Realized P&L
-$9
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
3.8%
Resolved
4
Trades
374
lifetime
Volume
$5.56K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$6
8 positions
First seen
2026-02-25
last 06-30 10:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
40% 0% $-12
Politics
40%
Crypto
20% 100% +$3
Sports
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +5 $1 26¢ $1 +$0 06-08 06:06
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +7 $1 15¢ $1 $-0 06-09 05:23
China x Japan military clash before 2027? Yes +10 $1 $1 $-0 06-09 01:08
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Yes +7 $1 12¢ $1 $-0 06-09 01:05
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes +12 $1 $1 $-0 06-17 22:54
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +14 $1 $1 $-0 06-09 01:32
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? Yes +14 $1 $0 $-1 06-09 01:37
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31? No +100 $0 $0 $-0 06-15 21:31