Demanding-Rust — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

-$85

Hit rate

96.6%

Resolved

Trades

2,030

lifetime

Volume

$115.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$57

Open exposure

$15.0K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-18 13:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

76% 0% $-57

Politics

24% 100% +$43

Crypto

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 145 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	-6,770	$-6,351	98¢	$-6604	$-253	07-15 11:00
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	+6,001	$5,588	96¢	$5.8K	+$176	07-12 09:48
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	+3,000	$2,604	86¢	$2.6K	$-9	07-18 13:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	348	$22.4K	14,717	8,716	+6,001	open	—	07-12 09:48
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	17	$8.2K	1,003	7,773	-6,770	open	—	07-15 11:00
netanyahu out by march 31 854	22	$4.8K	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	03-29 02:53
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	10	$4.6K	2,300	2,500	-200	open	—	05-23 17:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	76	$4.3K	3,500	3,453	+47	Yes	+$43	03-13 17:13
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be greater than 200m	74	$3.8K	2,225	2,225	+0	open	—	04-04 11:02
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	6	$3.7K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	04-13 04:22
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$3.1K	1,700	1,700	+0	open	—	04-07 12:27
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	5	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	01-06 22:28
will scream 7 opening weekend box office be between 45m and 50m	45	$2.7K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	03-01 00:21
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	4	$2.6K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	07-18 13:22
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	48	$2.5K	2,010	2,110	-100	open	—	03-29 00:37
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	12	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	02-09 00:49
us forces enter iran by march 7	15	$2.4K	1,250	1,450	-200	open	—	03-08 03:29
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	67	$2.3K	1,954	2,033	-79	open	—	05-27 07:26
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	40	$2.2K	1,750	1,600	+150	open	—	01-30 04:45
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	17	$2.0K	1,406	1,406	+0	open	—	03-15 16:09
will scream 7 opening weekend box office be between 40m and 45m	17	$1.9K	1,001	1,001	+0	open	—	02-27 08:28
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	21	$1.8K	1,005	1,025	-20	open	—	01-30 09:33
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	45	$1.8K	2,200	2,200	+0	open	—	04-07 20:19
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	16	$1.7K	1,590	300	+1,290	open	—	02-28 23:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	26	$1.5K	1,680	1,700	-20	open	—	04-18 11:03
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	44	$1.3K	1,150	1,180	-30	open	—	02-18 20:35
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	2	$1.2K	721	721	+0	open	—	06-25 14:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	26	$1.1K	2,100	1,991	+109	open	—	05-28 06:50
will seguro win all of portugals districts	9	$1.0K	550	550	+0	open	—	02-08 22:51
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	29	$999	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	04-06 07:38
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	16	$986	1,027	1,027	+0	open	—	03-29 01:50
will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 34m and 37m	20	$949	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-20 09:25
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	11	$934	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	04-01 23:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 13:22:30	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	1,000	87¢	$870	0xbc6bcb…
07-15 11:00:01	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	SELL	1,001	98¢	$976	0x8b1e89…
07-15 05:54:10	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x10d0b7…
07-15 05:14:10	Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?	Yes	SELL	110	18¢	$20	0x596727…
07-12 12:51:25	Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?	Yes	BUY	71	12¢	$9	0x4f4d26…
07-12 09:48:52	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	3,677	96¢	$3,544	0xb85f8f…
07-12 09:37:53	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x92d32b…
07-12 09:37:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x494c02…
07-12 09:31:53	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x655f93…
07-12 09:31:04	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf46fb4…
07-12 09:25:44	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf8e49e…
07-12 09:24:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9ec418…
07-12 09:22:01	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x58d779…
07-12 09:18:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x0007b8…
07-12 00:23:55	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	3,717	97¢	$3,598	0x5926a6…
07-07 18:17:14	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	1,426	87¢	$1,241	0x540d6d…
07-06 21:07:47	Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?	Yes	BUY	39	12¢	$5	0x84a0dd…
07-06 13:45:02	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	6,000	96¢	$5,772	0xcfd32c…
07-02 02:25:38	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	2,468	96¢	$2,379	0x8fdba9…
07-02 02:24:01	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x834a41…
07-02 02:20:17	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xdef86e…
07-02 02:20:14	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x306d3d…
07-02 02:17:04	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	9	96¢	$8	0xc8cded…
07-02 02:16:11	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xd62e46…
07-02 02:15:38	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x2c6467…
07-02 02:14:20	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x8577a2…
07-02 02:10:44	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x1b7ba5…
07-02 02:10:35	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x9f4c92…
07-02 02:09:17	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xc96a6a…
07-02 02:05:17	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xd1fe3b…
07-02 02:03:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x936404…
07-02 02:00:47	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x84bd9e…
07-02 01:59:28	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xc1428b…
07-02 01:59:02	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x35f2bd…
07-02 01:58:01	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x186e4f…
07-02 01:57:32	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x4641f0…
07-02 01:55:26	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x3a002f…
07-02 01:51:17	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x502184…
07-02 01:50:04	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x20f72a…
07-02 01:50:02	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x8f27bc…
07-02 01:49:05	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	9	96¢	$8	0xf3a686…
07-02 01:44:32	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	14	96¢	$14	0x99e3f1…
07-02 01:43:14	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xaa907c…
07-02 01:43:01	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xbb4bd5…
07-02 01:42:56	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x974809…
07-02 01:40:17	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0xb4214f…
07-02 01:39:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x693a90…
07-02 01:39:17	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x7f4a15…
07-02 01:39:08	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x01d543…
07-02 01:37:52	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	45	96¢	$43	0x090ac8…
07-02 01:37:34	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x3c4df3…
07-02 01:35:29	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x11ed59…
07-02 01:34:50	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xb3a0e7…
07-02 01:34:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xc41397…
07-02 01:34:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x99ded8…
07-02 01:34:35	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x550cd8…
07-02 01:34:14	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x26947e…
07-02 01:33:07	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x85bb2f…
07-02 01:31:52	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	39	96¢	$38	0x564478…
07-02 01:30:58	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x3705d7…
07-02 01:29:26	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xd43a9a…
07-02 01:29:26	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x1cfce6…
07-02 01:28:22	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xc2a4c9…
07-02 01:25:34	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x8b6c89…
07-02 01:22:58	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x06355b…
07-02 01:22:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x5daaeb…
07-02 01:20:53	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x0e914f…
07-02 01:13:49	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xaae3af…
07-02 01:13:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x3c5718…
07-02 01:11:28	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x7a9325…
07-02 01:11:02	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x344bb0…
07-02 01:09:44	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xfefae6…
07-02 01:08:08	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xdf52d3…
07-02 01:03:28	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xfaaa5e…
07-02 01:02:32	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x80f727…
07-02 00:57:50	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x3fc3bd…
07-02 00:56:55	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x39d217…
07-02 00:55:35	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xa72d84…
07-02 00:53:22	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x5a415b…
07-02 00:46:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x700fa3…
07-02 00:45:20	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xf3a5d9…
07-02 00:42:05	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x64fe71…
07-02 00:41:56	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x6e0514…
07-02 00:41:04	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x57ffa8…
07-02 00:38:59	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x685bab…
07-02 00:36:28	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x2b3a72…
07-02 00:31:41	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x5d885c…
07-02 00:31:26	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x204a83…
07-02 00:31:22	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	9	96¢	$8	0xbca783…
07-02 00:31:19	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x2eec40…
07-02 00:30:55	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x328191…
07-02 00:30:19	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x81c929…
07-02 00:29:53	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9104cd…
07-02 00:29:49	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1850c7…
07-02 00:29:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x94d043…
07-02 00:29:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x5c5690…
07-02 00:29:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x352930…
07-02 00:29:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x874c25…
07-02 00:27:52	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x981e22…
07-02 00:27:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0841bd…