Demanding-Rust — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.6%

Resolved

Trades

2,089

lifetime

Volume

$117.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 21:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

76% 0% $-57

Politics

24% 100% +$43

Crypto

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 145 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	349	$23.4K	14,717	9,717	+5,000	open	—	08-09 09:55
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	17	$8.2K	1,003	7,773	-6,770	open	—	07-15 11:00
netanyahu out by march 31 854	22	$4.8K	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	03-29 02:53
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	10	$4.6K	2,300	2,500	-200	open	—	05-23 17:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	76	$4.3K	3,500	3,453	+47	Yes	+$43	03-13 17:13
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be greater than 200m	74	$3.8K	2,225	2,225	+0	open	—	04-04 11:02
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	6	$3.7K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	04-13 04:22
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$3.1K	1,700	1,700	+0	open	—	04-07 12:27
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	5	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	01-06 22:28
will scream 7 opening weekend box office be between 45m and 50m	45	$2.7K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	03-01 00:21
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	4	$2.6K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	07-18 13:22
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	48	$2.5K	2,010	2,110	-100	open	—	03-29 00:37
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	12	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	02-09 00:49
us forces enter iran by march 7	15	$2.4K	1,250	1,450	-200	open	—	03-08 03:29
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	67	$2.3K	1,954	2,033	-79	open	—	05-27 07:26
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	40	$2.2K	1,750	1,600	+150	open	—	01-30 04:45
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	17	$2.0K	1,406	1,406	+0	open	—	03-15 16:09
will scream 7 opening weekend box office be between 40m and 45m	17	$1.9K	1,001	1,001	+0	open	—	02-27 08:28
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	21	$1.8K	1,005	1,025	-20	open	—	01-30 09:33
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	45	$1.8K	2,200	2,200	+0	open	—	04-07 20:19
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	16	$1.7K	1,590	300	+1,290	open	—	02-28 23:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	26	$1.5K	1,680	1,700	-20	open	—	04-18 11:03
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	44	$1.3K	1,150	1,180	-30	open	—	02-18 20:35
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	2	$1.2K	721	721	+0	open	—	06-25 14:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	26	$1.1K	2,100	1,991	+109	open	—	05-28 06:50
will seguro win all of portugals districts	9	$1.0K	550	550	+0	open	—	02-08 22:51
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	29	$999	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	04-06 07:38
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	16	$986	1,027	1,027	+0	open	—	03-29 01:50
will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 34m and 37m	20	$949	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-20 09:25
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	11	$934	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	04-01 23:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 21:53:10	will the gta 6 extended look be at least 8 minutes long 20260807064756491	Yes	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x38b529…
08-09 09:55:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1,001	96¢	$964	0x0cfec5…
08-08 13:50:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0xf29216…
08-07 15:39:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	220	84¢	$185	0x9309f0…
08-06 19:25:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x378e50…
08-06 12:38:00	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	SELL	150	26¢	$39	0x323fe4…
08-06 12:03:12	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	91	20¢	$18	0x45919d…
08-06 12:02:54	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x644078…
08-06 12:00:59	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	26	20¢	$5	0xb9ca58…
08-06 11:57:38	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	200	37¢	$74	0x37f558…
08-06 11:06:30	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x5715be…
08-06 09:50:32	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xc5eb5a…
08-06 00:32:26	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0xcf9068…
08-05 23:12:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	95	38¢	$36	0x0b6862…
08-05 23:11:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	105	38¢	$40	0x587517…
08-05 22:34:23	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	SELL	79	23¢	$18	0xf4e403…
08-04 06:42:11	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0xa58f42…
08-04 06:42:11	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0xa0609b…
08-04 06:42:11	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0x719c24…
08-04 06:41:41	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xe66a18…
08-04 06:41:41	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xc1acb8…
08-04 06:41:39	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x936308…
08-04 06:41:26	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0x39311f…
08-04 06:40:48	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xf5152b…
08-04 06:40:48	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x7f2a74…
08-04 06:40:20	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0xdc7f78…
08-04 06:40:20	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0x569334…
08-04 06:40:20	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0x318d59…
08-04 06:40:06	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0xbb814a…
08-04 06:40:05	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0xb4a27c…
08-04 06:40:03	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0x68793d…
08-04 06:39:50	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0xd37661…
08-04 06:39:50	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0x410183…
08-04 06:39:48	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0x7928d2…
08-04 06:39:32	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x9c5810…
08-04 06:39:32	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x09ed14…
08-04 06:39:32	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x0581e3…
08-04 06:39:09	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0xfac6cc…
08-04 06:39:09	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0x3ec2c2…
08-04 06:39:08	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0xbeb75e…
08-04 06:38:51	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0x789d74…
08-04 06:38:50	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0xd88cb4…
08-04 06:32:45	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	SELL	26	19¢	$5	0x69a702…
08-03 12:53:44	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	21	16¢	$3	0x99cfe1…
08-03 06:36:23	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x5fbe52…
08-02 16:39:18	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x2494f4…
08-01 16:33:21	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	64	20¢	$13	0x3813ea…
07-31 09:42:36	another gta vi trailer released by july 31 20260629155922032	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0xf3b889…
07-31 07:06:18	another gta vi trailer released by july 31 20260629155922032	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xe1bf56…
07-31 00:48:41	another gta vi trailer released by july 31 20260629155922032	Yes	BUY	923	2¢	$20	0x96f0c6…
07-30 22:42:03	another gta vi trailer released by july 31 20260629155922032	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x8a43f0…
07-30 09:14:26	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0xb99065…
07-30 03:45:08	another gta vi trailer released by july 31 20260629155922032	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x2067ba…
07-30 03:31:57	another gta vi trailer released by july 31 20260629155922032	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xf80355…
07-30 03:18:53	another gta vi trailer released by july 31 20260629155922032	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0xe81d78…
07-30 02:54:12	another gta vi trailer released by july 31 20260629155922032	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0xbd72b4…
07-30 02:47:38	another gta vi trailer released by july 31 20260629155922032	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0xa2f73b…
07-30 02:25:50	another gta vi trailer released by july 31 20260629155922032	Yes	BUY	25	9¢	$2	0x634427…
07-28 17:09:26	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	19¢	$2	0x8f4f24…
07-18 13:22:30	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	1,000	87¢	$870	0xbc6bcb…
07-15 11:00:01	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	SELL	1,001	98¢	$976	0x8b1e89…
07-15 05:54:10	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x10d0b7…
07-15 05:14:10	Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?	Yes	SELL	110	18¢	$20	0x596727…
07-12 12:51:25	Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?	Yes	BUY	71	12¢	$9	0x4f4d26…
07-12 09:48:52	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	3,677	96¢	$3,544	0xb85f8f…
07-12 09:37:53	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x92d32b…
07-12 09:37:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x494c02…
07-12 09:31:53	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x655f93…
07-12 09:31:04	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf46fb4…
07-12 09:25:44	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf8e49e…
07-12 09:24:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9ec418…
07-12 09:22:01	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x58d779…
07-12 09:18:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x0007b8…
07-12 00:23:55	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	3,717	97¢	$3,598	0x5926a6…
07-07 18:17:14	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	1,426	87¢	$1,241	0x540d6d…
07-06 21:07:47	Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?	Yes	BUY	39	12¢	$5	0x84a0dd…
07-06 13:45:02	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	6,000	96¢	$5,772	0xcfd32c…
07-02 02:25:38	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	2,468	96¢	$2,379	0x8fdba9…
07-02 02:24:01	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x834a41…
07-02 02:20:17	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xdef86e…
07-02 02:20:14	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x306d3d…
07-02 02:17:04	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	9	96¢	$8	0xc8cded…
07-02 02:16:11	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xd62e46…
07-02 02:15:38	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x2c6467…
07-02 02:14:20	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x8577a2…
07-02 02:10:44	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x1b7ba5…
07-02 02:10:35	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x9f4c92…
07-02 02:09:17	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xc96a6a…
07-02 02:05:17	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xd1fe3b…
07-02 02:03:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x936404…
07-02 02:00:47	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x84bd9e…
07-02 01:59:28	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xc1428b…
07-02 01:59:02	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x35f2bd…
07-02 01:58:01	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x186e4f…
07-02 01:57:32	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x4641f0…
07-02 01:55:26	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x3a002f…
07-02 01:51:17	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x502184…
07-02 01:50:04	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x20f72a…
07-02 01:50:02	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x8f27bc…
07-02 01:49:05	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	9	96¢	$8	0xf3a686…