Demanding-Rust — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

-$66

Hit rate

96.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,759

lifetime

Volume

$94.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$54

Open exposure

$10.5K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-30 16:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

70% 0% $-57

Politics

29% 100% +$43

Crypto

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 85 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	-5,767	$-5,373	97¢	$-5608	$-235	06-23 19:07
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	+5,000	$4,650	96¢	$4.8K	+$167	06-09 08:28
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	+74	$63	86¢	$64	+$1	06-30 16:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	15	$7.2K	1,003	6,770	-5,767	open	—	06-23 19:07
netanyahu out by march 31 854	22	$4.8K	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	03-29 02:53
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	85	$4.6K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	06-09 08:28
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	10	$4.6K	2,300	2,500	-200	open	—	05-23 17:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	76	$4.3K	3,500	3,453	+47	Yes	+$43	03-13 17:13
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be greater than 200m	74	$3.8K	2,225	2,225	+0	open	—	04-04 11:02
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	6	$3.7K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	04-13 04:22
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$3.1K	1,700	1,700	+0	open	—	04-07 12:27
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	5	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	01-06 22:28
will scream 7 opening weekend box office be between 45m and 50m	45	$2.7K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	03-01 00:21
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	48	$2.5K	2,010	2,110	-100	open	—	03-29 00:37
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	12	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	02-09 00:49
us forces enter iran by march 7	15	$2.4K	1,250	1,450	-200	open	—	03-08 03:29
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	67	$2.3K	1,954	2,033	-79	open	—	05-27 07:26
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	40	$2.2K	1,750	1,600	+150	open	—	01-30 04:45
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	17	$2.0K	1,406	1,406	+0	open	—	03-15 16:09
will scream 7 opening weekend box office be between 40m and 45m	17	$1.9K	1,001	1,001	+0	open	—	02-27 08:28
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	21	$1.8K	1,005	1,025	-20	open	—	01-30 09:33
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	45	$1.8K	2,200	2,200	+0	open	—	04-07 20:19
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	16	$1.7K	1,590	300	+1,290	open	—	02-28 23:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	26	$1.5K	1,680	1,700	-20	open	—	04-18 11:03
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	44	$1.3K	1,150	1,180	-30	open	—	02-18 20:35
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	2	$1.2K	721	721	+0	open	—	06-25 14:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	26	$1.1K	2,100	1,991	+109	open	—	05-28 06:50
will seguro win all of portugals districts	9	$1.0K	550	550	+0	open	—	02-08 22:51
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	29	$999	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	04-06 07:38
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	16	$986	1,027	1,027	+0	open	—	03-29 01:50
will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 34m and 37m	20	$949	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-20 09:25
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	11	$934	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	04-01 23:46
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	27	$933	1,040	1,040	+0	open	—	04-12 10:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 16:23:19	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	74	85¢	$63	0xb095e1…
06-25 14:00:10	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	721	91¢	$656	0x733d34…
06-24 16:16:29	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	721	76¢	$548	0x521415…
06-23 19:07:55	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0xa7742e…
06-23 17:45:44	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	198	94¢	$187	0x5ebf35…
06-23 17:05:59	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	289	94¢	$271	0xcf1b6e…
06-22 16:07:01	another gta vi trailer released by june 30	No	SELL	89	27¢	$24	0xc842d8…
06-22 04:58:56	another gta vi trailer released by june 30	No	SELL	111	27¢	$30	0x66cef7…
06-19 14:34:59	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	160	90¢	$144	0xa9ebd9…
06-19 14:09:44	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xd9edf9…
06-19 12:42:14	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	90	90¢	$81	0x43256b…
06-19 12:35:10	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x3fef2a…
06-19 12:21:04	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x4b1735…
06-19 11:17:14	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x83795c…
06-19 10:01:43	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x91f8ee…
06-19 09:56:01	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	105	90¢	$94	0x922682…
06-19 09:40:53	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x2a9f1c…
06-19 08:53:23	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x62a0db…
06-19 07:48:11	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xe3762c…
06-18 13:34:50	another gta vi trailer released by june 30	No	BUY	23	42¢	$10	0x4a045f…
06-18 01:47:01	another gta vi trailer released by june 30	No	BUY	77	42¢	$32	0x8e9e5f…
06-17 12:32:50	another gta vi trailer released by june 30	No	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0xbea95b…
06-09 08:28:51	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	119	93¢	$111	0xbef44b…
06-09 08:28:48	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	149	93¢	$138	0x7e9bdb…
06-09 08:28:45	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	118	93¢	$110	0x906cb6…
06-09 08:28:45	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	146	93¢	$136	0x0e6029…
06-09 08:28:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	112	93¢	$104	0x406d68…
06-09 08:28:21	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0186c1…
06-09 08:26:36	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	91	93¢	$85	0xdf539e…
06-09 08:25:51	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	114	93¢	$106	0xf2396b…
06-09 08:25:48	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	110	93¢	$102	0xe61a80…
06-09 08:25:45	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	62	93¢	$57	0x839260…
06-09 08:25:45	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	129	93¢	$120	0x11f7cb…
06-09 08:25:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	154	93¢	$143	0x7a06e6…
06-09 08:25:42	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	154	93¢	$143	0x0fcf47…
06-09 08:25:40	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	122	93¢	$113	0x5771e6…
06-09 08:25:39	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	142	93¢	$132	0xb930c4…
06-09 08:25:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	109	93¢	$102	0xe97eb0…
06-09 08:25:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	120	93¢	$112	0x08941e…
06-09 08:25:36	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	114	93¢	$106	0x4852e4…
06-09 08:25:03	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x2ae177…
06-09 08:23:36	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xdfb274…
06-09 08:23:07	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	156	93¢	$145	0xd75440…
06-09 08:23:07	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	64	93¢	$60	0xd0cca0…
06-09 08:23:04	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	157	93¢	$146	0x563bcf…
06-09 08:23:01	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	122	93¢	$113	0x50e475…
06-09 08:19:54	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	61	93¢	$57	0xbb5c62…
06-09 08:19:19	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	140	93¢	$131	0x8e96ad…
06-09 08:19:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	115	93¢	$107	0x4d2331…
06-09 08:19:12	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe9a8e4…
06-09 08:19:12	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xe36764…
06-09 08:19:09	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xca5405…
06-09 08:19:09	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	136	93¢	$126	0x750599…
06-09 08:19:04	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	110	93¢	$102	0x3dc868…
06-09 08:19:00	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	122	93¢	$113	0xde8fce…
06-09 08:18:55	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	133	93¢	$123	0x7d73c9…
06-09 08:18:52	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	139	93¢	$129	0x173a34…
06-09 08:18:48	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	144	93¢	$134	0x853c73…
06-09 08:18:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x05d831…
06-09 08:18:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	148	93¢	$138	0x4532ef…
06-09 08:18:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	151	93¢	$141	0x1f132c…
06-09 08:17:31	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc7c8a0…
06-09 08:13:27	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	55	93¢	$52	0x9f8eee…
06-09 08:12:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xaf3399…
06-09 08:11:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	60	93¢	$56	0x50f106…
06-09 08:11:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x4b6b12…
06-09 08:09:25	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xb134eb…
06-09 08:08:54	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xec7fd4…
06-09 08:05:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x3e15fa…
06-09 08:05:06	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x8bdf76…
06-09 08:04:12	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x1be93d…
06-09 08:04:09	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	62	93¢	$58	0xfbb43c…
06-09 08:00:06	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	63	93¢	$59	0x680050…
06-09 07:59:15	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xafa061…
06-09 07:57:18	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x09f564…
06-09 07:55:48	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x186aa1…
06-09 07:55:04	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xcd41d4…
06-09 07:52:51	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	72	93¢	$67	0x7c2942…
06-09 07:52:27	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x1d64eb…
06-09 07:52:25	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0x68c4aa…
06-09 07:49:51	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x4098c5…
06-09 07:48:25	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0x2cc30f…
06-09 07:45:22	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0ed3ed…
06-09 07:42:31	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x3af333…
06-09 07:41:49	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x1347d7…
06-09 07:40:36	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xb9419d…
06-09 07:39:57	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0075ef…
06-09 07:36:57	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x9d36a4…
06-09 07:31:06	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x34573e…
06-09 07:30:40	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf36311…
06-09 07:29:27	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x081335…
06-09 07:29:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf6b8b6…
06-09 07:27:48	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x3ba57c…
06-09 07:24:19	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa22b3f…
06-09 07:21:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x814e1c…
06-09 07:21:06	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x39b338…
06-09 07:19:55	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xc6e86d…
06-09 07:19:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0xddf7aa…
06-09 07:19:25	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x3a88e2…
06-09 07:16:28	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xb39560…