Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
+$56
Hit rate
50.1%
Resolved
11
Trades
637
lifetime
Volume
$3.10K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$293
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-13
last 07-21 04:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
44% 67% +$6
Sports
30% 50% $-5
Crypto
14%
Politics
11%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No +48 $10 56¢ $27 +$17 07-16 18:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +47 $15 55¢ $26 +$11 07-17 00:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +25 $15 99¢ $24 +$9 07-06 11:00
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No +18 $15 88¢ $16 +$1 07-16 19:01
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +54 $9 29¢ $15 +$6 07-10 01:00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +17 $10 78¢ $13 +$3 06-30 13:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +19 $15 72¢ $13 $-2 07-20 01:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +15 $10 80¢ $12 +$2 07-16 18:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +13 $10 84¢ $11 +$1 07-21 03:15
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +11 $10 94¢ $11 +$1 06-29 01:15
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +12 $10 86¢ $10 +$0 06-20 14:15
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +17 $10 58¢ $10 +$0 07-10 03:45
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +11 $10 90¢ $10 $-0 07-06 07:30
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +20 $10 42¢ $8 $-2 07-02 13:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +16 $5 46¢ $7 +$3 07-06 10:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +11 $5 68¢ $7 +$2 07-02 08:45
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No +7 $5 86¢ $6 +$1 06-03 00:00
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +6 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 06-01 06:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 06-30 07:45
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 06-30 07:30
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 07-01 22:30
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes +6 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 06-26 07:49
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +9 $5 58¢ $5 +$0 06-24 06:00
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 06-06 15:00
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 07-05 16:30
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes +10 $5 50¢ $5 +$0 06-01 02:45
US recession by end of 2026? No +6 $5 88¢ $5 +$0 06-22 04:30
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +5 $5 90¢ $5 $-0 07-02 16:00
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +9 $5 55¢ $5 $-0 07-06 10:15
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +13 $5 34¢ $5 $-0 06-26 03:30