Queasy-Basis — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$156

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

671

lifetime

Volume

$255.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$380

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 08-11 00:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

77% 100% +$153

Tech

12% — —

Politics

12% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 89 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	56	$31.6K	30,686	15,492	+15,194	open	—	06-25 15:30
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	26	$25.8K	24,074	6,174	+17,900	open	—	06-29 12:10
Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?	31	$18.5K	6,866	11,833	-4,967	open	—	07-09 23:06
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	11	$17.4K	18,000	1,000	+17,000	open	—	08-11 00:34
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	89	$16.7K	9,000	8,697	+303	Yes	+$143	04-26 20:26
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	90	$11.9K	6,000	6,000	+0	open	—	07-07 16:10
will wti dip to 10 in july 2026 851	14	$10.0K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	07-09 03:14
will wti reach 130 in july 2026	19	$8.7K	4,358	4,357	+0	open	—	07-25 08:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	79	$6.7K	3,287	3,473	-187	open	—	05-15 08:38
New pandemic in 2026?	7	$6.5K	0	7,115	-7,115	open	—	07-04 16:08
Netanyahu out by May 31?	6	$6.0K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	05-27 00:22
will the ecb announce no change at the february 2026 meeting	1	$5.0K	5,100	0	+5,100	open	—	01-24 18:39
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	04-26 19:23
iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	07-31 10:41
Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	+$10	05-12 19:59
bank of japan decreases interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	01-18 11:09
will gta 6 cost 100	3	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	02-11 17:19
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	13	$4.7K	2,430	2,430	+0	open	—	04-08 14:14
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	9	$4.4K	29,901	2,116	+27,785	open	—	06-30 09:13
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	7	$3.3K	3,600	1,000	+2,600	open	—	06-07 13:20
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	3	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	06-25 11:46
Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	6	$2.7K	2,555	1,127	+1,429	open	—	06-07 13:21
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	57	$2.4K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	04-10 09:55
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?	2	$2.3K	2,322	0	+2,322	open	—	06-29 15:43
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	23	$2.3K	1,833	2,000	-167	open	—	06-07 20:22
will wti dip to 30 in july 2026 321	2	$2.2K	1,080	1,080	+0	open	—	07-10 17:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-09 22:19
Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	3	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	05-14 10:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	5	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-24 14:34
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-25 10:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 00:34:51	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	1,000	90¢	$900	0x469cd2…
08-10 03:33:40	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	1,000	91¢	$910	0x08894b…
08-09 12:22:30	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x24d8f0…
07-31 10:41:50	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0x948430…
07-27 05:41:43	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	484	97¢	$468	0x2af795…
07-25 08:28:16	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	SELL	1,380	99¢	$1,372	0x42819d…
07-25 05:33:22	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	103	97¢	$100	0x4a6700…
07-22 11:31:57	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	190	97¢	$184	0x2c0f60…
07-18 11:59:58	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	777	97¢	$750	0xf2dfe2…
07-16 15:00:38	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	5,000	92¢	$4,600	0x60210a…
07-16 14:41:22	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	4,000	92¢	$3,680	0x92f499…
07-16 14:37:49	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	4,000	92¢	$3,680	0xdfe08e…
07-16 09:48:16	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	391	100¢	$389	0x851e2c…
07-16 05:51:56	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x79e3e4…
07-15 23:21:41	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x6e783f…
07-15 23:15:44	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	12	100¢	$11	0xe7909b…
07-15 21:46:29	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x61ee8d…
07-15 17:21:55	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0x10d069…
07-15 16:30:44	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	SELL	2,000	99¢	$1,984	0x1b09a2…
07-15 16:29:07	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	SELL	440	99¢	$435	0x010826…
07-15 16:28:50	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	No	SELL	1,000	97¢	$970	0x9a9db3…
07-15 16:27:29	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	565	88¢	$500	0xbbe0df…
07-15 16:25:55	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0xc139c9…
07-14 18:08:04	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	246	100¢	$245	0x7e8664…
07-14 15:53:25	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	254	100¢	$253	0x5caefa…
07-14 15:49:34	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x37c466…
07-14 05:10:31	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	1,272	91¢	$1,158	0x2ad46b…
07-14 04:09:40	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	350	80¢	$280	0x4dd1fa…
07-13 22:15:23	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	728	91¢	$662	0x7ac20f…
07-13 18:35:13	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	833	91¢	$758	0xbb5ab4…
07-13 12:54:56	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xde4bdf…
07-13 12:50:25	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	350	61¢	$213	0xef2026…
07-13 12:19:56	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	128	91¢	$116	0x8ae2b5…
07-13 12:19:40	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x9da71d…
07-11 17:23:08	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	1,290	100¢	$1,287	0xc0d5f6…
07-11 17:22:08	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	500	95¢	$474	0x9f0ea1…
07-11 09:17:47	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	No	BUY	210	99¢	$208	0x13c252…
07-11 06:41:05	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	No	BUY	290	99¢	$287	0x0da668…
07-11 00:03:13	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	500	99¢	$496	0x06d7bd…
07-10 18:21:19	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	497	100¢	$495	0x91d6b5…
07-10 17:50:29	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	503	100¢	$501	0x0a83ed…
07-10 17:47:26	will wti dip to 30 in july 2026 321	No	SELL	1,080	100¢	$1,078	0x0f5325…
07-10 17:45:16	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	SELL	1,000	100¢	$996	0xa03437…
07-09 23:06:53	will openai ipo by july 31 2026	No	SELL	3,303	100¢	$3,287	0xf22531…
07-09 16:29:58	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$994	0x47e69e…
07-09 16:27:52	will wti dip to 30 in july 2026 321	No	BUY	1,080	100¢	$1,078	0x54e3c7…
07-09 16:27:26	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0xd756e6…
07-09 03:14:40	will wti dip to 10 in july 2026 851	No	SELL	86	100¢	$86	0xca4e1e…
07-09 03:10:13	will wti dip to 10 in july 2026 851	No	SELL	414	100¢	$414	0xa2b989…
07-09 03:03:43	will wti dip to 10 in july 2026 851	No	SELL	796	100¢	$796	0xeb4ccb…
07-09 02:53:11	will wti dip to 10 in july 2026 851	No	SELL	464	100¢	$463	0xa67899…
07-09 02:46:58	will wti dip to 10 in july 2026 851	No	SELL	805	100¢	$804	0x7c4781…
07-09 02:43:26	will wti dip to 10 in july 2026 851	No	SELL	495	100¢	$495	0xe571b9…
07-09 02:36:50	will wti dip to 10 in july 2026 851	No	SELL	734	100¢	$733	0x703e27…
07-09 02:08:46	will wti dip to 10 in july 2026 851	No	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0xf5cfec…
07-08 23:27:20	will openai ipo by july 31 2026	No	SELL	73	99¢	$73	0xbb893e…
07-08 17:03:41	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	No	BUY	500	98¢	$491	0x55a74f…
07-08 16:31:47	will openai ipo by july 31 2026	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x873566…
07-08 13:17:19	will openai ipo by july 31 2026	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x6d927f…
07-08 12:22:08	will wti dip to 10 in july 2026 851	No	SELL	117	100¢	$117	0xd46729…
07-08 10:21:41	will wti dip to 10 in july 2026 851	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xd32d68…
07-08 10:13:52	will wti dip to 10 in july 2026 851	No	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0xdaf33e…
07-08 05:24:35	will wti dip to 10 in july 2026 851	No	SELL	345	100¢	$345	0x1e2d69…
07-08 03:26:07	will wti dip to 10 in july 2026 851	No	SELL	446	100¢	$446	0x626a90…
07-08 02:04:28	will openai ipo by july 31 2026	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x05cf0d…
07-07 22:23:05	will openai ipo by july 31 2026	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x914771…
07-07 22:04:35	will openai ipo by july 31 2026	No	SELL	66	99¢	$66	0x1eb594…
07-07 21:53:22	will openai ipo by july 31 2026	No	SELL	134	99¢	$133	0x0d86a7…
07-07 20:16:22	will openai ipo by july 31 2026	No	SELL	704	99¢	$701	0x0e3100…
07-07 20:01:28	will openai ipo by july 31 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xda6818…
07-07 17:33:41	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	500	99¢	$493	0x63ac67…
07-07 16:10:26	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1,931	99¢	$1,920	0x48073f…
07-07 15:57:40	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x3b389e…
07-07 15:56:11	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x9043ae…
07-07 15:54:14	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x4481ee…
07-07 15:53:53	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x75c85b…
07-07 15:52:23	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x206bf4…
07-07 15:49:29	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd79579…
07-07 15:46:31	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x81ebd8…
07-07 15:45:22	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xc0a80d…
07-07 09:58:38	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	107	99¢	$106	0x382fb0…
07-07 09:58:05	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x8c821b…
07-07 09:56:17	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd40d42…
07-07 09:56:10	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x47630f…
07-07 09:55:34	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x110417…
07-07 09:55:02	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x443f0d…
07-07 09:54:47	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xe8b195…
07-07 09:53:05	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa5e524…
07-07 09:52:37	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x2525b7…
07-07 09:52:25	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x25a248…
07-07 09:50:58	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x3c91e3…
07-07 09:50:44	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	174	99¢	$173	0x7990c8…
07-07 09:50:34	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd15016…
07-07 09:50:16	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x41502d…
07-07 09:49:38	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x0a7b45…
07-07 09:48:58	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x2eb01b…
07-07 09:48:26	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x67671d…
07-07 09:47:46	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	666	99¢	$662	0x5062f9…
07-07 09:47:22	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xe6eb4c…
07-07 09:46:55	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x25bd34…