Realized P&L
+$134
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
63.6%
Resolved
1,379
Trades
1,815
lifetime
Volume
$8.89K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$404
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-07
last 10-26 19:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 156 days
Categories
Other
67% 62% -$154
Sports
18% 60% +$371
Politics
10% 58% -$98
Tech
3% 89% +$37
Crypto
2% 55% -$22
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +355 $45 14¢ $48 +$3 10-13 17:35
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes +212 $62 22¢ $46 -$16 10-14 20:47
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +25 $19 84¢ $21 +$2 09-26 09:56
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +22 $20 94¢ $21 +$1 10-13 17:40
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +25 $20 82¢ $21 +$1 10-13 17:39
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +23 $20 84¢ $19 -$1 09-18 18:56
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +31 $23 56¢ $18 -$5 10-21 20:29
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +42 $18 41¢ $17 -$1 10-21 20:27
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +19 $15 78¢ $15 $0 10-15 18:42
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +21 $13 70¢ $15 +$2 10-14 20:46
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? No +47 $10 29¢ $13 +$3 10-13 17:38
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +12 $9 99¢ $12 +$3 10-15 18:46
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +12 $10 100¢ $12 +$2 09-23 19:23
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +12 $10 100¢ $12 +$2 09-26 09:56
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +16 $10 72¢ $12 +$2 10-13 17:43
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +12 $10 84¢ $10 +$0 10-13 17:42
Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? Yes +17 $5 60¢ $10 +$5 09-26 09:57
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +14 $9 72¢ $10 +$1 10-21 20:26
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +14 $10 57¢ $8 -$2 06-03 09:08
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +8 $5 83¢ $7 +$2 10-13 17:44
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes +9 $5 69¢ $6 +$1 10-13 17:39
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +6 $5 100¢ $6 +$1 09-10 19:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +6 $5 100¢ $6 +$1 07-21 13:08
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +8 $5 74¢ $6 +$1 09-23 19:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +51 $15 12¢ $6 -$9 09-10 19:45
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +17 $9 33¢ $6 -$3 09-23 19:17
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +7 $5 81¢ $6 +$1 10-13 17:41
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +7 $5 82¢ $6 +$1 09-23 19:21
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? No +6 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 07-21 13:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +6 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 09-23 19:32