Nervous-Parallelogram 0xec981e…6bafcd Create alert
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Realized P&L (30d)
+$224.7K
Unrealized P&L
-$5.34K
Hit rate
58.8%
Resolved (30d)
4,669
Trades (30d)
18,783
137,493 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$4.55M
$39.4M lifetime
Avg / trade
$287
Open exposure
$211.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-03 08:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 288 days
Categories
Other
87% 56% +$641,289
Sports
8% 53% +$17,499
Politics
4% 88% -$4,375
Crypto
1% 40% +$32,075
Tech
0% 67% -$637
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$963
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1465 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +41,685 $38,350 94¢ $39.4K +$1,042 10-28 20:14
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +20,000 $17,320 97¢ $19.4K +$2,090 08-29 01:01
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +25,000 $17,500 66¢ $16.6K -$875 09-23 19:35
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +20,000 $16,200 82¢ $16.5K +$300 10-26 18:43
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +20,000 $12,400 74¢ $14.9K +$2,500 10-19 17:04
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +15,000 $13,500 99¢ $14.9K +$1,357 08-24 18:45
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +25,000 $21,100 55¢ $13.9K -$7,225 09-28 07:36
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +15,000 $9,600 74¢ $11.2K +$1,575 10-26 20:22
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +10,000 $9,300 96¢ $9.6K +$300 10-03 05:17
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +10,000 $8,100 94¢ $9.4K +$1,350 06-23 19:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +10,000 $8,600 90¢ $8.9K +$350 09-23 15:38
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +10,000 $8,300 88¢ $8.8K +$550 10-24 13:55
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +9,651 $5,404 52¢ $5.1K -$338 10-31 21:51
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A FaZe +7,243 $3,307 64¢ $4.7K +$1,365 11-03 09:12
US recession by end of 2026? No +4,849 $4,461 94¢ $4.6K +$121 10-29 21:15
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat? No +5,000 $4,050 79¢ $4.0K -$100 10-26 20:13
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A Team Falcons +5,062 $2,800 36¢ $1.8K -$1,003 11-03 09:23
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? Yes +2,000 $1,780 86¢ $1.7K -$50 08-19 22:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +10,000 $8,900 12¢ $1.1K -$7,750 06-25 14:17
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? Yes +7,105 $1,208 15¢ $1.1K -$124 10-19 11:55
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? Yes +11,085 $1,323 9¢ $981 -$342 10-31 16:20
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A Heroic +3,125 $1,356 24¢ $766 -$591 11-03 09:26
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? Yes +1,463 $439 48¢ $695 +$256 10-17 11:22
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz — +877 $658 54¢ $469 -$188 11-03 09:24
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +500 $350 64¢ $318 -$32 08-19 15:12
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? Yes +5,000 $160 5¢ $267 +$107 10-18 23:46
Will KV Kortrijk win on 2026-10-23? No +255 $165 65¢ $166 +$1 10-23 14:09
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? No +200 $124 55¢ $110 -$14 10-10 11:30
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? Yes +200 $76 45¢ $90 +$14 10-10 12:00
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Maria Timofeeva Sorana Cirstea — +70 $47 80¢ $56 +$9 11-02 23:52