Nervous-Parallelogram 0xec981e…6bafcd Create alert
whale hot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$744.1K
Unrealized P&L
-$5.72K
Hit rate
58.3%
Resolved
16,698
Trades
146,889
lifetime
Volume
$41.8M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$285
Open exposure
$136.0K
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-11 10:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 296 days
Categories
Other
86% 56% +$699,692
Sports
8% 53% -$1,990
Politics
5% 87% +$13,895
Crypto
1% 40% +$32,075
Tech
0% 67% -$637
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1,082
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1658 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +20,000 $17,400 99¢ $19.8K +$2,390 11-04 03:39
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +20,000 $17,320 98¢ $19.7K +$2,350 08-29 01:01
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +25,000 $17,500 76¢ $19.1K +$1,575 09-23 19:35
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +15,000 $13,500 99¢ $14.9K +$1,418 08-24 18:45
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +25,000 $21,100 54¢ $13.4K -$7,725 09-28 07:36
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +10,000 $9,300 98¢ $9.8K +$510 10-03 05:17
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +10,000 $8,300 92¢ $9.2K +$950 10-24 13:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +10,000 $8,600 92¢ $9.2K +$650 09-23 15:38
US recession by end of 2026? No +4,849 $4,461 98¢ $4.7K +$274 10-29 21:15
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +9,651 $5,404 38¢ $3.6K -$1,785 10-31 21:51
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 - Map 2 Winner G2 +6,848 $1,885 50¢ $3.5K +$1,573 11-11 11:18
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? Yes +7,105 $1,208 38¢ $2.7K +$1,481 10-19 11:55
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? Yes +2,000 $1,780 96¢ $1.9K +$139 08-19 22:17
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +1,000 $730 99¢ $990 +$260 11-04 01:09
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B G2 +5,418 $813 18¢ $951 +$138 11-11 10:43
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? Yes +1,463 $439 62¢ $914 +$475 10-17 11:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +10,000 $8,900 8¢ $850 -$8,050 06-25 14:17
Monastir: Kilian Feldbausch vs Tiago Pereira Kilian Feldbausch +333 $233 70¢ $235 +$2 11-10 17:23
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +500 $350 25¢ $125 -$225 08-19 15:12
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? Yes +200 $76 55¢ $110 +$34 10-10 12:00
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? No +200 $124 45¢ $90 -$34 10-10 11:30
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 Over +100 $73 69¢ $69 -$4 10-10 10:20
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +5,000 $625 1¢ $55 -$570 11-04 09:18
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 - Map 2 Winner MOUZ +69 $55 50¢ $34 -$20 11-11 11:16
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +2,000 $1,540 1¢ $16 -$1,524 11-04 05:41
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +500 $167 1¢ $3 -$165 11-04 06:02
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 -$160 99¢ $0 +$160 11-04 06:55