Timely-Photo — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$11.1K

Unrealized P&L

+$7

Hit rate

93.6%

Resolved (90d)

215

Trades (90d)

1,173

2,074 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$208.7K

$309.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

$149

Open exposure

$2.37K

28 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 10-29 10:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 114 days

Categories

Other

74% 83% +$8,827

Politics

19% 67% +$5,819

Crypto

5% 80% +$572

Sports

2% 100% +$5

Tech

1% 75% +$58

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions (28) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	+850	$768	91¢	$774	+$6	10-21 12:55
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	+597	$331	90¢	$540	+$209	08-25 19:17
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	+161	$123	95¢	$154	+$30	09-25 10:39
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+131	$96	96¢	$126	+$30	10-23 19:49
will russia capture all of chasiv yar by december 31	Yes	+464	$198	27¢	$125	-$73	10-14 17:32
russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	Yes	+135	$70	86¢	$117	+$47	09-25 11:16
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	+127	$92	82¢	$104	+$12	10-17 12:33
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026	No	+100	$75	94¢	$94	+$20	09-29 23:27
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?	No	+84	$42	98¢	$83	+$40	07-13 18:09
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026?	Yes	+168	$92	44¢	$74	-$18	08-05 14:13
will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547	Yes	+702	$252	11¢	$74	-$178	09-03 00:44
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	+150	$22	12¢	$19	-$4	10-06 15:34
russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	+135	$31	14¢	$18	-$13	08-09 14:54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	+17	$8	99¢	$17	+$8	10-16 01:31
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?	Yes	+44	$15	25¢	$11	-$4	07-31 17:31
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	+11	$11	98¢	$10	-$1	10-22 03:17
Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	+50	$27	18¢	$9	-$18	09-17 16:03
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	No	+40	$20	19¢	$8	-$12	09-06 09:47
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	+200	$15	3¢	$7	-$8	09-13 12:43
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	+24	$2	18¢	$4	+$3	09-24 07:34
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	No	+93	$6	4¢	$4	-$2	10-11 20:06
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?	Yes	+60	$7	3¢	$2	-$5	08-28 01:53
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+84	$5	2¢	$1	-$4	07-14 08:46
will the us announce a diesel export ban by october 31	Yes	+102	$12	0¢	$0	-$11	10-01 06:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+17	-$2	1¢	$0	+$2	09-05 17:41
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	-$20	98¢	$0	+$20	07-17 09:57
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	-$116	92¢	$0	+$116	10-07 00:05
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	+0	$186	1¢	$0	-$186	10-28 08:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	26	$18.8K	12,603	6,501	+6,101	Yes	+$290	08-19 19:30
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	11	$9.9K	10,148	135	+10,013	Yes	+$401	09-22 03:01
Over $800M crypto hack value in 2026?	2	$8.6K	8,702	0	+8,702	Yes	+$62	05-01 12:55
will russia target kyiv by july 31 2026 20260727233830631	7	$8.6K	8,635	0	+8,635	Yes	+$23	07-30 04:36
moscow air traffic suspended by august 31 20260720155944305	18	$8.6K	12,811	2,023	+10,788	Yes	-$1,583	08-09 14:54
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	4	$7.8K	7,793	0	+7,793	Yes	+$10	05-16 22:06
will russia target kyiv by august 14 2026 20260809090411471	5	$7.2K	7,625	0	+7,625	Yes	+$397	08-11 00:35
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	2	$7.0K	7,000	0	+7,000	No	+$7	05-04 06:31
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	25	$6.7K	5,041	4,186	+855	Yes	+$2,092	10-23 17:19
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	47	$6.6K	6,853	866	+5,987	Yes	+$154	05-24 02:37
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 24, 2026?	15	$6.2K	6,282	2,368	+3,914	Yes	+$1,033	10-24 04:00
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 4, 2026?	3	$5.9K	6,020	0	+6,020	Yes	+$91	10-04 06:43
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 21, 2026?	4	$5.7K	5,729	0	+5,729	Yes	+$10	10-21 06:21
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by September 30?	2	$5.3K	5,295	0	+5,295	No	+$6	10-01 08:19
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	+$5	07-20 00:16
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	7	$4.9K	4,900	0	+4,900	No	+$23	06-03 21:26
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026?	17	$4.7K	4,951	0	+4,951	Yes	+$297	10-01 03:56
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	16	$4.6K	2,600	2,600	+0	open	—	07-17 05:43
will russia target kyiv by september 17 2026 20260909	2	$4.4K	4,423	0	+4,423	Yes	+$5	09-10 07:58
Will Russia target Kyiv by September 11, 2026?	1	$4.4K	4,363	0	+4,363	Yes	+$5	09-02 06:05
Will Russia enter Preobrazhenka by December 31, 2026?	2	$4.1K	4,127	0	+4,127	Yes	+$5	09-15 02:26
will russia enter matiasheve by august 31 20260724170338273	13	$4.1K	4,125	0	+4,125	Yes	+$12	08-08 03:28
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 18, 2026?	21	$4.1K	3,704	2,140	+1,564	Yes	+$601	10-18 16:09
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 22, 2026?	2	$4.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	Yes	+$4	10-22 05:16
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	1	$3.7K	3,658	0	+3,658	No	+$4	09-30 21:21
will russia target kyiv by september 15 2026 20260907	3	$3.4K	3,436	0	+3,436	Yes	+$8	09-09 05:46
will russia target kyiv on august 11 2026 20260810162903046	3	$3.3K	3,635	0	+3,635	Yes	+$323	08-11 18:52
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?	5	$3.2K	3,246	0	+3,246	Yes	+$15	05-30 01:06
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30?	5	$3.2K	1,733	1,733	+0	Yes	+$141	09-22 20:09
will ukraine target moscow by august 7 2026 20260801211847596	5	$3.2K	3,282	0	+3,282	Yes	+$91	08-05 13:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 10:53:07	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	40¢	$44	0xb6fda9…
10-29 10:51:32	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	30¢	$33	0xd642b2…
10-29 10:50:25	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	220	26¢	$57	0x0f9a90…
10-29 10:34:43	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	228	0¢	$0	0x54a659…
10-29 10:34:34	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	143	0¢	$0	0xd33350…
10-28 22:41:47	Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	130	58¢	$76	0x3fbbc1…
10-28 16:14:56	Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0x24d840…
10-28 13:50:22	Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	77	15¢	$12	0x81c769…
10-28 11:51:26	Another vessel struck in the Black Sea by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	80¢	$47	0x104f84…
10-28 08:58:26	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	34	40¢	$13	0x30c3ed…
10-28 08:58:20	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0xdf53a6…
10-28 08:57:43	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0xdab759…
10-28 08:56:50	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x5f7c84…
10-28 08:21:16	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	38	39¢	$15	0xc1e474…
10-28 08:16:41	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	46	39¢	$18	0x785555…
10-28 08:16:31	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0xe8bdd1…
10-28 08:14:59	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0x45091a…
10-28 07:30:46	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	49	40¢	$19	0xe2f87b…
10-28 07:29:14	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0xfb1098…
10-28 07:24:35	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	65	40¢	$26	0xe69e0b…
10-28 06:42:34	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	29	57¢	$16	0x937560…
10-28 06:42:10	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	79	57¢	$45	0x5cf0b5…
10-28 05:54:35	Another vessel struck in the Black Sea by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	42	29¢	$12	0x6c58e7…
10-28 05:53:49	Another vessel struck in the Black Sea by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	71¢	$24	0xd87112…
10-28 04:47:17	Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x8fb1d4…
10-28 04:44:26	Another vessel struck in the Black Sea by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	73¢	$91	0x5aba44…
10-28 04:37:19	Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xf903c9…
10-28 04:37:19	Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xb403c1…
10-28 04:37:19	Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	24	70¢	$17	0xaa4bd8…
10-28 04:37:19	Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	25	70¢	$17	0x73cf97…
10-28 03:51:20	will ukraine agree to give up the rest of donbas by december 31 2027	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x7a637b…
10-28 03:48:25	Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	258	75¢	$194	0x6a7c81…
10-27 04:42:06	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	757	95¢	$719	0xbaf020…
10-27 02:56:35	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x84c2e4…
10-26 23:56:12	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	43	95¢	$41	0x32cb98…
10-26 23:32:57	Will Russia capture Mykolaivka by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	95	99¢	$93	0xf4e3c0…
10-26 14:53:51	Will the Rastriya Swatantra Party candidate win the 2027 Kathmandu mayoral election?	No	BUY	40	34¢	$13	0xf752d4…
10-26 09:54:26	Will the Rastriya Swatantra Party candidate win the 2027 Kathmandu mayoral election?	No	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x439a5a…
10-25 07:56:56	Will the Rastriya Swatantra Party candidate win the 2027 Kathmandu mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xd57f43…
10-25 07:56:56	Will the Rastriya Swatantra Party candidate win the 2027 Kathmandu mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x5b2759…
10-24 14:28:12	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0x265681…
10-24 04:00:54	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	99¢	$92	0x8d83d8…
10-24 03:49:45	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	884	98¢	$863	0x4fa6c5…
10-24 02:59:42	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	706	75¢	$527	0x6629d9…
10-24 02:33:54	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	140	23¢	$33	0xb42eef…
10-24 02:33:41	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	221	22¢	$49	0x79b532…
10-24 02:10:17	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xdc5616…
10-24 02:08:26	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x29ccba…
10-23 19:49:15	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	97¢	$194	0x08b165…
10-23 19:38:29	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0xaf5783…
10-23 18:40:23	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	89	78¢	$70	0x1ead10…
10-23 18:39:12	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0xa67bf6…
10-23 18:27:14	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	278	84¢	$234	0x53f182…
10-23 18:25:39	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	880	80¢	$709	0xded3c3…
10-23 17:46:12	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0xe93b84…
10-23 17:43:44	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x84657f…
10-23 17:27:00	US imports Russian diesel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	190	86¢	$163	0x7b9804…
10-23 17:24:35	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x1f9d65…
10-23 17:19:00	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	152	98¢	$149	0x1d8821…
10-23 17:15:27	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x33aa65…
10-23 17:12:38	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x23f40f…
10-23 17:04:47	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x76797a…
10-23 17:02:17	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	345	1¢	$4	0x5622f6…
10-23 16:55:23	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	150	76¢	$114	0x4a9e5e…
10-23 16:53:39	Will Ukraine re-enter Zakitne by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	246	96¢	$236	0x00148f…
10-23 16:21:36	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	91¢	$86	0x5ef831…
10-23 16:21:11	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x72e818…
10-23 12:54:05	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	33	12¢	$4	0x6b17f2…
10-23 12:39:05	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0x73086d…
10-23 12:28:20	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	250	2¢	$5	0x5c94f9…
10-23 11:37:18	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,126	97¢	$4,007	0x89bb69…
10-23 10:48:42	Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	95	57¢	$54	0x2edd25…
10-23 10:35:36	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	89¢	$10	0xf52347…
10-23 10:35:32	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	89¢	$10	0x55728e…
10-23 10:35:26	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	89¢	$10	0x7923cb…
10-23 10:32:20	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xd9c89f…
10-23 08:57:20	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	552	89¢	$492	0xc03aaf…
10-23 06:38:45	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x46574a…
10-23 06:38:44	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	120	17¢	$20	0x6cc095…
10-23 05:44:57	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	71¢	$16	0xe0ec09…
10-23 04:56:44	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	345	11¢	$38	0xf1ef1b…
10-23 04:31:42	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	128	18¢	$23	0xed54bb…
10-23 04:27:44	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,374	49¢	$678	0x76dc63…
10-22 15:52:30	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	40¢	$200	0xdec9ef…
10-22 15:20:21	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	45¢	$30	0x94b2df…
10-22 15:18:27	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	45¢	$27	0xafd7dc…
10-22 15:11:08	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,225	53¢	$646	0x292f0f…
10-22 15:10:53	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0xd7288e…
10-22 15:10:53	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	45¢	$3	0x99b397…
10-22 15:10:51	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	880	43¢	$382	0x6bf110…
10-22 14:41:06	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	15¢	$4	0xf04f51…
10-22 14:40:48	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	18¢	$10	0x637a6e…
10-22 10:33:51	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x2f2201…
10-22 09:35:53	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	No	SELL	116	69¢	$80	0x129f18…
10-22 09:23:05	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	No	SELL	257	60¢	$154	0x5114a9…
10-22 09:10:21	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	36¢	$50	0xf25856…
10-22 09:10:15	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	33¢	$7	0xe8ece1…
10-22 09:10:11	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	31¢	$61	0x63ac0d…
10-22 09:00:48	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x6b4736…
10-22 08:54:11	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	No	SELL	34	86¢	$30	0x999fb0…