Realized P&L (7d)
+$144.4K
Unrealized P&L
-$6.87K
Hit rate
71.3%
Resolved (7d)
1,503
Trades (7d)
6,691
139,432 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$1.86M
$40.3M lifetime
Avg / trade
$289
Open exposure
$156.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-05 00:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 290 days
Categories
Other
86% 56% +$718,051
Sports
8% 53% -$1,551
Politics
5% 87% +$13,895
Crypto
1% 40% +$32,075
Tech
0% 67% -$637
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$963
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1465 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +20,000 $17,320 98¢ $19.5K +$2,230 08-29 01:01
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +20,000 $17,400 94¢ $18.8K +$1,400 11-04 03:39
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +25,000 $17,500 70¢ $17.5K $0 09-23 19:35
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +25,000 $21,100 68¢ $17.1K -$3,975 09-28 07:36
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +15,000 $13,500 99¢ $14.9K +$1,402 08-24 18:45
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan Central Michigan +15,000 $8,400 92¢ $13.7K +$5,325 11-05 00:17
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +10,000 $9,300 96¢ $9.6K +$300 10-03 05:17
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +10,000 $8,300 92¢ $9.2K +$950 10-24 13:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +10,000 $8,600 90¢ $9.0K +$450 09-23 15:38
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat? No +5,000 $4,050 100¢ $5.0K +$925 10-26 20:13
US recession by end of 2026? No +4,849 $4,461 96¢ $4.6K +$170 10-29 21:15
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +9,651 $5,404 48¢ $4.6K -$820 10-31 21:51
Ball State vs. UMass: O/U 47.5 Under +4,500 $1,935 50¢ $2.3K +$338 11-04 23:05
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? Yes +2,000 $1,780 92¢ $1.8K +$60 08-19 22:17
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan Eastern Michigan +15,000 $7,080 8¢ $1.3K -$5,805 11-04 22:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +10,000 $8,900 11¢ $1.1K -$7,850 06-25 14:17
Ball State vs. UMass Ball State +2,964 $1,274 34¢ $1.0K -$252 11-04 23:56
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? Yes +7,105 $1,208 14¢ $984 -$224 10-19 11:55
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +1,000 $730 94¢ $940 +$210 11-04 01:09
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? Yes +11,085 $1,323 8¢ $837 -$486 10-31 16:20
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? Yes +1,463 $439 52¢ $768 +$329 10-17 11:22
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? Yes +5,000 $160 9¢ $430 +$270 10-18 23:46
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +5,000 $625 6¢ $320 -$305 11-04 09:18
São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5 Under — +276 $169 84¢ $233 +$64 11-04 23:37
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +500 $350 39¢ $195 -$155 08-19 15:12
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? No +200 $124 55¢ $109 -$15 10-10 11:30
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +2,000 $1,540 5¢ $98 -$1,442 11-04 05:41
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-11-04? Yes +94 $81 100¢ $93 +$13 11-04 22:28
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? Yes +200 $76 46¢ $91 +$15 10-10 12:00
Bucks vs. Celtics Celtics +30 $24 98¢ $29 +$5 11-04 17:40