(anonymous) 0xe8bd6d…296504
6W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$58
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
55.2%
Resolved (90d)
36
Trades (90d)
52
576 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$570
$12.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$417
4 positions
First seen
2026-02-04
last 10-12 09:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 68 days
Categories
Other
74% 63% +$80
Crypto
11% 89% +$0
Politics
10% 66% -$114
Sports
5% 60% +$64
Tech
2% 69% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -200 -$187 98¢ $-195 -$9 06-02 04:19
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +240 $171 74¢ $176 +$5 10-04 13:50
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +65 $37 55¢ $35 -$2 10-12 09:57
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +10 $9 98¢ $10 +$1 06-02 05:06