Nervous-Parallelogram 0xec981e…6bafcd Create alert
whale hot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$728.9K
Unrealized P&L
-$8.99K
Hit rate
58.3%
Resolved
16,295
Trades
145,511
lifetime
Volume
$41.7M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$286
Open exposure
$134.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-09 11:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 294 days
Categories
Other
86% 56% +$696,374
Sports
8% 53% -$13,898
Politics
5% 87% +$13,895
Crypto
1% 40% +$32,075
Tech
0% 67% -$637
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1,082
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1658 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +20,000 $17,400 98¢ $19.7K +$2,270 11-04 03:39
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +20,000 $17,320 98¢ $19.6K +$2,280 08-29 01:01
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +25,000 $17,500 76¢ $19.1K +$1,587 09-23 19:35
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +15,000 $13,500 99¢ $14.9K +$1,418 08-24 18:45
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +25,000 $21,100 40¢ $10.1K -$10,975 09-28 07:36
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +10,000 $9,300 98¢ $9.8K +$475 10-03 05:17
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +10,000 $8,300 92¢ $9.2K +$900 10-24 13:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +10,000 $8,600 90¢ $9.0K +$450 09-23 15:38
US recession by end of 2026? No +4,849 $4,461 96¢ $4.7K +$201 10-29 21:15
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +9,651 $5,404 38¢ $3.6K -$1,785 10-31 21:51
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? Yes +7,105 $1,208 38¢ $2.7K +$1,460 10-19 11:55
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? Yes +2,000 $1,780 95¢ $1.9K +$124 08-19 22:17
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann Yannick Hanfmann +6,000 $1,410 24¢ $1.5K +$60 11-09 11:05
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: James Duckworth vs Cameron Norrie Cameron Norrie +2,000 $1,380 66¢ $1.3K -$50 11-09 11:51
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +1,000 $730 98¢ $982 +$252 11-04 01:09
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? Yes +1,463 $439 62¢ $914 +$475 10-17 11:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +10,000 $8,900 8¢ $850 -$8,050 06-25 14:17
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Machac vs Borna Gojo Tomas Machac +1,126 $797 70¢ $782 -$14 11-09 10:26
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Max Dahlin Tomas Etcheverry +667 $520 79¢ $527 +$7 11-09 11:35
Sopo: Polona Hercog vs Varvara Lepchenko Varvara Lepchenko — +1,200 $522 42¢ $510 -$12 11-09 11:17
Hersonissos 3: Massimo Giunta vs Francesco Forti Massimo Giunta +896 $486 52¢ $471 -$15 11-09 10:19
Illinois State Redbirds vs. Purdue Boilermakers Purdue Boilermakers +424 $390 92¢ $392 +$2 11-09 10:17
cbb clvst bowlgr 2026 11 09 spread home 12pt5 Cleveland State Vikings +666 $313 46¢ $310 -$3 11-09 07:52
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Ugo Humbert Adolfo Vallejo +1,000 $320 30¢ $305 -$15 11-09 08:46
Monastir: Yannik Kelm vs Pedro Vives Marcos Pedro Vives Marcos +304 $211 68¢ $205 -$6 11-09 03:24
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann Alex Michelsen +262 $194 76¢ $198 +$4 11-09 07:31
nhl nyr edm 2026 11 09 spread home 1pt5 Rangers +268 $167 62¢ $167 +$0 11-09 06:57
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs. LSU Tigers: O/U 151.5 Over +333 $166 48¢ $162 -$5 11-09 04:09
cbb siue missr 2026 11 09 spread home 28pt5 SIUE Cougars +333 $160 45¢ $152 -$8 11-09 03:31
cbb nal okl 2026 11 09 spread home 26pt5 North Alabama Lions +335 $164 45¢ $151 -$13 11-09 03:49