Shimmering-Peanut 0xf3ea14…6a3039 Create alert
cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.78K
Unrealized P&L
-$576
Hit rate
68.9%
Resolved
468
Trades
916
lifetime
Volume
$32.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$5.33K
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-13 16:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 144 days
Categories
Other
49% 63% -$1,836
Politics
21% 70% +$21
Sports
18% 50% -$145
Crypto
8% 61% +$185
Tech
3% 80% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -1,577 -$1,485 98¢ $-1551 -$66 07-22 04:11
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -1,482 -$1,395 99¢ $-1461 -$65 11-03 17:46
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? Yes +772 $430 62¢ $482 +$52 11-13 16:02
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -390 -$428 98¢ $-383 +$45 07-30 15:35
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No -398 -$374 92¢ $-366 +$8 11-13 16:01
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +464 $360 62¢ $290 -$70 11-01 08:06
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? Yes +223 $170 97¢ $217 +$47 11-09 05:45
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +287 $250 62¢ $180 -$70 10-25 07:46
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +455 $100 22¢ $102 +$2 11-08 16:04
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +1,016 $620 10¢ $96 -$524 11-11 16:06
will amazon launch a muse like personal agent before 2027 No +50 $40 90¢ $45 +$5 10-14 13:26
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +42 $35 93¢ $40 +$5 11-03 13:27
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? Yes +87 $30 42¢ $37 +$7 10-22 05:34
Trump out as President before 2027? No +27 -$43 98¢ $26 +$70 10-31 18:17
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +32 $20 66¢ $21 +$1 11-03 13:20
Next US president 40+ years old at inauguration? Yes +17 $15 91¢ $15 +$0 11-09 03:38
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $10 99¢ $11 +$1 10-23 05:28
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +65 $30 11¢ $7 -$23 10-25 06:31
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +26 $2 5¢ $1 -$1 11-02 11:27
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes -8 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 10-27 07:24