Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
50.1%
Resolved
11
Trades
295
lifetime
Volume
$1.46K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$141
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-13
last 06-09 16:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Sports
45% 50% $-5
Other
25% 67% +$6
Crypto
15%
Politics
13%
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +7 $5 90¢ $7 +$2 05-30 18:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +9 $5 70¢ $7 +$2 05-31 05:30
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes +6 $5 99¢ $6 +$1 06-06 12:30
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$1 05-31 15:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +17 $5 32¢ $5 +$1 06-02 18:30
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? No +10 $5 56¢ $5 +$1 06-05 10:30
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No +7 $5 72¢ $5 +$0 06-03 00:00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +10 $5 51¢ $5 +$0 06-01 08:30
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? Yes +12 $5 42¢ $5 +$0 06-09 14:00
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? No +7 $5 72¢ $5 +$0 06-05 10:30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +26 $5 20¢ $5 +$0 05-30 23:45
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +6 $5 86¢ $5 +$0 06-01 06:30
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 06-01 04:30
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +6 $5 86¢ $5 +$0 06-03 04:15
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +6 $5 82¢ $5 +$0 06-01 02:30
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No +6 $5 88¢ $5 +$0 06-09 06:03
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes +10 $5 50¢ $5 +$0 06-01 02:45
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +6 $5 77¢ $5 $-0 06-09 12:00
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 76¢ $5 $-0 06-09 16:38
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +5 $5 93¢ $5 $-0 06-06 15:00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +6 $5 80¢ $5 $-0 06-02 00:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +7 $5 68¢ $5 $-0 06-02 16:00
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? No +26 $5 18¢ $5 $-0 06-05 15:30
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $5 86¢ $5 $-0 06-06 11:15
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +10 $5 46¢ $5 $-0 06-06 08:00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +7 $5 62¢ $5 $-0 06-09 13:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +15 $5 26¢ $4 $-1 06-09 07:00
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? Yes +45 $5 $2 $-2 06-02 06:30
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? Yes +125 $2 $1 $-1 06-02 12:30
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes +10 $5 $0 $-5 06-05 02:02