Close-Portion 0xf82aad…717c35
bot 7W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$478
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
55.0%
Resolved
323
Trades
961
lifetime
Volume
$11.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$604
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-31 16:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 107 days
Categories
Other
74% 41% -$413
Politics
17% 36% +$42
Crypto
4% 25% -$76
Sports
3% 29% -$16
Tech
2% 50% -$14
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +100 $92 94¢ $94 +$2 10-28 16:07
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +100 $81 76¢ $76 -$6 10-29 16:18
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +60 $46 85¢ $51 +$5 06-24 20:16
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +100 $48 46¢ $46 -$2 10-29 11:40
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +60 $41 66¢ $40 -$1 10-31 16:29
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +40 $23 95¢ $38 +$15 06-21 09:03
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +50 $34 72¢ $36 +$2 10-27 16:39
ink fdv above 100m one day after launch No +37 $11 86¢ $32 +$21 06-15 08:22
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +50 $23 46¢ $23 $0 10-31 03:59
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? Yes +30 $20 66¢ $20 $0 10-28 02:01
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +20 $17 94¢ $19 +$2 10-28 20:42
will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026 No +20 $18 94¢ $19 +$1 06-21 16:58
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +20 $16 84¢ $17 +$1 10-27 09:08
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +20 $15 83¢ $17 +$2 10-29 09:12
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +20 $15 78¢ $16 +$0 06-17 21:56
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +20 $12 56¢ $11 -$1 10-11 21:10
Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election? Yes +80 $13 13¢ $10 -$2 10-30 00:19
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? Yes +10 $8 94¢ $9 +$1 10-30 16:38
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +60 $14 15¢ $9 -$5 06-24 20:17
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +6 $4 94¢ $6 +$2 06-30 02:33
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +37 $27 14¢ $5 -$21 06-15 08:17
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +20 $5 22¢ $4 $0 06-17 21:56
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +50 $4 6¢ $3 -$1 10-30 13:24
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $18 5¢ $2 -$15 06-21 09:36
will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026 Yes +20 $6 6¢ $1 -$4 06-20 07:14
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $2 6¢ $0 -$2 06-22 09:18