Realized P&L
-$9
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
3.8%
Resolved
4
Trades
374
lifetime
Volume
$5.56K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$7
13 positions
First seen
2026-02-25
last 06-30 10:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
40% 0% $-12
Politics
40%
Crypto
20% 100% +$3
Sports
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +7 $1 20¢ $1 +$0 06-09 05:23
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Yes +7 $1 13¢ $1 $-0 06-09 01:05
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +14 $1 $1 $-0 06-09 01:32
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes +12 $1 $1 $-0 06-17 22:54
China x Japan military clash before 2027? Yes +10 $1 $1 $-0 06-09 01:08
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? Yes +14 $1 $1 $-0 06-09 01:37
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30? Yes +100 $0 $0 +$0 06-05 16:56
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +5 $1 10¢ $0 $-1 06-08 06:06
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30? Yes +14 $1 $0 $-1 06-10 07:17
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31? No +100 $0 $0 $-0 06-15 21:31
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? Yes +33 $1 $0 $-1 06-16 11:10
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? No +50 $1 $0 $-1 06-08 06:03
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +3 $1 $0 $-1 06-08 03:33