46	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?	No	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0xb3687e…
06-01 16:38:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	299	36¢	$108	0x3d2819…
06-01 16:31:00	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	195	53¢	$103	0x81b923…
06-01 16:30:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x6fbbcc…
06-01 13:24:08	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	No	BUY	200	28¢	$56	0x1bb9ce…
06-01 12:38:35	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	No	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0xc5b1b8…
05-30 12:12:19	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	154	96¢	$147	0x2e88eb…
05-29 19:42:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x0f11f8…
05-29 14:26:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	BUY	28	70¢	$19	0x9f6611…
05-29 14:26:07	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x05db71…
05-29 14:20:23	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	BUY	19	70¢	$13	0x15362a…
05-29 14:06:05	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x4793bd…
05-29 02:18:58	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	No	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x425232…
05-28 21:13:50	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	42	94¢	$39	0x0eaf70…
05-27 02:10:37	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	149	98¢	$147	0x7ef90e…
05-25 22:33:36	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0xe55316…
05-24 03:25:07	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xa71a0f…
05-21 14:43:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x613d4b…
05-21 02:14:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	110	69¢	$76	0x12b5c6…
05-21 02:13:55	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0xd8a614…
05-20 21:54:52	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	No	SELL	250	96¢	$240	0xda8144…
05-20 21:24:37	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9d8696…
05-20 20:41:27	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	97	70¢	$68	0xbbb055…
05-20 20:38:02	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	No	SELL	70	96¢	$67	0x2a6bbd…