Realized P&L
+$4.29K
Unrealized P&L
-$48
Hit rate
67.4%
Resolved
118
Trades
687
lifetime
Volume
$81.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$119
Open exposure
$1.36K
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-27 20:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 63 days
Categories
Politics
85% 38% +$5,516
Other
14% 32% -$1,190
Crypto
0% 43% -$184
Tech
0% 100% +$144
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -3,000 -$570 18¢ $-555 +$15 05-25 14:41
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +578 $271 50¢ $286 +$15 10-08 13:47
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +600 $198 34¢ $201 +$3 10-23 22:35
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +2,000 $260 10¢ $190 -$70 09-30 08:21
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -754 -$45 6¢ $-49 -$4 09-18 00:01
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +500 $45 8¢ $42 -$3 10-24 08:44
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,297 $18 2¢ $30 +$12 10-27 12:11
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? Yes +187 $25 4¢ $7 -$18 10-27 20:07