Oblong-Dusk — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

178

lifetime

Volume

$10.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$60

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 06-19 03:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

53% 0% $-3

Crypto

37% 0% $-10

Other

6% — —

Sports

3% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Superform FDV above $20M one day after launch?	9	$1.1K	642	642	+0	open	—	02-10 22:21
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	4	$887	505	505	+0	open	—	03-15 23:07
Tria FDV above $100M one day after launch?	5	$688	361	361	+0	open	—	02-04 07:41
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$642	354	354	+0	open	—	03-17 18:48
us strikes iran by february 10 2026	2	$599	308	308	+0	open	—	02-10 01:23
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	3	$429	385	385	+0	open	—	03-09 00:19
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	2	$397	286	286	+0	open	—	03-04 20:56
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$386	322	322	+0	open	—	04-01 04:02
will iran strike uae again in march	2	$372	200	200	+0	open	—	04-05 17:13
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	4	$367	190	190	+0	open	—	03-15 23:07
will iran strike oman again in march	6	$364	200	200	+0	open	—	04-04 04:13
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	9	$302	643	643	+0	open	—	04-07 21:56
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	5	$267	223	223	+0	open	—	03-09 20:42
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	2	$224	134	134	+0	open	—	03-15 23:06
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	5	$205	200	200	+0	open	—	03-10 23:27
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$199	110	110	+0	open	—	03-04 23:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	3	$197	227	227	+0	Yes	$-3	05-08 18:02
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	4	$196	200	200	+0	open	—	03-27 00:50
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	5	$194	200	200	+0	open	—	03-27 00:49
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	4	$194	200	200	+0	open	—	03-27 00:48
us forces enter iran by march 7	2	$190	107	107	+0	open	—	03-05 08:59
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	1	$189	190	0	+190	open	—	03-05 09:01
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$187	127	127	+0	open	—	03-04 01:05
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	2	$182	100	99	+1	open	—	04-05 12:43
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	2	$179	280	280	+0	open	—	03-11 23:15
will us or israel strike iran on march 7 2026	2	$176	93	93	+0	open	—	03-04 10:27
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	2	$150	224	0	+224	open	—	02-09 01:22
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in April?	4	$149	100	98	+2	open	—	04-05 23:32
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$101	130	130	+0	open	—	04-07 19:46
us forces enter iran by march 3 882 999	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	03-04 01:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-19 03:09:10	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0x7b14af…
06-17 23:03:19	will cristiano ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	13	21¢	$3	0xc21727…
06-16 02:42:01	will neymar score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145108553	Yes	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x402a9f…
06-16 02:41:39	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	80	18¢	$14	0x1ba970…
06-16 02:38:37	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	83	17¢	$14	0x1cf008…
06-16 02:37:55	will neymar score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145108553	Yes	SELL	19	24¢	$5	0xa95d1e…
06-16 02:37:30	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	83	18¢	$15	0xdc046e…
06-16 01:01:27	will neymar score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145108553	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xb5dd2d…
06-16 00:55:45	will sweden go unbeaten in the 2026 fifa world cup group stage 20260612152622458	Yes	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0x26b866…
06-16 00:54:21	will scotland go unbeaten in the 2026 fifa world cup group stage 20260612152622455	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x93ffa1…
06-16 00:49:10	will ivory coast go unbeaten in the 2026 fifa world cup group stage 20260612152622441	No	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x0f31a3…
06-16 00:47:40	will iran go unbeaten in the 2026 fifa world cup group stage 20260612152622421	No	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0xed2e79…
06-16 00:46:10	will japan go unbeaten in the 2026 fifa world cup group stage 20260612152622420	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x2bb616…
06-16 00:42:24	will germany go unbeaten in the 2026 fifa world cup group stage 20260612152622448	Yes	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0x821ec2…
06-16 00:23:33	will austria reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120772	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xeba387…
06-03 11:06:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	900	0¢	$4	0x839608…
05-26 00:17:05	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	56	50¢	$28	0xd9c6a0…
05-08 18:02:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	114	46¢	$52	0x86b082…
04-28 22:36:38	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0x7e5335…
04-27 23:58:44	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x53d33a…
04-27 23:58:12	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x316c7e…
04-25 15:28:08	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0xae0de3…
04-22 00:56:10	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	24	56¢	$13	0x297e2c…
04-21 23:25:28	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	15	56¢	$8	0x4af60a…
04-07 21:56:19	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	343	1¢	$3	0x494c92…
04-07 19:46:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	130	39¢	$51	0xb5ee77…
04-05 23:32:17	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in April?	Yes	SELL	57	80¢	$46	0x6b3edc…
04-05 23:29:51	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in April?	Yes	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xcd7c04…
04-05 23:15:15	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in April?	Yes	SELL	36	80¢	$29	0xf58ba9…
04-05 22:49:13	Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	40	26¢	$10	0x283cf7…
04-05 22:44:09	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x1865ff…
04-05 22:42:25	highest temperature in moscow on april 5 2026 7corbelow	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xaadb30…
04-05 17:13:15	will iran strike uae again in march	Yes	SELL	200	93¢	$186	0x7cba9d…
04-05 12:43:09	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	99	94¢	$93	0xccac5f…
04-04 04:13:47	will iran strike oman again in march	No	SELL	200	91¢	$182	0x8eaa67…
04-03 23:04:37	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xcec8b9…
04-02 23:19:57	will ethereum dip to 1900 march 30 april 5	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x072935…
04-02 23:19:45	will ethereum reach 2200 march 30 april 5	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x46765c…
04-02 23:17:23	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x46dd67…
04-02 23:17:17	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in April?	Yes	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0x615f62…
04-02 23:12:39	highest temperature in moscow on april 5 2026 7corbelow	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xfd7c49…
04-02 23:12:07	highest temperature in moscow on april 5 2026 8c	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x5e3e36…
04-02 23:11:11	highest temperature in moscow on april 4 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x4e6cc2…
04-01 04:02:31	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	160	100¢	$160	0x31c461…
03-27 10:41:01	will iran strike oman again in march	No	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x550ff1…
03-27 09:17:21	will iran strike oman again in march	No	BUY	133	91¢	$121	0x4b3af1…
03-27 09:11:13	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	160	82¢	$131	0x9a0c59…
03-27 02:05:13	will iran strike uae again in march	Yes	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x7615e2…
03-27 01:26:51	will iran strike oman again in march	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xdd038b…
03-27 01:24:35	will iran strike oman again in march	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd70b46…
03-27 01:21:17	will iran strike oman again in march	No	BUY	61	91¢	$56	0x492c53…
03-27 00:50:57	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	100	37¢	$37	0xe98c4a…
03-27 00:50:51	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	100	62¢	$62	0x3e9408…
03-27 00:50:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	100	57¢	$57	0xcc89a3…
03-27 00:50:01	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	100	42¢	$42	0xd1ca1a…
03-27 00:49:17	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	SELL	100	57¢	$57	0xc862f1…
03-27 00:49:09	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	SELL	100	42¢	$42	0x087d39…
03-27 00:48:51	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	SELL	100	63¢	$63	0xeed984…
03-27 00:48:47	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	SELL	100	36¢	$36	0xfcbcf5…
03-27 00:43:33	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x0eb45c…
03-27 00:40:31	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	Yes	SELL	100	11¢	$11	0x35425e…
03-25 10:05:21	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	BUY	92	53¢	$49	0x1e9442…
03-25 09:50:33	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xc8a0da…
03-25 09:09:57	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x30534f…
03-25 06:56:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x1a70e6…
03-25 05:47:33	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x33558f…
03-25 04:43:13	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x204db8…
03-25 03:07:43	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0xf57b03…
03-25 02:59:45	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x0c4c1f…
03-25 01:39:01	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0xb1e531…
03-25 01:20:17	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	100	50¢	$50	0x8e279f…
03-25 01:19:13	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x3bd2a5…
03-25 01:17:37	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	Yes	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x076f86…
03-24 23:20:53	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xa72cb6…
03-24 23:18:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	130	39¢	$51	0x1c81c7…
03-17 18:48:27	USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	354	91¢	$323	0xaf8503…
03-15 23:07:21	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	No	SELL	94	100¢	$94	0xbe0a16…
03-15 23:07:03	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	No	SELL	113	100¢	$113	0xc2d392…
03-15 23:06:55	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	SELL	134	93¢	$124	0x87376e…
03-14 13:18:39	will sentimental value win best international feature film at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	67	67¢	$45	0x15899d…
03-13 00:21:57	will sentimental value win best international feature film at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	67	66¢	$44	0x05b422…
03-13 00:19:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	114	39¢	$44	0xc247db…
03-13 00:18:03	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	No	BUY	94	96¢	$90	0x044d54…
03-13 00:09:45	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	No	SELL	96	94¢	$90	0x003c46…
03-12 23:17:31	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	No	BUY	96	96¢	$92	0x0ac28c…
03-11 23:15:29	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	SELL	280	32¢	$90	0xacba00…
03-11 22:41:51	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	280	32¢	$90	0xb1287f…
03-11 17:45:41	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	SELL	162	29¢	$47	0x6ad589…
03-11 17:45:01	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	162	28¢	$45	0x2bba47…
03-10 23:31:59	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	No	BUY	113	95¢	$107	0x16a6ee…
03-10 23:29:07	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	162	31¢	$50	0xc4c364…
03-10 23:28:17	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	162	31¢	$50	0xa7f8c0…
03-10 23:27:13	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	SELL	100	65¢	$65	0xed213a…
03-10 23:26:31	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	SELL	100	66¢	$66	0x413d9f…
03-10 17:22:45	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x850a96…
03-10 08:24:49	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	BUY	90	40¢	$36	0x161f24…
03-09 21:50:37	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x7759c8…
03-09 20:42:47	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	42	34¢	$14	0xefa7ad…
03-09 20:42:19	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	42	35¢	$15	0xcd6d1c…
03-09 20:41:41	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	84	34¢	$29	0x56204d…