Realized P&L
-$9
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
3.8%
Resolved
4
Trades
277
lifetime
Volume
$5.43K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$27
17 positions
First seen
2026-02-25
last 06-09 23:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
41% 0% $-12
Politics
39%
Crypto
20% 100% +$3
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? Yes +100 $6 $8 +$2 06-03 22:15
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? No +5 $2 68¢ $3 +$2 06-03 22:22
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? No +10 $1 20¢ $2 +$1 06-03 22:23
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? No +5 $1 40¢ $2 +$1 06-03 22:22
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +5 $1 29¢ $1 +$0 06-08 06:06
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? No +12 $1 $1 +$0 06-09 23:23
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +14 $1 $1 +$0 06-09 01:32
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +7 $1 16¢ $1 +$0 06-09 05:23
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Yes +7 $1 15¢ $1 +$0 06-09 01:05
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? No +1,000 $1 $1 +$0 06-09 00:55
China x Japan military clash before 2027? Yes +10 $1 10¢ $1 $-0 06-09 01:08
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? Yes +14 $1 $1 $-0 06-09 01:37
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30? Yes +100 $0 $1 +$0 06-05 16:56
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Yes +144 $1 $1 $-0 06-09 01:31
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? No +50 $1 $1 $-0 06-08 06:03
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +3 $1 26¢ $1 $-0 06-08 03:33
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting? Yes +70 $2 $0 $-1 06-02 06:55