Nervous-Parallelogram 0xec981e…6bafcd
whale hot 5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$617.0K
Unrealized P&L
-$5.25K
Hit rate
57.6%
Resolved
13,466
Trades
133,058
lifetime
Volume
$38.5M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$289
Open exposure
$225.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 21:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 283 days
Categories
Other
87% 56% +$590,815
Sports
8% 53% -$21,813
Politics
4% 90% +$15,594
Crypto
1% 40% +$32,075
Tech
0% 67% -$637
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$963
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1442 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +41,685 $38,350 94¢ $39.0K +$625 10-28 20:14
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +20,000 $17,320 97¢ $19.4K +$2,110 08-29 01:01
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +25,000 $21,100 74¢ $18.5K -$2,600 09-28 07:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +20,000 $16,200 80¢ $16.1K -$100 10-26 18:43
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +15,000 $13,500 99¢ $14.9K +$1,357 08-24 18:45
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +25,000 $17,500 57¢ $14.4K -$3,125 09-23 19:35
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +20,000 $12,400 70¢ $13.9K +$1,500 10-19 17:04
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +15,000 $9,600 70¢ $10.4K +$825 10-26 20:22
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +10,000 $8,100 92¢ $9.2K +$1,150 06-23 19:33
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +10,000 $9,300 92¢ $9.2K -$50 10-03 05:17
LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winner Karmine Corp — +19,380 $7,389 46¢ $9.0K +$1,623 10-29 21:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +10,000 $8,600 90¢ $8.9K +$350 09-23 15:38
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +10,000 $8,300 86¢ $8.6K +$250 10-24 13:55
LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winner CTBC Flying Oyster — +11,412 $7,939 54¢ $6.1K -$1,833 10-29 21:14
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +5,000 $4,200 96¢ $4.8K +$575 10-25 20:02
US recession by end of 2026? No +4,849 $4,461 93¢ $4.5K +$48 10-29 21:15
LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage Karmine Corp +5,112 $4,142 84¢ $4.3K +$127 10-29 21:30
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat? No +5,000 $4,050 79¢ $4.0K -$100 10-26 20:13
Bruins vs. Blues Blues +4,000 $2,000 50¢ $2.0K +$20 10-29 16:59
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? Yes +2,000 $1,780 88¢ $1.8K -$30 08-19 22:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +10,000 $8,900 12¢ $1.1K -$7,750 06-25 14:17
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026? Yes +10,000 $1,800 8¢ $850 -$950 10-21 12:10
Blackhawks vs. Red Wings Red Wings +1,400 $816 60¢ $833 +$17 10-29 17:54
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? Yes +7,105 $1,208 11¢ $746 -$462 10-19 11:55
Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5 Over — +800 $364 89¢ $712 +$348 10-29 17:55
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? Yes +1,463 $439 44¢ $636 +$197 10-17 11:22
ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5 Over +600 $262 99¢ $594 +$332 10-29 16:05
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-10-29? No +400 $266 100¢ $400 +$134 10-29 17:08
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? Yes +5,000 $160 7¢ $360 +$200 10-18 23:46
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +500 $350 62¢ $312 -$38 08-19 15:12