Realized P&L (7d)
—
Unrealized P&L
+$744
Hit rate
—
Resolved (7d)
0
Trades (7d)
8
7,202 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$880
$450.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$63
Open exposure
$9.08K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-12 11:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 147 days
Categories
Politics
66% 64% +$16,234
Crypto
19% 43% -$4,582
Other
14% 36% +$4,083
Tech
0% 67% +$105
Sports
0% 0% -$295
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 112 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +3,144 $1,361 56¢ $1.7K +$384 09-06 00:37
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +1,654 $1,336 93¢ $1.5K +$208 08-20 14:53
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +2,034 $834 72¢ $1.5K +$620 08-21 03:15
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +1,300 $881 87¢ $1.1K +$250 08-16 19:44
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +642 $567 93¢ $597 +$30 09-07 19:49
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No -445 -$454 94¢ $-418 +$36 10-29 20:10
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? Yes +1,970 $372 20¢ $384 +$12 09-16 19:04
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +300 $183 98¢ $294 +$111 05-25 22:23
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes -400 -$302 66¢ $-264 +$38 10-26 22:59
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No +200 $172 99¢ $197 +$25 05-15 10:55
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +200 $154 94¢ $189 +$35 07-02 06:53
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +200 $106 92¢ $183 +$77 06-28 09:19
Papertrade FDV above $75M one day after launch? Yes +330 $252 42¢ $137 -$115 11-07 15:35
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes +800 $554 17¢ $136 -$418 09-29 03:33
Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027? Yes +400 $299 33¢ $130 -$169 10-10 13:51
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? No +400 $88 22¢ $88 +$0 11-10 13:35
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -374 $33 21¢ $-77 -$111 09-18 20:06
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? Yes +152 $28 38¢ $58 +$29 10-28 00:27
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026? Yes +40 $8 69¢ $28 +$19 10-25 23:39
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -774 $343 3¢ $-26 -$369 09-11 13:49
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +0 -$49 63¢ $0 +$49 11-05 08:42