Orderly-Ischemia — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

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Unrealized P&L

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Hit rate

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Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

1,222 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$4.61K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

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0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 07-07 19:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 77% -$15

Other

16% 60% -$115

Politics

2% 68% -$9

Tech

1% 93% +$1

Sports

0% 67% -$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-07).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 18:00 UTC	9	$40	50	0	+50	Up	+$9	02-25 18:14
highest temperature in seoul on january 26 neg 1c	2	$40	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	01-26 08:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-17 23:30 UTC	4	$31	23	12	+12	Up	+$3	02-17 23:45
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	12	$28	19	19	+0	No	+$6	02-01 09:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 20:15 UTC	2	$27	18	18	+0	Up	+$8	02-14 20:30
will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on february 6	3	$27	15	15	+0	Yes	+$3	02-06 19:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 01:30 UTC	2	$26	14	14	+0	Up	+$1	03-02 01:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 22:30 UTC	3	$25	13	13	+0	Down	+$0	03-01 22:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 19:15 UTC	2	$24	13	13	+0	Up	+$1	03-03 19:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 05:00 UTC	2	$24	14	14	+0	Up	+$4	02-15 05:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 10:00 UTC	2	$23	16	16	+0	Down	+$4	02-10 10:14
will bitcoin dip to 62k february 2 8	4	$23	15	15	+0	Yes	+$1	02-05 20:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 23:45 UTC	2	$22	13	13	+0	Up	+$3	02-14 00:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 20:45 UTC	2	$22	13	13	+0	Up	+$3	02-14 21:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 04:30 UTC	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	02-15 04:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-17 20:45 UTC	2	$22	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	02-17 21:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 10:15 UTC	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	02-10 10:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 23:00 UTC	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	02-16 23:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 20:30 UTC	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	02-14 20:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 22:15 UTC	2	$22	12	12	+0	Down	+$3	02-14 22:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 22:30 UTC	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	02-14 22:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 23:45 UTC	2	$21	12	12	+0	Up	+$3	02-16 00:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 22:45 UTC	2	$21	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	02-15 23:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 22:00 UTC	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	02-16 22:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 09:00 UTC	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	02-16 09:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 09:30 UTC	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	02-16 09:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 16:00 UTC	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	02-14 16:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-18 00:00 UTC	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	02-18 00:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 23:30 UTC	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	02-16 23:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 07:30 UTC	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	02-15 07:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 19:30:19	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x7b0be9…
07-07 17:34:29	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xcfd190…
07-03 20:43:50	will ethereum reach 1900 in july 2026	No	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xf0375e…
07-01 22:08:43	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xdfcab3…
07-01 22:08:35	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xebde04…
06-30 21:11:02	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xac4155…
06-30 10:40:44	Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0ac113…
06-30 10:40:34	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xbbce30…
06-30 10:39:38	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xaa666b…
06-23 22:27:07	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xecebd1…
06-23 22:27:01	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x8a790d…
06-23 22:26:53	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x0f3c0c…
06-23 22:26:46	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xa3a1da…
06-23 22:26:38	Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x6fe97d…
06-23 22:26:32	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x24ac3e…
06-23 22:26:25	Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x631033…
06-23 22:26:19	Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x059b9a…
06-23 22:26:08	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x675d4e…
06-23 22:25:46	Will Panama win on 2026-06-23?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xa9ee2f…
06-23 18:30:14	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x10da98…
06-23 18:30:01	Will England win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x9deb36…
06-22 18:45:28	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xb7f266…
06-21 17:29:05	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x270fbd…
06-21 17:28:53	Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xa336b8…
06-21 17:28:44	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xa50bf8…
06-21 17:28:22	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xfe42df…
06-21 09:39:08	Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xdfaa02…
06-21 09:38:55	Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xffe5a9…
06-21 09:38:44	Will England win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x7653bf…
06-21 09:38:37	Will France win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x6bd7cc…
06-21 09:38:22	Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xa86045…
06-21 09:38:08	Will France win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xb45f58…
06-21 09:37:55	Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x947710…
06-21 09:37:49	Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xfc6cfc…
06-21 09:37:38	Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xf60cef…
06-21 09:37:20	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x052bb2…
06-19 20:10:22	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x2cd88b…
06-19 20:10:01	Will United States win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xf5c29a…
06-18 22:59:35	Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xa011db…
06-18 22:59:25	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x08828d…
06-18 21:52:17	Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xe4491a…
06-18 07:46:32	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x91718a…
06-18 07:46:14	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd2f76f…
06-18 07:45:46	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x63529b…
06-18 07:44:25	gpt 5pt6 released by june 23 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xba0eab…
06-18 07:43:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xafe41e…
06-18 07:43:34	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 19	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1a8f9c…
06-18 07:43:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 18	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x47db24…
06-18 07:42:38	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216 619	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x21ff83…
06-18 07:42:01	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xf215d4…
06-18 07:41:41	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x146d50…
06-17 22:34:13	Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x3f3e1c…
06-17 22:32:47	Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x0f4873…
06-17 22:28:13	Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xab0845…
06-17 22:28:01	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x7e6d97…
06-17 22:27:20	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1d2654…
06-17 22:26:25	Will France win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xddda1e…
06-17 22:24:53	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xa4073d…
06-17 22:20:14	Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x77a8a5…
06-16 10:48:33	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x79d3cd…
06-16 10:47:52	Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf5a105…
06-16 10:42:45	Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xb37581…
06-16 10:42:00	Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x77c790…
06-16 10:40:42	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x453852…
06-16 10:37:00	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xb7ecaa…
06-16 09:01:06	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x6964f6…
06-16 09:00:48	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xbb24d8…
06-16 09:00:33	Will England win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x55b806…
06-16 09:00:25	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x95edbc…
06-16 09:00:10	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xfb7de7…
06-16 08:59:52	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x0f52ac…
05-14 15:42:52	Will Trump say "Kamikaze" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa8fec5…
05-14 15:42:38	Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe3c6b2…
05-14 15:41:35	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xf8cb38…
05-14 15:41:19	Will Trump announce new sanctions on China?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2e109f…
05-14 15:41:14	Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4c2c8d…
05-14 15:41:03	Will Trump announce the release of detained Americans?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x3f3894…
05-14 15:40:53	Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x7acc64…
05-12 21:01:35	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xad3f35…
05-06 14:02:42	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x40d915…
05-06 14:01:36	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xb59eb9…
03-03 19:57:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 19:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2209d5…
03-03 19:56:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd58395…
03-03 19:43:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x186e2b…
03-03 19:30:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 19:15 UTC	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xe9e52f…
03-03 19:25:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x0ca01b…
03-03 19:15:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 19:00 UTC	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x30fb81…
03-03 19:10:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	94¢	$6	0x6741b5…
03-03 18:59:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 18:45 UTC	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x237b42…
03-03 18:56:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x2d2eae…
03-03 18:12:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 18:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x93eead…
03-03 18:10:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x05ed32…
03-03 02:28:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 02:15 UTC	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x7bbf21…
03-03 02:25:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	92¢	$8	0x1edd48…
03-03 02:25:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0x5f0034…
03-03 01:28:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 01:15 UTC	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xb21611…
03-03 01:26:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xfb0b56…
03-03 01:26:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	0	81¢	$0	0xef97c6…
03-03 00:30:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 00:15 UTC	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x2531ba…
03-03 00:27:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xa82870…