Realized P&L
-$18
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
20.6%
Resolved
57
Trades
177
lifetime
Volume
$40
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$2
15 positions
First seen
2026-05-25
last 08-31 16:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Politics
59% 5% -$7
Other
37% 0% -$10
Sports
3% 0% -$1
Crypto
1% — —
Tech
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? No +10 $1 3¢ $0 $0 06-10 17:19
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +5 $0 4¢ $0 $0 05-28 06:59
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? Yes +5 $0 4¢ $0 $0 05-31 08:00
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? Yes +5 $0 3¢ $0 $0 06-11 08:58
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? Yes +5 $0 3¢ $0 $0 06-17 04:28
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? No +5 $0 3¢ $0 $0 06-05 22:02
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +5 $0 3¢ $0 $0 05-28 07:31
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +5 $0 3¢ $0 $0 05-28 07:04
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? Yes +10 $0 1¢ $0 $0 06-16 11:50
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? Yes +15 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 06-08 19:33
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? Yes +5 $0 1¢ $0 $0 06-13 19:55
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? Yes +10 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 06-16 17:12
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 $0 08-31 16:22
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 $0 06-13 20:53
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 $0 05-28 08:01