Noxious-Lumberman 0xecb95c…15bdd4
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
—
Unrealized P&L
+$403
Hit rate
—
Resolved (7d)
0
Trades (7d)
19
217 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$3.04K
$43.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$198
Open exposure
$11.2K
15 positions
First seen
2026-03-06
last 10-26 14:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Other
60% 85% +$61
Politics
26% 75% +$268
Tech
11% 50% -$76
Sports
4% 100% +$26
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +4,363 $4,049 98¢ $4.3K +$225 10-07 12:16
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No -3,058 -$2,685 90¢ $-2768 -$83 10-02 13:01
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +1,260 $1,147 92¢ $1.2K +$6 10-26 14:49
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +759 $524 100¢ $755 +$231 10-14 13:41
Trump out as President before 2027? No +413 $395 96¢ $396 +$2 10-22 18:39
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -386 -$374 96¢ $-371 +$2 10-22 17:55
US recession by end of 2026? No +350 $322 94¢ $327 +$5 09-23 04:32
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -376 -$164 68¢ $-254 -$90 09-27 01:21
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? No +214 $200 95¢ $203 +$3 10-12 14:29
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $190 96¢ $192 +$1 10-10 19:22
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +200 $190 92¢ $185 -$5 10-07 13:52
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? No -594 -$205 22¢ $-134 +$72 08-17 13:57
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +76 $39 94¢ $72 +$33 10-26 14:23
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -56 -$56 98¢ $-55 +$1 09-29 02:52
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +27 $26 94¢ $25 -$1 10-06 15:19