Imaginary-Satire — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.29K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.28K

Hit rate

90.6%

Resolved

104

Trades

914

lifetime

Volume

$100.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$110

Open exposure

$5.15K

10 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 10-22 21:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Other

57% 86% +$3,226

Politics

43% 62% +$104

Sports

0% 18% -$36

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	+1,831	$1,735	97¢	$1.8K	+$49	10-09 18:06
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	+857	$408	92¢	$784	+$376	06-15 23:18
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	+721	$310	96¢	$695	+$385	06-18 17:24
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+586	$269	92¢	$536	+$267	08-30 19:33
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	+500	$423	97¢	$486	+$63	09-10 23:18
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	+500	$194	96¢	$482	+$288	07-31 22:45
will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	No	+200	$162	98¢	$197	+$35	08-16 20:26
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	+200	$128	92¢	$185	+$57	08-03 20:42
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	-1	-$1	99¢	$-1	$0	06-14 11:29
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	$242	23¢	$0	-$242	10-22 21:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	40	$7.6K	5,077	5,077	+0	No	+$694	04-25 17:43
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	37	$6.1K	3,263	3,263	+0	No	+$241	04-16 03:30
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	30	$5.2K	2,864	2,864	+0	No	+$417	04-28 15:05
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	44	$4.9K	3,035	2,409	+626	No	+$353	05-28 18:40
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	20	$4.5K	3,161	2,575	+586	open	—	08-30 19:33
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	19	$3.7K	2,065	2,065	+0	No	+$222	07-05 22:07
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	20	$3.4K	1,916	1,916	+0	No	+$282	06-21 15:28
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	20	$3.1K	1,489	1,839	-350	No	+$172	06-18 11:29
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	7	$2.4K	1,268	1,268	+0	No	+$101	03-31 15:47
iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	9	$2.3K	1,295	1,295	+0	No	+$207	07-06 07:09
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	16	$2.2K	2,100	269	+1,831	open	—	10-09 18:06
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	63	$2.2K	2,018	743	+1,275	No	+$204	09-10 07:33
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	12	$2.2K	1,175	1,175	+0	No	+$121	05-15 14:40
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?	10	$2.1K	1,142	1,142	+0	No	+$104	06-23 03:07
Iran leadership change by May 31?	21	$2.0K	1,070	1,070	+0	No	+$120	05-28 09:48
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	13	$1.9K	1,050	1,050	+0	No	+$211	08-01 03:23
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	7	$1.6K	0	1,696	-1,696	No	-$87	05-21 11:15
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	12	$1.5K	1,055	1,055	+0	open	—	10-12 16:12
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	15	$1.5K	1,400	350	+1,050	No	+$147	07-14 20:07
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	6	$1.5K	790	790	+0	No	+$71	05-18 13:44
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	23	$1.5K	784	784	+0	No	+$75	06-05 10:45
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	7	$1.4K	800	800	+0	No	+$158	08-28 04:38
us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	6	$1.4K	800	800	+0	No	+$139	07-24 01:07
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	8	$1.3K	970	470	+500	No	+$87	06-27 13:21
israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	12	$1.3K	700	700	+0	No	+$68	07-14 20:36
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?	3	$1.3K	650	650	+0	No	+$15	09-20 16:33
us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	17	$1.2K	904	464	+440	No	+$120	07-27 11:31
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	5	$1.1K	600	600	+0	No	+$57	08-31 21:09
Iran leadership change by June 30?	4	$1.1K	620	620	+0	No	+$69	06-10 08:42
Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?	6	$1.0K	1,103	0	+1,103	No	+$58	08-30 01:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 21:36:12	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	35¢	$3	0x100d8a…
10-22 21:36:09	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	220	35¢	$77	0xd14fdc…
10-22 21:36:09	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xc89b79…
10-22 21:36:08	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	226	35¢	$79	0xa6087c…
10-22 21:36:08	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	235	35¢	$82	0x069c7c…
10-22 06:43:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	200	11¢	$22	0x555423…
10-12 16:12:00	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	805	78¢	$628	0x97ac12…
10-09 18:06:31	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x234888…
10-09 17:51:10	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5da64b…
10-09 16:50:40	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	362	95¢	$344	0x67d4f9…
10-09 15:48:33	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	96	95¢	$91	0x627386…
10-09 09:52:27	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x46c8be…
10-09 09:37:54	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	738	95¢	$701	0xb273f4…
10-03 15:50:59	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	250	73¢	$182	0x54ddc7…
09-22 21:43:44	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	BUY	400	90¢	$360	0xc1817d…
09-22 21:42:03	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	BUY	400	91¢	$364	0x177cf8…
09-20 16:33:37	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?	No	SELL	650	100¢	$649	0x63f1ed…
09-11 13:07:46	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	393	93¢	$365	0xb4ff7c…
09-11 11:54:33	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	29	93¢	$27	0x7b3a8c…
09-11 10:56:54	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	300	93¢	$279	0xd0502b…
09-11 08:44:09	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0x356ef6…
09-11 08:22:16	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x28309a…
09-11 06:49:28	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x03a0ac…
09-11 05:30:19	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	89	93¢	$83	0xff41f1…
09-11 01:51:25	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	36	93¢	$34	0xd78436…
09-10 23:18:57	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	BUY	498	86¢	$428	0x941432…
09-10 21:44:16	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?	No	BUY	250	97¢	$243	0x7223e2…
09-10 17:49:18	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?	No	BUY	400	98¢	$392	0x45f33d…
09-10 07:33:43	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	21	92¢	$19	0xa63966…
09-10 03:31:58	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	379	92¢	$349	0x7b3356…
09-07 21:35:07	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	SELL	1,060	6¢	$64	0x4c59df…
09-06 12:33:52	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	250	95¢	$237	0xa56c87…
09-04 02:51:43	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x34e6dc…
09-03 08:47:03	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	No	BUY	300	98¢	$293	0xd733da…
09-03 03:31:18	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xf14a2c…
09-03 03:31:18	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xd6e97e…
09-02 22:48:39	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	98	89¢	$87	0x0079e5…
09-02 22:34:43	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	245	60¢	$148	0x7ad1e3…
09-02 22:12:33	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x864103…
09-02 21:56:43	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x401193…
09-02 20:19:51	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0x0114c2…
09-02 05:31:49	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x540ee2…
09-01 16:29:07	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	300	91¢	$273	0x2b73b1…
08-31 21:09:31	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	No	SELL	600	100¢	$599	0x6c345c…
08-30 19:33:36	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0x83e547…
08-30 19:22:16	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$11	0xb8fb65…
08-30 19:22:12	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	Yes	SELL	300	6¢	$18	0xdb064b…
08-30 19:22:10	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	23	93¢	$21	0x248cac…
08-30 19:22:09	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	366	93¢	$340	0x21b802…
08-30 01:13:51	Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?	No	BUY	323	93¢	$300	0x25a869…
08-29 23:01:03	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x2376aa…
08-29 05:49:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	300	56¢	$168	0x14e17f…
08-28 04:38:22	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	No	SELL	800	100¢	$799	0x8d1f35…
08-26 23:09:15	Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?	No	BUY	580	97¢	$563	0xc95a02…
08-23 05:58:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	600	83¢	$498	0xb4be9f…
08-22 22:20:21	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	Yes	BUY	300	76¢	$228	0xed5d19…
08-21 22:05:36	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	80	95¢	$76	0x9bb46a…
08-21 18:52:48	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	109	95¢	$104	0x6d53d7…
08-21 18:44:13	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6abe7b…
08-21 18:19:00	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	106	95¢	$101	0x59302c…
08-21 17:59:03	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x7b08ea…
08-18 23:19:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0xf03ff5…
08-18 22:56:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xe20e3b…
08-18 22:34:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xf79892…
08-18 22:33:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	199	70¢	$139	0x204bff…
08-18 22:32:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0x6b97a6…
08-18 22:32:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	68	70¢	$48	0x633f99…
08-16 20:26:42	will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	No	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0xfa3002…
08-14 11:37:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x889dfa…
08-14 07:10:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	200	80¢	$161	0x1d31cd…
08-12 06:49:52	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742051	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xe58e8d…
08-11 15:21:19	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742051	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xe3b946…
08-11 11:05:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x31bc32…
08-11 11:04:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x947849…
08-10 21:15:15	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	470	92¢	$433	0xa904eb…
08-10 21:14:49	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	30	92¢	$27	0xa30d9c…
08-10 19:37:03	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742051	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x6ef1a9…
08-10 18:49:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	239	89¢	$213	0x77bbf5…
08-10 18:49:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0xe559d1…
08-10 15:11:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	16	89¢	$14	0x42fd8a…
08-09 20:38:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0xbafe2e…
08-09 20:37:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	292	92¢	$269	0xc31b7c…
08-07 22:29:12	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x2802fa…
08-07 12:36:34	iran leadership change by august 31 669	No	BUY	111	93¢	$103	0x78b6a7…
08-07 10:34:28	iran leadership change by august 31 669	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x145aff…
08-07 10:29:25	iran leadership change by august 31 669	No	BUY	74	93¢	$69	0x6e6250…
08-06 12:23:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	400	81¢	$324	0x894c7a…
08-04 22:29:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	636	83¢	$528	0x669c4d…
08-03 20:42:23	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	24	64¢	$16	0x5b23dd…
08-03 20:40:29	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	56	64¢	$36	0x7ee488…
08-03 20:38:11	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	120	64¢	$77	0xcae8d9…
08-02 15:49:39	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0xb912ae…
08-02 15:36:02	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	285	87¢	$248	0x91d163…
08-02 13:39:23	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	77	91¢	$70	0x7a2b2f…
08-02 13:33:48	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	56	91¢	$51	0x8db489…
08-02 13:23:11	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xaad8aa…
08-02 13:12:21	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	56	91¢	$51	0x0c99b5…
08-01 20:20:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x296eee…
08-01 19:08:05	iran leadership change by august 31 669	No	BUY	300	95¢	$284	0x031afa…
08-01 03:23:00	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	622	100¢	$622	0xfe9809…