Spectacular-Cufflink 0xe80007…adbd8f Create alert
bot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$28
Unrealized P&L
-$63
Hit rate
63.7%
Resolved
96
Trades
343
lifetime
Volume
$4.81K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$99
26 positions
First seen
2026-03-07
last 11-02 15:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 45 days
Categories
Other
78% 52% +$140
Politics
16% 64% +$29
Sports
4% 0% -$169
Tech
2% 0% -$23
Crypto
0% 0% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +17 $10 68¢ $12 +$2 10-23 14:50
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +25 $10 45¢ $11 +$1 10-31 08:14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +63 $46 18¢ $11 -$35 10-09 16:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +60 $7 12¢ $7 $0 10-31 07:16
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +10 $6 65¢ $6 +$0 10-25 08:18
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? Yes +49 $5 12¢ $6 +$1 10-31 07:38
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +20 $6 26¢ $5 $0 10-31 08:06
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +10 $4 40¢ $4 $0 10-26 16:06
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +83 $5 4¢ $4 -$1 10-23 14:35
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? Yes +10 $4 35¢ $4 $0 10-26 15:58
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $3 32¢ $3 +$0 10-26 15:59
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? No +40 $11 8¢ $3 -$8 10-31 08:09
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? Yes +50 $5 6¢ $3 -$2 10-31 07:48
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? Yes +150 $5 2¢ $3 -$3 10-31 15:14
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +10 $3 26¢ $3 $0 10-26 16:08
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +40 $3 6¢ $2 -$1 10-21 14:45
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +100 $1 2¢ $2 +$1 10-25 08:34
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +100 $3 2¢ $2 -$1 10-26 16:07
US military draft authorized in 2026? Yes +75 $15 2¢ $1 -$13 10-12 14:05
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? Yes +20 $2 7¢ $1 $0 10-26 16:00
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +150 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 11-01 06:42
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes +30 $1 4¢ $1 $0 11-02 15:11
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? Yes +10 $1 10¢ $1 $0 11-02 15:17
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +100 $1 1¢ $1 $0 11-01 06:42
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +200 $1 0¢ $1 $0 11-01 06:43
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? Yes +10 $3 2¢ $0 -$3 10-25 08:23