Alarming-Dictaphone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

-$47

Hit rate

47.8%

Resolved

Trades

146

lifetime

Volume

$2.58K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$11

1 position

First seen

2026-05-03

last 06-21 16:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 57% -$13

Other

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-21).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	Yes		+582	$58	2¢	$11	-$47	05-16 06:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	8	$455	400	400	+0	Yes	-$39	05-08 13:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	4	$445	304	304	+0	No	+$17	05-07 01:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	10	$221	1,472	1,472	+0	Down	-$23	05-03 04:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	4	$199	137	137	+0	Yes	-$1	05-08 22:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?	2	$188	100	100	+0	Yes	+$8	05-06 13:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	2	$122	72	72	+0	Yes	+$22	05-05 17:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?	2	$103	60	60	+0	No	+$13	05-15 12:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	2	$98	52	52	+0	Yes	$0	05-11 12:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	2	$97	54	54	+0	No	$0	05-11 13:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?	4	$90	85	85	+0	No	$0	05-11 16:38
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	1	$58	582	0	+582	open	—	05-16 06:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 13?	2	$55	30	30	+0	No	+$5	05-13 13:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	2	$40	23	23	+0	No	+$0	05-13 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	7	$35	269	19	+250	Up	-$5	05-03 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	6	$30	82	27	+55	Down	-$15	05-03 04:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 16:00 UTC	6	$29	24	24	+0	Up	-$1	06-21 16:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 15:05 UTC	4	$23	14	14	+0	Up	+$3	06-21 15:09
bitcoin above 62k on june 8 2026	2	$22	13	13	+0	Yes	+$2	06-08 13:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	4	$21	19	19	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	4	$21	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 09:17
bitcoin above 62k on june 4 2026	2	$18	11	11	+0	Yes	+$4	06-04 16:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	3	$15	61	5	+56	Up	-$5	05-04 02:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	3	$15	20	10	+10	Up	-$5	05-04 02:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	05-04 02:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?	2	$13	8	8	+0	Yes	+$1	05-26 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	3	$13	9	7	+2	Down	+$1	05-03 13:03
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	2	$12	6	6	+0	Yes	+$0	05-05 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 16:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 25?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	05-25 16:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 15:55 UTC	2	$10	7	7	+0	Down	+$0	06-21 15:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 16:07:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 16:05 UTC	Down	SELL	1	74¢	$0	0xecdba2…
06-21 16:06:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 16:05 UTC	Down	SELL	5	88¢	$5	0xb3e082…
06-21 16:06:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 16:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x5f6900…
06-21 16:02:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 16:00 UTC	Up	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0x5f1128…
06-21 16:02:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x4b78ca…
06-21 16:02:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 16:00 UTC	Up	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0xa9dee6…
06-21 16:01:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x8b9ef0…
06-21 16:01:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 16:00 UTC	Down	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0x3c146a…
06-21 16:00:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x9db56f…
06-21 15:58:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 15:55 UTC	Down	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0x7f920e…
06-21 15:55:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x3b58ac…
06-21 15:53:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 15:50 UTC	Down	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0x4af4a2…
06-21 15:52:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xb02326…
06-21 15:12:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 15:10 UTC	Down	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x41e59b…
06-21 15:11:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xc88a44…
06-21 15:09:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 15:05 UTC	Down	SELL	8	90¢	$8	0xa7511d…
06-21 15:08:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x284eb1…
06-21 15:06:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 15:05 UTC	Up	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0x6dcfd8…
06-21 15:06:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xd5612a…
06-08 13:05:10	bitcoin above 62k on june 8 2026	Yes	SELL	13	94¢	$12	0xbffeb8…
06-08 00:17:31	bitcoin above 62k on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xcd65ec…
06-04 16:26:48	bitcoin above 62k on june 4 2026	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x8919ba…
06-04 02:43:52	bitcoin above 62k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0xe729bc…
05-26 13:13:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?	Yes	SELL	8	95¢	$7	0xb3f628…
05-26 00:58:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x1a5c5a…
05-25 16:35:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 25?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf47999…
05-25 02:07:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf026b7…
05-23 12:00:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xdcc074…
05-22 18:34:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 22?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0024e4…
05-21 21:46:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x66bae2…
05-19 23:15:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x15419a…
05-18 15:19:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x840b6c…
05-18 15:17:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x897dd2…
05-18 12:10:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x28c798…
05-17 13:58:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?	Yes	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0xfb1a41…
05-16 17:28:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x7a8e34…
05-16 17:26:56	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x2775a8…
05-16 06:51:44	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	Yes	BUY	582	10¢	$58	0x59584a…
05-15 12:12:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?	No	SELL	60	96¢	$58	0x61ecce…
05-15 02:54:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	60	75¢	$45	0x6e2218…
05-13 13:14:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 13?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$30	0x6cb4f7…
05-13 02:09:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	23	86¢	$20	0xbc37c4…
05-13 02:09:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xb63793…
05-13 02:08:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x73e4e4…
05-11 16:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0xe7fb57…
05-11 16:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xd8a26b…
05-11 16:38:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	11	45¢	$5	0x6fec97…
05-11 16:38:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?	No	SELL	74	54¢	$40	0xaa66c7…
05-11 16:36:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xe98288…
05-11 16:35:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	74	54¢	$40	0xa07739…
05-11 13:01:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	No	SELL	54	90¢	$49	0xc7f19c…
05-11 12:59:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	54	91¢	$49	0x8d0c18…
05-11 12:59:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	52	94¢	$49	0xed688d…
05-11 12:06:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0x455504…
05-09 09:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0xdf4947…
05-09 09:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xb8ff61…
05-09 09:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0xe9ce5f…
05-09 09:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x3b4603…
05-08 22:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x610566…
05-08 22:54:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	Yes	SELL	68	71¢	$49	0x40ee0c…
05-08 22:52:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0x7ed9d5…
05-08 22:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0xff52bf…
05-08 22:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xe7719c…
05-08 22:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	12	45¢	$6	0x26ee78…
05-08 22:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x9b5ab5…
05-08 22:32:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	Yes	SELL	68	73¢	$50	0x7ee736…
05-08 22:29:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0xc92104…
05-08 13:04:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	Yes	SELL	106	52¢	$55	0x14bcf6…
05-08 12:34:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	106	66¢	$70	0x918d1f…
05-08 12:33:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	Yes	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0x76652d…
05-08 12:33:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x049a03…
05-08 12:27:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	Yes	SELL	115	68¢	$78	0x6eccc4…
05-08 12:12:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	115	61¢	$70	0x244175…
05-08 12:11:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	No	SELL	169	40¢	$68	0x2973a1…
05-08 01:38:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x9377fe…
05-07 01:46:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	No	SELL	149	75¢	$112	0x66d846…
05-07 01:31:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	149	77¢	$115	0xe95ab1…
05-07 01:30:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	No	SELL	155	77¢	$119	0x845acd…
05-06 21:53:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	155	64¢	$99	0x29c97b…
05-06 13:10:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x3d0ca3…
05-06 04:53:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x31dd35…
05-05 21:24:46	Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x8f4960…
05-05 17:47:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	Yes	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0xd48722…
05-05 03:12:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x27132d…
05-04 03:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	11	42¢	$4	0x322ec5…
05-04 02:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xff380c…
05-04 02:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf0c969…
05-04 02:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x2fa649…
05-04 02:54:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xfbc8c3…
05-04 02:53:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x090578…
05-04 02:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x85b8c0…
05-04 02:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x0dcadb…
05-04 02:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x229dea…
05-04 02:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd743f2…
05-04 02:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x952f5c…
05-04 02:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x395339…
05-04 02:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x82e157…
05-03 13:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4a0565…
05-03 13:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	37	1¢	$0	0x1be0ef…
05-03 13:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x3ed655…