Nervous-Parallelogram 0xec981e…6bafcd Create alert
whale hot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$734.9K
Unrealized P&L
-$7.28K
Hit rate
58.3%
Resolved
16,518
Trades
146,791
lifetime
Volume
$41.8M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$285
Open exposure
$142.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-10 21:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 295 days
Categories
Other
86% 56% +$698,526
Sports
8% 53% -$10,020
Politics
5% 87% +$13,895
Crypto
1% 40% +$32,075
Tech
0% 67% -$637
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1,082
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1658 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +20,000 $17,400 99¢ $19.7K +$2,330 11-04 03:39
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +20,000 $17,320 98¢ $19.6K +$2,310 08-29 01:01
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +25,000 $17,500 76¢ $18.9K +$1,375 09-23 19:35
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +15,000 $13,500 99¢ $14.9K +$1,402 08-24 18:45
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +25,000 $21,100 48¢ $11.9K -$9,225 09-28 07:36
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +10,000 $9,300 98¢ $9.8K +$510 10-03 05:17
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +10,000 $8,300 92¢ $9.2K +$950 10-24 13:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +10,000 $8,600 92¢ $9.2K +$650 09-23 15:38
US recession by end of 2026? No +4,849 $4,461 96¢ $4.7K +$194 10-29 21:15
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +9,651 $5,404 38¢ $3.6K -$1,785 10-31 21:51
Spread: Wild (-1.5) Canadiens +4,052 $2,755 68¢ $2.7K -$20 11-10 19:17
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? Yes +7,105 $1,208 38¢ $2.7K +$1,471 10-19 11:55
Wild vs. Canadiens Wild +4,000 $2,120 54¢ $2.1K +$20 11-10 17:20
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? Yes +2,000 $1,780 96¢ $1.9K +$137 08-19 22:17
Spread: Capitals (-1.5) Senators +2,360 $1,696 72¢ $1.7K -$8 11-10 21:28
Spread: Capitals (-2.5) Senators — +1,229 $1,007 82¢ $1.0K +$6 11-10 22:05
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +1,000 $730 99¢ $986 +$256 11-04 01:09
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? Yes +1,463 $439 62¢ $914 +$475 10-17 11:22
Memphis Tigers vs. Vanderbilt Commodores Vanderbilt Commodores +977 $899 90¢ $884 -$15 11-10 13:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +10,000 $8,900 8¢ $850 -$8,050 06-25 14:17
Spread: Predators (-1.5) Kings — +1,013 $761 76¢ $770 +$9 11-10 21:26
Spread: Jets (-1.5) Devils — +819 $623 77¢ $631 +$8 11-10 20:22
Wild vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5 Over +1,250 $560 46¢ $581 +$21 11-10 19:25
Devils vs. Jets: O/U 6.5 Under +1,127 $556 50¢ $569 +$13 11-10 21:38
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5) Wild +730 $540 74¢ $544 +$4 11-10 22:07
Spread: Red Wings (-1.5) Blues +700 $539 78¢ $542 +$3 11-10 21:29
Brisbane 3: James McCabe vs Jan Kumstat Jan Kumstat +746 $478 64¢ $481 +$4 11-10 06:14
Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Michael Zheng Michael Zheng +990 $764 48¢ $480 -$284 11-10 13:03
Panthers vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5 Under +1,050 $462 44¢ $467 +$5 11-10 21:51
Iona Gaels vs. Fordham Rams: O/U 139.5 Under +1,000 $488 44¢ $445 -$43 11-10 19:21