(anonymous) 0xef6527…d07249
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Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
50.1%
Resolved
11
Trades
481
lifetime
Volume
$2.39K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$195
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-13
last 06-30 19:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
40% 67% +$6
Sports
31% 50% $-5
Crypto
15% — —
Politics
12% — —
Tech
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +19 $10 70¢ $13 +$3 06-20 13:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +13 $10 99¢ $13 +$3 06-20 13:30
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +17 $10 70¢ $12 +$2 06-30 13:45
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +12 $10 88¢ $10 +$1 06-20 14:15
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +11 $10 92¢ $10 +$0 06-29 01:15
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No +13 $10 78¢ $10 +$0 06-30 05:00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +12 $10 86¢ $10 +$0 06-20 14:45
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +38 $10 18¢ $7 $-3 06-29 11:28
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +6 $5 100¢ $6 +$1 06-09 12:00
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No +7 $5 88¢ $6 +$1 06-03 00:00
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +6 $5 100¢ $6 +$1 05-31 15:30
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No +6 $5 100¢ $6 +$1 06-09 06:03
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes +6 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 06-26 07:49
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 06-01 06:30
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 86¢ $5 +$0 06-30 07:30
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 06-06 15:00
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 84¢ $5 $-0 06-30 07:45
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes +10 $5 50¢ $5 +$0 06-01 02:45
US recession by end of 2026? No +6 $5 88¢ $5 $-0 06-22 04:30
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $5 92¢ $5 $-0 06-06 11:15
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +5 $5 88¢ $5 $-0 06-22 05:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +7 $5 70¢ $5 $-0 06-29 09:15
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +36 $5 14¢ $5 +$0 06-29 04:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +6 $5 84¢ $5 $-0 06-25 08:00
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +9 $5 52¢ $5 $-0 06-24 06:00
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +10 $5 46¢ $5 $-0 06-06 08:00
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +13 $5 34¢ $5 $-0 06-26 03:30
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +11 $5 42¢ $4 $-1 06-29 03:15
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +8 $5 55¢ $4 $-1 06-21 18:30
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $5 64¢ $4 $-1 06-28 05:15