Polite-Input 0xe94a64…2e0ff1
new
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$44
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
15
lifetime
Volume
$903
lifetime
Avg / trade
$60
Open exposure
$805
13 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-05 20:03
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
58% — —
Other
42% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -170 $-166 98¢ $-166 $-0 05-05 11:51
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No -134 $-100 72¢ $-96 +$5 05-05 11:51
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? No -114 $-102 82¢ $-94 +$7 05-05 11:51
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? No -136 $-100 67¢ $-91 +$9 05-05 11:51
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? No -113 $-67 64¢ $-72 $-6 05-05 11:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -113 $-74 62¢ $-70 +$5 05-05 11:51
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? Yes +365 $44 18¢ $64 +$20 05-05 14:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Yes +277 $44 16¢ $46 +$1 05-05 16:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -78 $-49 55¢ $-43 +$6 05-05 16:42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? No +29 $20 68¢ $20 $-0 05-05 20:03
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +68 $17 29¢ $19 +$2 05-05 16:12
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31? Yes -35 $-7 39¢ $-14 $-6 05-05 18:42
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? No +12 $11 90¢ $11 $-0 05-05 14:57