Nervous-Parallelogram 0xec981e…6bafcd Create alert
whale hot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
+$260.3K
Unrealized P&L
-$6.21K
Hit rate
63.1%
Resolved (30d)
4,740
Trades (30d)
19,753
139,005 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$5.17M
$40.3M lifetime
Avg / trade
$290
Open exposure
$141.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-04 17:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 289 days
Categories
Other
86% 56% +$716,026
Sports
8% 53% -$1,551
Politics
5% 87% +$10,561
Crypto
1% 40% +$32,075
Tech
0% 67% -$637
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$963
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1465 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +20,000 $17,320 98¢ $19.5K +$2,210 08-29 01:01
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +20,000 $17,400 92¢ $18.4K +$1,000 11-04 03:39
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +25,000 $17,500 72¢ $17.9K +$375 09-23 19:35
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +25,000 $21,100 67¢ $16.7K -$4,350 09-28 07:36
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +15,000 $13,500 99¢ $14.9K +$1,402 08-24 18:45
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +10,000 $9,300 96¢ $9.6K +$300 10-03 05:17
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +10,000 $8,300 92¢ $9.2K +$950 10-24 13:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +10,000 $8,600 90¢ $9.0K +$450 09-23 15:38
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat? No +5,000 $4,050 100¢ $5.0K +$925 10-26 20:13
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +9,651 $5,404 52¢ $5.0K -$434 10-31 21:51
US recession by end of 2026? No +4,849 $4,461 94¢ $4.6K +$121 10-29 21:15
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? Yes +2,000 $1,780 88¢ $1.8K -$20 08-19 22:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +10,000 $8,900 12¢ $1.1K -$7,750 06-25 14:17
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? Yes +7,105 $1,208 15¢ $1.1K -$139 10-19 11:55
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +1,000 $730 92¢ $915 +$185 11-04 01:09
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? Yes +11,085 $1,323 8¢ $887 -$436 10-31 16:20
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04? No +800 $740 94¢ $748 +$8 11-04 17:30
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? Yes +1,463 $439 48¢ $709 +$271 10-17 11:22
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5) AEK +1,049 $642 66¢ $687 +$45 11-04 17:38
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? Yes +5,000 $160 10¢ $497 +$337 10-18 23:46
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +5,000 $625 9¢ $432 -$192 11-04 09:18
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5 Over — +1,000 $486 40¢ $395 -$91 11-04 16:35
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04? Yes +400 $312 78¢ $314 +$2 11-04 17:32
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +2,000 $1,540 15¢ $296 -$1,244 11-04 05:41
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04? No +796 $287 36¢ $283 -$4 11-04 17:35
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) AEK +751 $285 37¢ $278 -$7 11-04 17:38
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04? Yes +400 $264 64¢ $258 -$6 11-04 15:16
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +500 $350 42¢ $208 -$142 08-19 15:12
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5) Fenerbahçe SK — +306 $187 60¢ $185 -$2 11-04 17:26
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Taylor Fritz +156 $123 99¢ $154 +$31 11-04 12:53