Noxious-Lumberman 0xecb95c…15bdd4
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$278
Unrealized P&L
+$436
Hit rate
78.6%
Resolved
28
Trades
217
lifetime
Volume
$43.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$198
Open exposure
$11.1K
15 positions
First seen
2026-03-06
last 10-26 14:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Other
60% 85% +$61
Politics
26% 75% +$268
Tech
11% 50% -$76
Sports
4% 100% +$26
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +4,363 $4,049 98¢ $4.3K +$229 10-07 12:16
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No -3,058 -$2,685 90¢ $-2737 -$53 10-02 13:01
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +1,260 $1,147 90¢ $1.1K -$6 10-26 14:49
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +759 $524 100¢ $757 +$233 10-14 13:41
Trump out as President before 2027? No +413 $395 96¢ $396 +$1 10-22 18:39
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -386 -$374 96¢ $-371 +$3 10-22 17:55
US recession by end of 2026? No +350 $322 92¢ $324 +$2 09-23 04:32
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -376 -$164 64¢ $-242 -$79 09-27 01:21
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? No +214 $200 95¢ $204 +$4 10-12 14:29
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $190 96¢ $191 +$1 10-10 19:22
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +200 $190 94¢ $189 -$1 10-07 13:52
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? No -594 -$205 23¢ $-137 +$69 08-17 13:57
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +76 $39 94¢ $71 +$33 10-26 14:23
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -56 -$56 98¢ $-55 +$1 09-29 02:52
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +27 $26 94¢ $25 -$1 10-06 15:19