Realized P&L
+$40
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
67.4%
Resolved
87
Trades
189
lifetime
Volume
$431
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$50
8 positions
First seen
2026-02-11
last 11-08 14:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 57 days
Categories
Politics
49% 68% +$42
Other
48% 49% +$2
Sports
3% 60% -$2
Crypto
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +19 $10 100¢ $19 +$9 08-05 14:21
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +26 $17 64¢ $16 -$1 11-07 20:25
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191 No +6 $1 92¢ $6 +$4 08-20 21:57
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? Yes +24 $8 18¢ $4 -$4 11-04 04:22
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -2 -$2 98¢ $-2 $0 06-12 18:06
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2 $1 83¢ $1 +$0 10-27 21:59
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $1 11¢ $1 +$0 08-20 21:15
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +15 $4 2¢ $0 -$4 05-03 19:13