Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$146
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
400
lifetime
Volume
$24.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$60
Open exposure
$2.33K
13 positions
First seen
2026-05-26
last 06-18 00:25
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
41%
Crypto
36%
Other
23%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 112 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +655 $550 90¢ $593 +$43 05-29 09:42
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -477 $-449 96¢ $-457 $-8 05-28 02:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No -583 $-443 74¢ $-431 +$12 05-29 08:26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +380 $308 86¢ $329 +$21 05-29 15:59
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +386 $240 76¢ $296 +$55 05-29 03:47
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +199 $83 53¢ $106 +$22 05-29 12:38
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +70 $61 94¢ $65 +$4 05-28 01:34
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -43 $-36 88¢ $-37 $-1 05-29 04:33
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No -9 $-8 99¢ $-9 $-1 05-28 03:49
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No -10 $-3 23¢ $-2 +$1 05-27 22:36
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +11 $1 $0 $-1 06-19 21:12
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -0 $-0 100¢ $-0 $-0 05-28 07:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +0 $0 $0 $-0 05-28 00:55