Nervous-Parallelogram 0xec981e…6bafcd Create alert
whale hot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
+$339.2K
Unrealized P&L
-$5.95K
Hit rate
57.3%
Resolved (90d)
9,816
Trades (90d)
44,785
136,588 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$16.5M
$38.9M lifetime
Avg / trade
$285
Open exposure
$138.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-05 08:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 290 days
Categories
Other
86% 56% +$718,533
Sports
8% 53% +$1,581
Politics
5% 87% +$13,895
Crypto
1% 40% +$32,075
Tech
0% 67% -$637
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$963
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1465 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +20,000 $17,320 98¢ $19.5K +$2,230 08-29 01:01
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +20,000 $17,400 95¢ $19.0K +$1,600 11-04 03:39
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +25,000 $17,500 72¢ $18.0K +$500 09-23 19:35
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +25,000 $21,100 68¢ $17.1K -$3,975 09-28 07:36
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +15,000 $13,500 99¢ $14.9K +$1,410 08-24 18:45
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +10,000 $9,300 97¢ $9.7K +$400 10-03 05:17
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +10,000 $8,300 92¢ $9.2K +$950 10-24 13:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +10,000 $8,600 90¢ $9.0K +$450 09-23 15:38
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat? No +5,000 $4,050 100¢ $5.0K +$950 10-26 20:13
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +9,651 $5,404 48¢ $4.7K -$724 10-31 21:51
US recession by end of 2026? No +4,849 $4,461 96¢ $4.6K +$170 10-29 21:15
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? Yes +2,000 $1,780 89¢ $1.8K +$0 08-19 22:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +10,000 $8,900 11¢ $1.1K -$7,850 06-25 14:17
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? Yes +7,105 $1,208 14¢ $991 -$217 10-19 11:55
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +1,000 $730 95¢ $950 +$220 11-04 01:09
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? Yes +11,085 $1,323 8¢ $848 -$475 10-31 16:20
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? Yes +1,463 $439 52¢ $753 +$314 10-17 11:22
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? Yes +5,000 $160 9¢ $442 +$282 10-18 23:46
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +5,000 $625 5¢ $240 -$385 11-04 09:18
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +500 $350 40¢ $202 -$148 08-19 15:12
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +2,000 $1,540 6¢ $113 -$1,427 11-04 05:41
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? No +200 $124 55¢ $109 -$15 10-10 11:30
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? Yes +200 $76 46¢ $91 +$15 10-10 12:00
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys Tommy Paul +82 $61 74¢ $61 +$0 11-05 07:19
Rolex Paris Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Carlos Alcaraz Carlos Alcaraz +61 $51 82¢ $50 $0 11-05 08:12
Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro Sho Shimabukuro — +40 $20 67¢ $27 +$7 11-04 17:25
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys Quentin Halys +82 $20 26¢ $21 +$1 11-05 03:51
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +500 $167 3¢ $15 -$152 11-04 06:02
Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro Harold Mayot — +40 $21 33¢ $13 -$8 11-04 23:25
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Xinyu Wang vs Antonia Ruzic Xinyu Wang +149 $83 4¢ $7 -$77 11-04 23:08