Delectable-Alligator — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$525

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

69.2%

Resolved

175

Trades

554

lifetime

Volume

$37.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$68

Open exposure

$23

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 08-01 18:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 70 days

Categories

Other

87% 35% +$472

Sports

7% 29% -$11

Crypto

5% 56% +$155

Tech

1% 0% -$73

Politics

0% 12% -$16

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-01).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes		-242	-$28	10¢	$-23	+$5	05-03 20:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?	11	$3.0K	2,089	2,089	+0	Yes	+$1,034	05-11 19:15
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?	6	$3.0K	1,982	1,982	+0	No	+$151	05-22 17:49
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	21	$2.7K	2,037	2,037	+0	Yes	+$147	05-19 15:51
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 61m?	6	$2.1K	1,257	1,257	+0	Yes	+$340	05-28 08:14
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$1.7K	4,932	5,115	-183	No	-$25	06-06 14:36
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	4	$1.5K	1,450	1,450	+0	Yes	+$173	05-26 14:54
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	4	$1.1K	1,053	1,053	+0	No	-$270	05-29 13:33
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?	4	$1.1K	672	672	+0	Yes	+$271	05-18 19:56
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?	6	$1.1K	659	659	+0	Yes	+$260	05-04 19:33
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 12.5m and 13.5m?	6	$1.0K	630	630	+0	Yes	+$225	05-26 20:40
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	2	$984	683	683	+0	No	-$25	06-02 06:52
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?	16	$950	804	804	+0	Yes	-$10	05-29 20:58
Will "Michael" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?	11	$806	572	572	+0	Yes	+$183	05-24 01:38
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	2	$771	391	391	+0	No	+$11	05-09 16:04
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	3	$767	538	538	+0	Yes	+$307	05-09 16:03
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	2	$701	549	549	+0	Yes	+$101	05-06 14:01
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?	6	$688	400	400	+0	Yes	+$104	05-27 13:33
Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?	10	$665	775	775	+0	Yes	+$16	05-30 11:39
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 31m?	4	$570	1,135	67	+1,068	No	-$560	05-29 02:59
Will "Obsession" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?	7	$473	288	288	+0	Yes	+$69	06-28 18:39
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?	2	$463	262	262	+0	Yes	+$49	06-22 09:37
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?	4	$461	284	284	+0	Yes	+$66	07-18 13:30
Will MrBeast's next video get between 51 and 52 million views on day 3?	7	$425	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$425	05-19 15:05
Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?	4	$422	669	669	+0	Yes	-$58	07-10 14:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 19:45 UTC	2	$402	208	208	+0	Down	+$6	02-05 19:57
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	3	$377	218	218	+0	Yes	+$33	07-07 17:52
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	4	$368	309	309	+0	No	-$2	05-22 07:01
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 51 million views on day 3?	6	$350	700	0	+700	Yes	-$350	05-19 15:15
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	15	$309	900	900	+0	No	+$17	05-26 13:45
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?	2	$308	10,525	0	+10,525	No	-$308	06-01 19:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 18:05:44	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?	No	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x8bc56a…
07-28 09:51:19	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	940	0¢	$2	0x446fd5…
07-25 15:39:01	Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?	Yes	BUY	81	12¢	$10	0xbe6dd0…
07-25 15:22:48	Will "Moana" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x4a0496…
07-25 15:22:48	Will "Moana" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x26f573…
07-25 09:22:04	Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 74m and 80m?	Yes	SELL	75	2¢	$1	0xe9abf1…
07-24 12:53:55	Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 74m and 80m?	Yes	BUY	75	27¢	$20	0x2e2d9a…
07-19 20:15:19	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0x17806e…
07-18 14:56:37	Will "Minions & Monsters" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least 14m?	No	SELL	125	36¢	$46	0x08a80a…
07-18 13:30:36	Will "Minions & Monsters" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least 14m?	No	BUY	46	43¢	$20	0x7fdc09…
07-18 13:30:16	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?	Yes	SELL	206	98¢	$201	0x2378a6…
07-18 11:59:18	Will "Minions & Monsters" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least 14m?	No	BUY	79	44¢	$35	0x62ee50…
07-18 07:05:03	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?	Yes	SELL	174	21¢	$37	0xb02a3f…
07-17 19:04:30	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?	Yes	BUY	206	72¢	$148	0x09e05a…
07-17 15:13:34	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?	Yes	BUY	80	36¢	$29	0xbc0f2b…
07-17 07:12:21	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?	Yes	BUY	94	11¢	$10	0x5d0628…
07-16 12:02:46	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?	Yes	SELL	78	80¢	$62	0xab9df7…
07-16 06:49:28	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?	Yes	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x18ad74…
07-16 06:45:16	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	23	42¢	$10	0x6096a3…
07-15 18:32:53	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	23	20¢	$5	0xaea1eb…
07-15 18:32:23	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x5c4a3a…
07-15 18:30:49	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xcd1a0c…
07-14 18:30:47	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0xc4134d…
07-11 18:03:37	Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?	No	SELL	193	2¢	$5	0x92a3bb…
07-10 16:26:40	Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?	No	BUY	193	80¢	$154	0xda0ce6…
07-10 14:55:02	Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?	No	SELL	324	7¢	$23	0x79dc31…
07-10 12:35:25	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	260	18¢	$47	0xe6ef48…
07-09 06:25:26	Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 44m?	No	SELL	120	71¢	$85	0x55fe26…
07-09 05:37:37	Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?	No	BUY	324	43¢	$140	0x9d86b5…
07-08 18:01:47	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	154	19¢	$30	0xc9f547…
07-08 13:49:40	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	106	19¢	$20	0x854633…
07-08 13:49:04	Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?	No	SELL	345	46¢	$160	0x9e786f…
07-07 18:27:22	Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 44m?	No	BUY	73	48¢	$35	0xeb7cf3…
07-07 18:25:34	Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?	No	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0xc0700f…
07-07 17:52:16	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	218	94¢	$205	0xdcec9b…
07-07 17:15:02	Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 44m?	No	BUY	41	42¢	$17	0x80804d…
07-07 15:41:14	Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 44m?	No	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0xa8172d…
07-07 07:19:14	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	22	79¢	$17	0x85b741…
07-07 07:01:04	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	196	79¢	$155	0x54a315…
07-06 11:44:28	Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?	Yes	BUY	644	2¢	$10	0xfc2313…
07-05 18:53:05	Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m?	Yes	SELL	110	77¢	$85	0x2fc015…
07-05 17:57:31	Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m?	Yes	BUY	110	63¢	$69	0x09492c…
07-05 15:36:22	Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?	Yes	SELL	400	46¢	$182	0xf79712…
07-05 15:09:44	Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?	Yes	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x732d87…
07-05 15:09:25	Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 18m?	Yes	SELL	388	2¢	$7	0x382140…
07-05 15:09:07	Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?	Yes	BUY	26	65¢	$17	0x70d7a8…
07-04 17:31:52	Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?	Yes	BUY	363	21¢	$77	0x31d9fa…
07-04 17:31:37	Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 18m?	Yes	BUY	388	18¢	$70	0x38b785…
07-02 13:23:05	Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?	Yes	SELL	54	32¢	$18	0xe29dd2…
07-02 13:10:59	Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?	Yes	BUY	54	25¢	$14	0x6024d1…
07-02 04:22:38	Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 95m?	Yes	SELL	472	1¢	$6	0x0b607e…
07-02 04:22:31	Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 95m?	Yes	SELL	197	4¢	$7	0x0acc26…
07-01 19:53:43	Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 95m?	Yes	BUY	72	7¢	$5	0xcfbb4a…
07-01 19:53:25	Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 95m?	Yes	SELL	243	2¢	$5	0x4b9f94…
06-30 11:52:46	Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 95m?	Yes	BUY	571	8¢	$45	0x14b6e9…
06-30 11:39:59	Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?	No	SELL	72	64¢	$46	0xa2b205…
06-30 08:18:31	Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?	No	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0x34efd2…
06-30 08:07:26	Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?	No	BUY	47	61¢	$29	0x82fddb…
06-30 08:06:38	Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 95m?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x17e944…
06-30 08:06:31	Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 95m?	Yes	BUY	145	7¢	$10	0xb4ddc9…
06-28 18:39:04	Will "Obsession" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?	Yes	SELL	145	93¢	$135	0x66bacc…
06-28 18:25:49	Will "Obsession" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?	Yes	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0xe40ed8…
06-28 18:10:53	Will "Obsession" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xff6686…
06-28 16:47:55	Will "Obsession" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x6dab97…
06-28 16:20:46	Will "Obsession" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?	Yes	SELL	63	95¢	$60	0x031934…
06-28 15:15:08	Will "Obsession" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?	Yes	SELL	65	95¢	$62	0x10dd1c…
06-27 17:39:29	Will "Obsession" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?	Yes	BUY	288	70¢	$202	0xa56700…
06-25 08:44:34	Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x525e63…
06-24 18:16:11	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x5005ff…
06-24 18:13:01	Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xd219d2…
06-23 11:40:47	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xf2e6ae…
06-22 19:32:29	Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	46	43¢	$20	0x5522b8…
06-22 09:37:08	Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?	Yes	SELL	262	98¢	$256	0x97201b…
06-21 15:22:02	Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?	Yes	BUY	262	79¢	$207	0x49d4b7…
06-19 18:29:34	Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?	Yes	BUY	34	56¢	$19	0x43bb37…
06-19 18:29:07	Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?	Yes	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0x7a03b0…
06-19 18:28:25	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,000	1¢	$6	0xbac639…
06-19 18:28:16	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	400	1¢	$6	0x8f0625…
06-19 18:27:17	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	492	6¢	$29	0x9b2c4a…
06-18 15:57:47	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	368	8¢	$29	0xf22e9c…
06-16 10:04:07	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	108	6¢	$7	0xb563c8…
06-16 10:03:57	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	32	11¢	$3	0xfb3be9…
06-15 19:27:30	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	600	6¢	$38	0x040983…
06-15 19:26:43	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$9	0x5dcd23…
06-15 19:26:06	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$6	0xf6ad84…
06-15 19:25:13	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	400	11¢	$43	0x3b9578…
06-13 14:09:52	Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?	Yes	SELL	156	72¢	$112	0xff34fd…
06-13 06:35:37	Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?	Yes	BUY	156	68¢	$107	0xa7dbb1…
06-13 06:34:51	Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?	Yes	SELL	500	14¢	$68	0x715c88…
06-12 13:33:22	Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?	Yes	BUY	28	33¢	$9	0x735e23…
06-12 13:28:16	Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x02c313…
06-12 13:24:28	Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?	Yes	BUY	55	33¢	$18	0x69c6a9…
06-12 13:24:28	Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?	Yes	BUY	65	33¢	$21	0x5f1b4b…
06-12 13:24:28	Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x1dfe84…
06-12 13:20:43	Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?	Yes	BUY	11	33¢	$4	0xd612f3…
06-12 13:20:13	Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?	Yes	BUY	284	33¢	$94	0x51e4d9…
06-12 13:20:12	Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xf01107…
06-12 13:20:12	Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x83115d…
06-09 21:01:00	will passenger opening weekend box office be between 12pt5m and 14m	No	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0x8769ae…
06-09 21:00:34	will passenger opening weekend box office be between 12pt5m and 14m	No	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x05a730…