Nervous-Parallelogram 0xec981e…6bafcd Create alert
whale hot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$729.3K
Unrealized P&L
-$9.23K
Hit rate
58.3%
Resolved
16,289
Trades
145,495
lifetime
Volume
$41.7M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$286
Open exposure
$130.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-09 07:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 294 days
Categories
Other
86% 56% +$696,830
Sports
8% 53% -$13,898
Politics
5% 87% +$13,895
Crypto
1% 40% +$32,075
Tech
0% 67% -$637
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1,082
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1658 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +25,000 $17,500 79¢ $19.7K +$2,250 09-23 19:35
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +20,000 $17,400 98¢ $19.6K +$2,250 11-04 03:39
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +20,000 $17,320 98¢ $19.6K +$2,280 08-29 01:01
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +15,000 $13,500 99¢ $14.9K +$1,402 08-24 18:45
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +25,000 $21,100 40¢ $10.0K -$11,100 09-28 07:36
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +10,000 $9,300 98¢ $9.8K +$480 10-03 05:17
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +10,000 $8,300 92¢ $9.2K +$850 10-24 13:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +10,000 $8,600 90¢ $9.0K +$450 09-23 15:38
US recession by end of 2026? No +4,849 $4,461 96¢ $4.7K +$201 10-29 21:15
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +9,651 $5,404 38¢ $3.6K -$1,785 10-31 21:51
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? Yes +7,105 $1,208 38¢ $2.7K +$1,460 10-19 11:55
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? Yes +2,000 $1,780 95¢ $1.9K +$126 08-19 22:17
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +1,000 $730 98¢ $982 +$252 11-04 01:09
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? Yes +1,463 $439 62¢ $914 +$475 10-17 11:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +10,000 $8,900 6¢ $650 -$8,250 06-25 14:17
Hersonissos 3: Massimo Giunta vs Francesco Forti Massimo Giunta +824 $447 55¢ $449 +$3 11-09 07:32
cbb clvst bowlgr 2026 11 09 spread home 12pt5 Cleveland State Vikings +666 $313 46¢ $310 -$3 11-09 07:52
USC Trojans vs. Wichita State Shockers USC Trojans +308 $215 100¢ $307 +$92 11-09 03:09
Monastir: Yannik Kelm vs Pedro Vives Marcos Pedro Vives Marcos +304 $211 67¢ $203 -$7 11-09 03:24
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann Alex Michelsen +262 $194 74¢ $195 +$1 11-09 07:31
Spread: Oilers (-1.5) Rangers +268 $167 62¢ $167 +$0 11-09 06:57
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs. LSU Tigers: O/U 151.5 Over +333 $166 50¢ $165 -$2 11-09 04:09
cbb siue missr 2026 11 09 spread home 28pt5 SIUE Cougars +333 $160 46¢ $153 -$7 11-09 03:31
cbb nal okl 2026 11 09 spread home 26pt5 North Alabama Lions +335 $164 46¢ $152 -$12 11-09 03:49
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Magda Linette Janice Tjen +789 $513 16¢ $130 -$382 11-08 11:25
Knoxville: Mitchell Krueger vs Lui Maxted Mitchell Krueger +225 $121 56¢ $127 +$6 11-09 03:34
Hersonissos 3: Johannus Monday vs Georgii Kravchenko Johannus Monday +253 $123 45¢ $114 -$9 11-08 22:33
cbb loutch lsu 2026 11 09 spread home 28pt5 LSU Tigers +208 $114 54¢ $111 -$3 11-09 01:06
Knoxville: Mitchell Krueger vs Lui Maxted Lui Maxted +255 $116 44¢ $111 -$5 11-09 04:32
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +500 $350 21¢ $105 -$245 08-19 15:12