Automatic-Caravan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

3.8%

Resolved

Trades

380

lifetime

Volume

$5.57K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 08-10 08:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

40% 0% $-12

Politics

40% — —

Crypto

20% 100% +$3

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	4	$968	1,021	721	+300	open	—	06-01 22:27
Canada recession before 2027?	7	$942	867	567	+300	open	—	05-29 19:43
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	14	$871	104,671	104,358	+313	open	—	04-30 02:57
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	9	$329	22,657	17,835	+4,821	open	—	04-09 00:31
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by June 30, 2026?	2	$286	343	0	+343	open	—	06-01 01:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$280	147	147	+0	open	—	04-23 05:32
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	31	$247	41,400	40,260	+1,140	Yes	$-10	05-04 23:44
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	6	$247	154	154	+0	open	—	04-23 02:23
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	3	$111	140	140	+0	open	—	04-07 11:05
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$99	187	187	+0	open	—	04-08 01:09
will trump say ceasefire this week	2	$98	52	52	+0	open	—	06-03 22:14
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	11	$95	273	175	+98	open	—	05-18 10:10
will 40 49 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	4	$84	174	74	+100	open	—	04-14 13:31
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	2	$84	45	45	+0	open	—	03-12 09:24
will 60 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	2	$74	49	49	+0	open	—	04-14 13:19
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	2	$62	112	112	+0	open	—	04-08 01:09
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	5	$54	1,350	1,150	+200	open	—	06-01 00:41
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	2	$52	63	63	+0	open	—	04-21 21:17
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$44	58	0	+58	open	—	03-12 09:25
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	2	$39	137	137	+0	open	—	04-23 05:54
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	3	$34	113	113	+0	open	—	04-21 21:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$25	33	0	+33	open	—	05-26 18:54
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$24	27	27	+0	open	—	05-29 18:07
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	5	$23	1,360	0	+1,360	open	—	05-11 13:54
will trump say ufc this week 20260605142537494	5	$22	109	138	-29	open	—	06-15 15:33
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	7	$19	700	200	+500	open	—	05-31 17:42
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?	6	$18	40	40	+0	open	—	06-03 12:08
will iran close its airspace by july 15 20260609184136055	2	$18	25	25	+0	open	—	06-17 15:08
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	2	$16	9	9	+0	open	—	04-23 05:54
will 30 39 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	1	$15	216	0	+216	open	—	04-09 14:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 08:43:07	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase august 4 10	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0fde8a…
08-07 14:24:55	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x021632…
08-07 14:15:13	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x00dcd7…
08-07 13:46:18	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x39f8b3…
08-07 13:44:58	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x40e6a0…
08-07 13:32:36	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x26d57f…
06-30 10:08:40	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0xa451fd…
06-30 09:59:02	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xd68b2b…
06-27 00:03:53	spacex ipo officially added to nasdaq 100 in 2026 20260608205014294	No	BUY	68	0¢	$0	0xf3d9d9…
06-26 10:11:53	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xdb49f5…
06-26 10:11:28	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xfc08d8…
06-25 12:56:08	spacex ipo officially added to nasdaq 100 in 2026 20260608205014294	No	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x1ea4fd…
06-25 05:53:07	spacex ipo officially added to nasdaq 100 in 2026 20260608205014294	No	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x657405…
06-21 17:16:47	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	27	3¢	$1	0xd9e31b…
06-21 02:45:11	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	63	5¢	$3	0xb5aafe…
06-21 00:51:10	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xde35b7…
06-21 00:18:23	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x2e4425…
06-21 00:17:44	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x32eb8a…
06-21 00:17:29	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xb31bdc…
06-21 00:11:34	Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x58d3dc…
06-18 11:19:25	will donald trump publicly insult pope leo xiv by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	25	6¢	$1	0xdd4302…
06-18 06:51:25	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 18 2026	No	BUY	37	2¢	$1	0x34beb4…
06-18 04:29:56	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 18 2026	No	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x8be28b…
06-18 02:01:04	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x191444…
06-18 01:53:01	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xfb7b6f…
06-18 01:08:22	Will Zendaya and Tom Holland get married by December 31?	No	BUY	92	0¢	$0	0x28adfe…
06-18 01:08:02	Will Zendaya and Tom Holland get married by December 31?	No	BUY	136	0¢	$0	0xb9a9d1…
06-18 01:07:43	Will Zendaya and Tom Holland get married by December 31?	No	BUY	118	0¢	$0	0xb6b143…
06-18 01:07:19	Will Zendaya and Tom Holland get married by December 31?	No	BUY	246	0¢	$0	0x5f4557…
06-18 01:06:55	Will Zendaya and Tom Holland get married by December 31?	No	BUY	116	0¢	$0	0x23a100…
06-18 01:06:34	Will Zendaya and Tom Holland get married by December 31?	No	BUY	292	0¢	$0	0x64215a…
06-17 23:32:02	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xdcf03b…
06-17 23:20:04	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x3fc406…
06-17 23:17:56	will israel be a party to the us x iran memorandum of understanding 20260611230522915	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x17f8cb…
06-17 23:04:58	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x90d170…
06-17 23:01:43	will shehbaz sharif attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204725	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa6a4eb…
06-17 23:01:22	will benjamin netanyahu attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204734	Yes	BUY	72	1¢	$1	0x2e6432…
06-17 23:01:07	will abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremonywill abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204723	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xeafed8…
06-17 23:00:52	will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xf89cdd…
06-17 23:00:25	will donald trump attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204740	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x12d3c0…
06-17 23:00:07	will mojtaba khamenei attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204736	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xc0b1ab…
06-17 22:59:52	will marco rubio attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204731	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x448221…
06-17 22:59:40	will masoud pezeshkian attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204727	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x697b38…
06-17 22:54:41	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x27cd46…
06-17 22:54:32	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x439208…
06-17 22:54:14	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xed1fd3…
06-17 22:52:25	will trump speak to mojtaba khamenei in june	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x6f398d…
06-17 22:51:38	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	No	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0x91ee75…
06-17 22:46:07	will trump speak to masoud pezeshkian in june	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x7faa78…
06-17 22:41:10	will masoud pezeshkian sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950072	No	SELL	25	2¢	$0	0x3a2c32…
06-17 22:23:44	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa0e4a9…
06-17 22:22:31	will masoud pezeshkian sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950072	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x23a697…
06-17 22:02:56	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0xee05f6…
06-17 15:08:46	will iran close its airspace by july 15 20260609184136055	Yes	SELL	25	50¢	$12	0x4c5e4a…
06-17 13:53:13	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 19 20260615191216217	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x4bb512…
06-17 13:52:59	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 30 20260615191216221	No	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x6183f2…
06-17 13:40:35	will iran close its airspace by july 15 20260609184136055	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x8d5239…
06-17 13:31:52	israeli forces enter nabatieh by june 30	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x4897ed…
06-17 13:24:20	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x53b376…
06-17 11:43:26	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xff34dc…
06-17 11:31:47	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	SELL	1	22¢	$0	0x61f867…
06-17 10:59:07	will trump speak to mark rutte in june	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb1e8ab…
06-17 10:58:56	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x9fd993…
06-17 10:58:43	will trump speak to luiz incio lula da silva in june	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x1e7fc8…
06-17 10:48:08	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xac7c05…
06-17 10:47:49	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x40bcec…
06-17 10:42:35	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x2bc03d…
06-17 10:21:29	spacex ipo officially added to nasdaq 100 in 2026 20260608205014294	No	BUY	72	1¢	$1	0x953ef6…
06-17 04:56:23	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	63	2¢	$1	0x183043…
06-16 11:10:48	Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xa478e6…
06-16 04:23:10	will trump speak to mark carney in june	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb8063f…
06-16 04:23:03	will trump speak to volodymyr zelenskyy in june	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8fcdb4…
06-16 02:50:22	will trump speak to ursula von der leyen in june	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc889d8…
06-15 21:31:46	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x05056b…
06-15 15:33:28	will trump say ufc this week 20260605142537494	Yes	SELL	17	10¢	$2	0xa88910…
06-15 09:23:55	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x0b2d79…
06-15 09:23:48	us and iran sign an agreement by june 30 2026 20260611221049853	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x30ab41…
06-15 07:58:12	will donald trump publicly insult pope leo xiv by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xe46fb1…
06-15 07:03:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	7¢	$0	0x5ec42b…
06-15 07:02:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xd606ca…
06-15 07:02:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xb7ea3b…
06-15 07:02:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0xd280d6…
06-15 07:01:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x422889…
06-15 07:01:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x5e0fb9…
06-15 07:00:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xe854da…
06-15 07:00:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x692792…
06-15 06:21:58	will trump say ufc this week 20260605142537494	Yes	SELL	12	30¢	$4	0x3ca32e…
06-15 04:57:22	will trump say ufc this week 20260605142537494	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x1f34be…
06-15 04:23:46	will trump say ufc this week 20260605142537494	Yes	SELL	59	10¢	$6	0xd1ddbb…
06-15 04:01:18	will trump say ufc this week 20260605142537494	Yes	BUY	109	1¢	$1	0xa791f9…
06-15 03:16:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x2d8940…
06-12 23:15:00	will jonathan hofeller be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212486	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0x5cbbb0…
06-12 23:10:46	will jonathan hofeller be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212486	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xf7706e…
06-12 20:19:31	spacex ipo officially added to nasdaq 100 in 2026 20260608205014294	No	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xabc6f9…
06-12 06:34:25	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xe7fe3a…
06-10 18:06:01	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in june	No	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0xd14197…
06-10 18:03:15	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in june	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x3d1dab…
06-10 16:39:51	Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x89a6e9…
06-10 12:16:31	Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xd900bf…
06-10 12:13:00	will trump speak to keir starmer in june	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa9e22b…