Prudent-Policy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$50

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.6%

Resolved

142

Trades

370

lifetime

Volume

$45.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$122

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-26 11:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Other

34% 88% +$30

Politics

33% 93% +$24

Crypto

28% 78% -$7

Sports

3% 78% +$1

Tech

1% 89% +$3

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-26).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	30	$4.7K	2,366	2,366	+0	No	+$1	01-11 11:41
trump out as president by march 31	32	$4.2K	2,148	2,148	+0	No	+$6	03-19 12:12
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	4	$1.9K	953	953	+0	No	+$1	01-20 10:02
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	9	$1.5K	742	741	+1	No	+$0	02-15 10:21
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	3	$1.5K	975	486	+489	No	+$2	02-03 12:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	3	$1.3K	666	666	+0	No	+$1	05-02 01:04
will bitcoin reach 120k in february 2026	4	$971	488	488	+0	No	+$0	02-04 05:43
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?	4	$967	970	0	+970	Yes	+$3	04-30 09:23
will the us next strike iran on february 8 2026 et	2	$961	481	481	+0	No	+$0	02-09 14:15
will bad bunny perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	6	$959	481	481	+0	Yes	+$0	02-08 11:15
will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222	5	$955	490	490	+0	No	-$11	02-06 12:50
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by february 6	2	$955	479	479	+0	Yes	+$1	02-08 03:39
will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	2	$953	478	478	+0	No	+$0	01-09 08:33
will bitcoin reach 115k in february 2026	2	$951	478	478	+0	No	+$0	02-07 09:01
will edgex launch a token in 2025	2	$949	475	475	+0	Yes	+$0	01-02 01:47
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	7	$948	477	477	+0	No	+$0	01-13 13:01
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	3	$948	476	476	+0	No	+$0	01-10 05:03
will ethereum dip to 1000 in january 2026 651	2	$947	475	475	+0	No	+$0	01-07 12:49
will donald trump say nuclear 3 times during israel president events on december 29	2	$947	474	474	+0	Yes	+$0	01-03 04:42
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$946	488	488	+0	No	+$1	01-20 10:14
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	3	$818	419	400	+19	No	+$0	01-04 02:58
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?	1	$799	800	0	+800	Yes	+$1	04-30 03:54
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	4	$793	400	400	+0	No	+$2	04-23 03:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	2	$666	371	371	+0	No	-$8	05-03 03:00
will wti reach 120 in july 2026	6	$590	594	200	+394	No	+$6	07-26 11:28
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$471	479	0	+479	Yes	+$8	01-23 15:14
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	4	$462	383	183	+200	No	+$2	06-22 08:11
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	2	$399	202	202	+0	No	+$3	04-28 00:58
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$397	200	200	+0	No	+$1	04-21 04:39
will wti reach 130 in july 2026	2	$395	200	200	+0	No	+$3	07-02 12:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-26 11:28:21	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x046ca5…
07-22 09:36:16	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0x83f584…
07-22 05:39:55	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	197	1¢	$2	0x717ae6…
07-18 20:29:55	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0xd7f68f…
07-18 20:12:00	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	158	97¢	$154	0x61c991…
07-16 04:48:56	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xb8c014…
07-16 04:48:17	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa2c6f1…
07-08 13:42:23	will wti dip to 50 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x52c875…
07-02 12:48:41	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	SELL	200	99¢	$199	0x8df726…
07-02 08:17:34	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0xa31705…
07-01 13:43:35	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x47f80d…
06-29 14:07:16	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x561559…
06-29 14:06:38	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	170	1¢	$1	0xa7acfe…
06-23 04:59:49	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	170	98¢	$166	0x22241a…
06-22 08:12:58	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x9da4cb…
06-22 08:12:22	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xfe1eef…
06-22 08:11:34	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	SELL	183	100¢	$182	0xaae70b…
06-12 14:10:58	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	BUY	183	99¢	$181	0xbe8549…
06-12 08:26:31	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	119	1¢	$2	0xe67551…
06-11 16:54:45	Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?	No	SELL	64	99¢	$63	0xdc3d83…
06-11 14:32:49	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	119	98¢	$116	0xdb2678…
06-10 08:45:33	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 30% or more?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xfdc021…
06-06 12:23:33	Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?	No	BUY	55	97¢	$53	0xc7f1a7…
06-06 12:21:48	Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$8	0x2cb3ac…
06-01 13:46:04	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xed5b1a…
05-31 08:44:47	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xad76c5…
05-28 13:06:06	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 30% or more?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4cdb57…
05-28 13:02:54	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x53aeb4…
05-25 16:35:05	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0xd82076…
05-25 16:23:05	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$2	0xab1231…
05-25 16:06:21	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$2	0xe67c5b…
05-25 16:02:44	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$2	0xc1a752…
05-25 14:41:55	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x7979af…
05-25 14:18:10	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$2	0x08f96a…
05-25 13:45:27	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$2	0x6e70ae…
05-25 13:12:50	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xedc08c…
05-22 23:52:25	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	53	99¢	$52	0x15af2e…
05-22 11:06:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	SELL	115	99¢	$114	0xb187c9…
05-22 08:29:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	115	97¢	$111	0xf434bb…
05-22 03:56:01	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xfddd93…
05-22 02:14:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1d59c1…
05-19 00:36:32	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by June 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0xd83041…
05-18 19:12:10	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by June 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xaf9425…
05-18 16:36:04	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between June 6 and June 12?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x9efc27…
05-18 00:49:38	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xb70f5f…
05-17 15:18:05	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between June 6 and June 12?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xa6ce34…
05-17 12:51:33	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$7	0x7f5526…
05-16 08:01:11	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by June 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x327d70…
05-16 03:30:50	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xfb5879…
05-16 03:30:26	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between June 6 and June 12?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xc903f2…
05-11 03:20:08	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	160	98¢	$157	0xc28320…
05-10 12:13:09	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x591c68…
05-09 02:32:09	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	160	97¢	$155	0x898133…
05-09 02:22:23	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe281d1…
05-06 14:42:24	Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in May?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$29	0xa43648…
05-04 15:34:34	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	110	99¢	$109	0xf998c6…
05-03 15:58:58	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	110	98¢	$108	0x7b8a01…
05-03 03:34:42	Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in May?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x86f36b…
05-03 03:01:16	Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in May?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3fbf52…
05-03 03:00:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	371	89¢	$329	0x9b3572…
05-02 03:09:16	Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in May?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x482120…
05-02 01:04:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	576	98¢	$567	0x62dda6…
05-02 01:03:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	90	98¢	$88	0x1d3240…
05-01 20:18:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	666	98¢	$655	0xe2d86a…
05-01 07:28:08	Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?	No	SELL	113	100¢	$113	0x2b1587…
05-01 06:57:20	Will Trump say "Ballroom" during King Charles visit?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3b0838…
05-01 06:56:52	Will Trump say "Ballroom" during King Charles visit?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf85b58…
05-01 06:56:10	Will Trump say "Ballroom" during King Charles visit?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0cb590…
05-01 06:55:28	Will Trump say "Ballroom" during King Charles visit?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb4f944…
05-01 06:55:04	Will Trump say "Ballroom" during King Charles visit?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x47d4b8…
05-01 06:54:18	Will Trump say "Ballroom" during King Charles visit?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc3c7e6…
05-01 06:53:44	Will Trump say "Ballroom" during King Charles visit?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x870995…
05-01 06:53:08	Will Trump say "Ballroom" during King Charles visit?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x15cc1e…
05-01 06:52:36	Will Trump say "Ballroom" during King Charles visit?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xefc7e9…
05-01 06:52:00	Will Trump say "Ballroom" during King Charles visit?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa1a531…
05-01 06:51:24	Will Trump say "Ballroom" during King Charles visit?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x54a4e5…
05-01 06:50:54	Will Trump say "Ballroom" during King Charles visit?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4c98c3…
05-01 06:50:18	Will Trump say "Ballroom" during King Charles visit?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xdefc88…
05-01 06:49:42	Will Trump say "Ballroom" during King Charles visit?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa7caf6…
05-01 06:49:00	Will Trump say "Ballroom" during King Charles visit?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5cc5ff…
05-01 06:48:16	Will Trump say "Ballroom" during King Charles visit?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x43bca9…
05-01 06:39:04	Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?	No	SELL	87	100¢	$87	0xc8ce43…
05-01 06:39:04	Will Trump say "Ballroom" during King Charles visit?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$30	0x4c6edb…
05-01 06:02:38	Will Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0xb32851…
05-01 05:26:08	Will Trump say "Ballroom" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	107	98¢	$104	0x752fde…
05-01 05:25:56	Will Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	178	97¢	$173	0xd17080…
05-01 04:51:12	Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$195	0x1af96f…
05-01 04:14:32	Will Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	22	97¢	$22	0x61e349…
05-01 03:31:38	Chirayu Rana sued?	Yes	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x2be2f7…
05-01 03:31:26	Chirayu Rana sued?	Yes	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x6c516e…
05-01 03:31:02	Chirayu Rana sued?	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x14c1a3…
05-01 03:28:36	Chirayu Rana sued?	No	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x1bdba6…
05-01 03:28:10	Chirayu Rana sued?	No	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x0f7312…
05-01 03:27:50	Chirayu Rana fired?	Yes	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0xe2ea06…
05-01 03:27:28	Chirayu Rana fired?	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x5e8fe4…
05-01 03:26:34	Chirayu Rana sued?	No	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0xbb717b…
05-01 03:26:02	Chirayu Rana sued?	No	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xac2071…
05-01 03:25:34	Chirayu Rana fired?	Yes	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x6edd7c…
05-01 03:24:58	Chirayu Rana sued?	No	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0xbc2311…
05-01 03:23:12	Chirayu Rana sued?	No	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x787c44…