Polite-Input 0xe94a64…2e0ff1
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Realized P&L
-$68
Unrealized P&L
+$75
Hit rate
11.5%
Resolved
8
Trades
4,989
lifetime
Volume
$40.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$618
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-10
last 05-28 16:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
45% 100% +$1
Politics
45% 0% $-71
Crypto
5% — —
Sports
4% 100% +$2
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 98 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -169 $-135 88¢ $-147 $-13 05-28 16:10
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No -178 $-133 61¢ $-108 +$25 05-28 16:10
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -138 $-72 74¢ $-101 $-30 05-28 16:12
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -256 $-120 26¢ $-68 +$52 05-28 16:12
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? No -71 $-67 90¢ $-64 +$4 05-28 16:11
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes -313 $-66 14¢ $-42 +$23 05-28 16:13
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -44 $-37 90¢ $-39 $-3 05-28 16:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -125 $-44 20¢ $-24 +$19 05-28 16:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -17 $-7 98¢ $-16 $-10 05-28 16:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -9 $-6 80¢ $-7 $-1 05-28 16:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -14 $-8 2¢ $-0 +$8 05-28 16:14