Disguised-Baggy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.12K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

5.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,282

lifetime

Volume

$365.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$285

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-10 15:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

38% 100% +$2

Politics

34% 0% $-1,125

Crypto

14% — —

Sports

12% — —

Tech

3% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 124 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	16	$12.5K	7,064	7,064	+0	open	—	06-11 18:40
will germany record a medal at the 2026 winter olympics 896	3	$11.5K	5,771	5,771	+0	open	—	02-18 22:33
ethereum all time high by march 31 2026	10	$11.2K	4,955	6,656	-1,701	open	—	03-17 13:42
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	26	$9.9K	6,346	6,346	+0	open	—	06-12 06:16
will base launch a token by september 30 2026	16	$9.9K	7,220	3,078	+4,141	open	—	08-08 16:47
netanyahu out by march 31 854	17	$9.2K	4,510	4,910	-400	open	—	03-31 09:33
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	205	$8.7K	2,795	6,407	-3,612	open	—	07-19 02:23
will sweden win the mens ice hockey silver medal at the 2026 winter olympics	1	$8.4K	8,518	0	+8,518	open	—	02-18 22:39
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	26	$8.1K	4,707	4,807	-100	open	—	06-17 15:54
Will Canada strike Iran by April 30?	23	$7.1K	4,296	2,851	+1,445	open	—	04-27 03:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	10	$7.1K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	05-29 05:01
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?	7	$6.8K	3,439	3,439	+0	open	—	06-12 17:26
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	24	$6.6K	3,703	3,387	+316	open	—	04-22 08:14
Trump out as President by June 30?	5	$6.2K	0	6,231	-6,231	open	—	06-25 23:56
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$6.0K	3,132	3,132	+0	open	—	02-25 10:45
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$6.0K	3,226	3,226	+0	open	—	06-09 17:24
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$5.9K	1,941	4,711	-2,770	open	—	07-31 16:50
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	4	$5.6K	2,867	2,867	+0	open	—	08-06 19:08
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	5	$5.6K	4,509	1,448	+3,061	open	—	03-03 20:45
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	3	$5.4K	3,000	3,033	-33	open	—	06-09 17:05
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	34	$5.4K	3,153	2,688	+465	open	—	03-20 14:23
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	7	$5.4K	3,011	2,411	+600	open	—	04-01 08:58
Trump out as President by May 31?	25	$5.3K	3,716	1,655	+2,061	open	—	05-24 23:03
Fed rate hike in 2026?	10	$5.3K	5,958	2,979	+2,979	open	—	08-10 15:45
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$5.3K	2,900	2,900	+0	open	—	04-19 17:56
will canada record a medal at the 2026 winter olympics 467	1	$5.2K	5,200	0	+5,200	open	—	02-06 23:51
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	31	$5.0K	3,500	3,500	+0	open	—	04-10 17:55
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	5	$4.8K	3,673	1,295	+2,377	open	—	03-15 23:57
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	11	$4.4K	2,255	2,455	-200	open	—	04-22 10:53
will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	9	$4.2K	6,319	6,319	+0	open	—	02-27 21:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 15:45:36	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,979	56¢	$1,668	0x614b35…
08-09 13:42:25	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	No	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0xb8beed…
08-08 16:47:00	will base launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	311	97¢	$303	0xabeaa2…
08-08 08:44:18	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	Yes	BUY	489	88¢	$431	0x77f71b…
08-08 02:28:55	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xf1a414…
08-08 02:28:42	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	Yes	BUY	250	88¢	$220	0x9fd2f9…
08-07 20:39:16	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	Yes	BUY	16	88¢	$14	0x933e7c…
08-07 19:19:27	will base launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	988	97¢	$961	0x3ba705…
08-07 19:01:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	234	60¢	$140	0xa53fef…
08-07 18:17:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x83a949…
08-07 18:12:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x6b8cf6…
08-07 18:12:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x2adfb6…
08-07 18:12:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0x7a60c9…
08-07 18:12:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	31	60¢	$19	0xc003c5…
08-07 18:12:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	31	60¢	$19	0xb60a11…
08-07 18:12:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xa266f6…
08-07 18:12:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x5e3e98…
08-07 17:16:16	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	Yes	BUY	42	88¢	$37	0x9bd633…
08-07 16:20:31	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,100	54¢	$594	0x04daaa…
08-07 11:12:28	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	Yes	BUY	83	88¢	$73	0x218ee4…
08-07 11:08:00	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	Yes	BUY	83	88¢	$73	0x0c4848…
08-07 10:16:40	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	Yes	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x238c32…
08-07 08:31:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x1afa2c…
08-07 06:43:54	will base launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2059df…
08-07 06:24:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	72	60¢	$43	0xedf609…
08-07 05:47:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	60¢	$0	0x91a348…
08-07 05:24:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	30	60¢	$18	0xfe6bcc…
08-07 04:14:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xe93655…
08-07 03:05:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	100	60¢	$60	0xee1195…
08-07 03:00:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	60¢	$3	0x480c2c…
08-07 02:59:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	166	60¢	$100	0x848e16…
08-07 02:16:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	40	60¢	$24	0x7d6a62…
08-07 01:09:06	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,700	63¢	$1,701	0x5f077d…
08-07 00:17:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	29	60¢	$18	0x3627fa…
08-06 21:19:08	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	Yes	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x6ba075…
08-06 20:34:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	800	60¢	$480	0x7c690a…
08-06 19:12:08	will benjamin netanyahu be arrested by september 30 20260720194516250	No	BUY	585	98¢	$576	0x8bddbd…
08-06 19:09:23	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,219	95¢	$2,108	0xcf7385…
08-06 19:08:47	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2,063	99¢	$2,034	0x7a012a…
08-06 19:03:35	will base launch a token by september 30 2026	No	SELL	3,078	97¢	$2,999	0x5614b0…
08-03 00:34:54	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	297	88¢	$261	0x89a576…
08-02 17:10:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	SELL	57	98¢	$55	0xc5a96b…
08-02 17:08:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	SELL	43	98¢	$42	0x1facc2…
08-02 16:38:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xf5ba98…
07-31 22:42:12	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	147	66¢	$97	0xf9a835…
07-31 22:26:36	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	99	66¢	$65	0x2c203d…
07-31 21:48:05	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	66¢	$19	0x1c9966…
07-31 19:55:45	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	66¢	$198	0x924291…
07-31 18:55:12	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	66¢	$82	0x406761…
07-31 16:50:17	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	330	91¢	$300	0x6a6ae3…
07-30 18:51:14	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	758	66¢	$500	0x750189…
07-27 15:52:31	will base launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	1,780	96¢	$1,716	0xb7a89a…
07-23 19:10:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	371	37¢	$137	0x61cd3e…
07-22 13:23:24	will lebron sign his next nba contract by july 24 2026 20260721160302714	No	BUY	19	83¢	$16	0xc338d4…
07-22 13:22:58	will lebron sign his next nba contract by july 24 2026 20260721160302714	No	BUY	25	83¢	$21	0xfceeee…
07-22 11:32:58	will lebron sign his next nba contract by july 24 2026 20260721160302714	No	BUY	16	83¢	$13	0xb8afb0…
07-22 10:01:09	will bitcoin reach 70000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	SELL	427	75¢	$320	0x84892c…
07-19 02:23:24	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	2,096	96¢	$2,013	0xff7a70…
07-18 06:39:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,112	35¢	$389	0xc13cf8…
07-16 07:47:13	will base launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	9	37¢	$3	0x728a0a…
07-16 07:44:14	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	27	65¢	$18	0x36704c…
07-16 07:15:01	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	135	65¢	$88	0x179038…
07-16 07:05:46	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x159568…
07-16 06:58:14	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	131	65¢	$85	0x3c8ec4…
07-16 06:56:14	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	4	65¢	$2	0x30c37d…
07-16 05:47:25	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	144	64¢	$92	0x3c4ee4…
07-16 05:44:52	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	100	64¢	$64	0x48e2e9…
07-16 05:28:23	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	56	64¢	$36	0x68f56e…
07-15 19:33:20	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	268	80¢	$215	0xdc04ce…
07-15 19:33:20	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	132	80¢	$105	0x01c48f…
07-15 17:05:16	will base launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	457	37¢	$169	0x6ad2d6…
07-15 14:48:02	will base launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	87	36¢	$31	0x2084d7…
07-15 07:15:47	will base launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	59	47¢	$28	0x67e97d…
07-14 23:01:40	Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	220	91¢	$200	0x57cb3e…
07-07 20:40:53	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x3b717a…
07-07 20:40:43	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	85	53¢	$45	0xc7a407…
07-07 19:45:01	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x1439dd…
07-07 19:12:55	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x16b016…
07-07 19:11:53	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x538e48…
07-07 15:23:44	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	106	53¢	$56	0xfd3169…
07-07 15:00:26	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x47f996…
07-07 14:04:31	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	133	53¢	$70	0x8ab320…
07-07 13:34:19	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x90ddbd…
07-07 06:57:55	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x984be2…
07-07 00:14:43	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x45d74f…
07-06 23:09:34	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	33	54¢	$18	0xd6894f…
07-06 23:09:34	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	33	54¢	$18	0x982f85…
07-06 21:10:14	will the announcers say shot 10 times during the usa vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260706134348886	Yes	BUY	80	61¢	$49	0xda8bf4…
07-06 21:05:53	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x192abb…
07-06 20:59:52	will the announcers say shot 10 times during the usa vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260706134348886	No	BUY	60	36¢	$22	0x55059f…
07-06 20:52:47	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	2,078	96¢	$2,000	0x6ed4e5…
07-06 20:51:58	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,063	99¢	$2,036	0xa51dd6…
07-06 20:51:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	568	88¢	$500	0xadd634…
07-06 20:50:59	will bitcoin reach 70000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	427	70¢	$300	0x023c54…
07-06 20:50:37	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,178	89¢	$1,048	0xda55bf…
07-06 20:50:02	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	No	BUY	150	90¢	$135	0x14656d…
07-06 20:39:20	will base launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	724	98¢	$707	0x0a5e44…
07-06 20:39:01	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	45	78¢	$35	0x46d819…
07-06 20:37:55	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Spain	BUY	35	62¢	$22	0x9fed9d…
07-04 03:42:22	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	800	92¢	$736	0xcab392…