Imaginary-Satire 0xe6aa99…bc993c
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$130
Unrealized P&L
+$545
Hit rate
98.8%
Resolved
2
Trades
676
lifetime
Volume
$74.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$110
Open exposure
$3.00K
11 positions
First seen
2026-03-04
last 07-24 01:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
54% — —
Politics
46% 100% +$137
Sports
0% 0% $-7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +755 $522 78¢ $589 +$67 07-15 08:25
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +570 $490 92¢ $522 +$32 06-30 20:17
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +625 $466 79¢ $494 +$28 07-23 13:50
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +521 $220 71¢ $370 +$150 06-18 17:24
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +545 $252 66¢ $363 +$110 06-15 23:18
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -249 $-217 86¢ $-213 +$4 07-19 16:55
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +180 $130 80¢ $143 +$13 07-05 02:41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -183 $-296 70¢ $-129 +$167 07-19 20:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +200 $126 52¢ $103 $-23 07-08 04:14
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -83 $-67 84¢ $-70 $-3 06-08 10:34
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -1 $-1 95¢ $-1 $-0 06-14 11:29