Realized P&L (90d)
+$338.3K
Unrealized P&L
-$445
Hit rate
57.3%
Resolved (90d)
9,811
Trades (90d)
45,400
137,572 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$16.5M
$39.0M lifetime
Avg / trade
$284
Open exposure
$152.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-05 20:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 290 days
Categories
Other
86% 56% +$719,767
Sports
8% 53% +$1,581
Politics
5% 87% +$13,895
Crypto
1% 40% +$32,075
Tech
0% 67% -$637
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$963
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1465 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +20,000 $17,320 97¢ $19.5K +$2,160 08-29 01:01
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +20,000 $17,400 96¢ $19.3K +$1,870 11-04 03:39
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +25,000 $17,500 74¢ $18.5K +$975 09-23 19:35
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +25,000 $21,100 72¢ $18.1K -$2,975 09-28 07:36
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +15,000 $13,500 98¢ $14.8K +$1,275 08-24 18:45
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +10,000 $9,300 97¢ $9.7K +$375 10-03 05:17
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +10,000 $8,300 92¢ $9.2K +$950 10-24 13:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +10,000 $8,600 90¢ $9.0K +$450 09-23 15:38
US recession by end of 2026? No +4,849 $4,461 96¢ $4.6K +$170 10-29 21:15
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +9,651 $5,404 48¢ $4.6K -$820 10-31 21:51
Spread: Devils (-1.5) Blues +4,639 $2,663 56¢ $2.6K -$42 11-05 19:26
Utah vs. Canadiens Utah +3,411 $1,774 54¢ $1.8K +$51 11-05 16:12
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? Yes +2,000 $1,780 90¢ $1.8K +$30 08-19 22:17
Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Casper Ruud Casper Ruud +1,697 $1,127 96¢ $1.6K +$502 11-05 19:24
Spread: Utah (-1.5) Canadiens +2,115 $1,438 68¢ $1.4K -$10 11-05 18:12
Will FC Lugano win on 2026-11-05? Yes +1,200 $1,016 100¢ $1.2K +$180 11-05 19:59
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Both Teams to Score No — +1,200 $556 98¢ $1.2K +$620 11-05 14:39
Spread: Lightning (-2.5) Blackhawks +2,100 $1,116 54¢ $1.1K +$7 11-05 17:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +10,000 $8,900 11¢ $1.1K -$7,800 06-25 14:17
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw? No +1,200 $1,090 92¢ $1.1K +$8 11-05 18:47
Spread: HNK Hajduk Split (-2.5) Lincoln Red Imps FC — +1,151 $836 94¢ $1.1K +$240 11-05 16:03
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: Both Teams to Score Yes +1,186 $723 87¢ $1.0K +$308 11-05 16:38
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5) Ferencvárosi TC — +1,000 $538 99¢ $990 +$452 11-05 17:41
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Score Yes — +1,034 $629 96¢ $987 +$358 11-05 15:27
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +1,000 $730 96¢ $964 +$234 11-04 01:09
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? Yes +11,085 $1,323 9¢ $948 -$375 10-31 16:20
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-3.5) KKS Lech Poznań +1,121 $772 83¢ $930 +$158 11-05 18:49
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? Yes +7,105 $1,208 13¢ $927 -$281 10-19 11:55
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5) Getafe CF +1,200 $764 76¢ $918 +$154 11-05 19:55
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5 Under — +908 $568 99¢ $899 +$331 11-05 17:40