Scaly-Television — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

54.6%

Resolved

Trades

244

lifetime

Volume

$16.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$67

Open exposure

$418

5 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 06-25 22:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

48% 0% $-0

Politics

34% — —

Sports

18% 100% +$0

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	+278	$271	100¢	$278	+$7	06-15 09:27
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	-189	$-132	74¢	$-140	$-8	06-05 06:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	+1	$2	56¢	$0	$-2	06-01 07:51
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	+1	$0	15¢	$0	$-0	06-23 14:56
Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	+1	$0	0¢	$0	$-0	06-12 11:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	13	$1.0K	1,024	736	+288	open	—	05-30 06:38
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	14	$994	991	991	+0	open	—	04-26 18:29
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	8	$872	453	453	+0	open	—	05-24 12:29
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	11	$644	411	411	+0	open	—	06-04 16:14
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	6	$590	383	383	+0	open	—	05-28 20:56
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	4	$566	302	302	+0	open	—	06-20 01:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	8	$550	605	605	+0	open	—	06-13 06:03
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	5	$536	402	402	+0	open	—	06-25 17:36
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	7	$521	550	550	+0	open	—	06-05 19:06
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	7	$421	460	460	+0	open	—	06-17 19:10
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	5	$399	196	385	-189	open	—	06-05 06:06
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	9	$357	648	648	+0	No	+$0	04-25 05:21
Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	2	$326	174	174	+0	open	—	03-25 19:45
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$321	166	166	+0	open	—	04-27 11:19
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	3	$317	160	160	+0	open	—	05-18 22:25
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	8	$299	575	297	+278	open	—	06-15 09:27
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$297	158	158	+0	Yes	$-0	04-20 12:40
will jordan spieth win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$297	151	151	+0	open	—	03-18 09:28
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	3	$297	150	150	+0	open	—	04-20 18:43
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$295	151	151	+0	open	—	04-10 13:20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	2	$295	151	151	+0	open	—	05-16 06:53
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$294	157	157	+0	open	—	04-21 03:49
Iran Nuke before 2027?	3	$294	162	162	+0	open	—	06-08 21:12
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	3	$293	151	151	+0	open	—	05-14 17:08
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$293	153	153	+0	open	—	04-21 15:07
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	2	$293	151	151	+0	open	—	06-25 22:59
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$292	150	150	+0	open	—	03-31 02:48
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	2	$291	160	160	+0	open	—	06-18 10:09
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	3	$290	147	147	+0	open	—	04-26 03:42
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	3	$289	148	148	+0	open	—	05-17 01:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 22:59:38	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	151	97¢	$146	0x8e1bfe…
06-25 22:58:50	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	151	97¢	$146	0x590b7b…
06-25 17:36:25	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	No	SELL	184	65¢	$120	0x235d65…
06-25 16:15:32	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	No	BUY	184	65¢	$120	0x221c41…
06-24 06:47:26	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	No	SELL	113	68¢	$77	0xa3667c…
06-24 06:47:26	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	No	SELL	105	68¢	$71	0x571b6d…
06-24 06:46:40	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	No	BUY	218	68¢	$148	0x5e3524…
06-23 14:56:47	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	SELL	79	20¢	$16	0x371b27…
06-23 14:56:47	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	20¢	$14	0x1f20d6…
06-23 12:27:26	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	20¢	$3	0x8db12e…
06-23 12:26:47	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	BUY	134	20¢	$27	0xb41bf0…
06-23 10:29:47	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	190	47¢	$89	0x4bdd54…
06-23 10:29:47	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	98	47¢	$46	0x43e248…
06-23 07:24:13	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	288	47¢	$135	0xb52acf…
06-20 22:50:22	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0x19866c…
06-20 20:36:20	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	127	11¢	$14	0xaac71a…
06-20 18:55:20	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	136	12¢	$16	0x8a72c7…
06-20 01:33:11	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	145	94¢	$136	0xc6efb8…
06-19 18:15:17	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	145	93¢	$135	0x5e5045…
06-18 17:49:10	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xe3ca87…
06-18 17:49:10	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	37	81¢	$30	0xd17c54…
06-18 17:49:01	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	31	81¢	$25	0xb7993b…
06-18 17:49:01	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	98	81¢	$79	0xa8c8db…
06-18 13:58:23	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	147	79¢	$116	0xcd8ff7…
06-18 13:58:23	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x3f58d1…
06-18 10:09:50	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	160	91¢	$146	0x647035…
06-18 10:09:04	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	160	91¢	$146	0xadc2a3…
06-18 05:10:07	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	134	90¢	$120	0x51f07f…
06-18 03:45:19	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	134	90¢	$120	0x641a55…
06-17 19:10:23	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	139	95¢	$132	0x8f28a7…
06-17 16:10:35	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	139	94¢	$131	0x5b3f12…
06-15 09:27:28	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x4ac20c…
06-15 07:57:57	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	BUY	99	98¢	$97	0x3658cf…
06-15 07:57:57	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0x04c76c…
06-13 20:17:06	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	Yes	SELL	293	3¢	$9	0x5c6825…
06-13 18:22:12	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	Yes	BUY	127	4¢	$4	0xcf3c46…
06-13 18:22:12	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x446179…
06-13 18:22:12	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	Yes	BUY	144	4¢	$5	0x3021f5…
06-13 14:00:09	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	BUY	149	97¢	$145	0x42656f…
06-13 06:03:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	132	51¢	$67	0x4bd5e3…
06-13 06:03:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	91	51¢	$46	0x22e9b8…
06-13 06:03:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	35	51¢	$18	0xca0e2c…
06-13 04:46:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	258	52¢	$134	0xa105b9…
06-12 20:55:36	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	157	94¢	$147	0x039f55…
06-12 19:18:45	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	157	94¢	$147	0x8b25ee…
06-12 11:40:07	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	72	2¢	$1	0xd3bf27…
06-12 10:06:33	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	153	2¢	$2	0x917415…
06-12 10:06:33	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	99	2¢	$2	0x6d38f1…
06-12 07:55:34	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	325	2¢	$5	0x9af1be…
06-11 01:09:01	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	117	98¢	$115	0xeecb99…
06-11 01:09:01	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	19	98¢	$19	0x578477…
06-10 19:24:27	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	136	98¢	$134	0x9e1d60…
06-10 11:16:39	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	313	5¢	$15	0x28cbe3…
06-10 09:35:43	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	313	4¢	$13	0x0aab57…
06-10 06:47:40	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	142	24¢	$34	0xd485e8…
06-10 06:47:40	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	166	24¢	$40	0x91dadf…
06-10 06:47:40	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	13	24¢	$3	0x40293f…
06-10 02:24:12	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	53	25¢	$13	0xd6e67e…
06-10 02:24:12	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	268	25¢	$67	0x9b0251…
06-09 20:53:03	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	138	98¢	$136	0x87a9a6…
06-09 19:24:00	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	138	98¢	$136	0x4c7520…
06-09 02:18:31	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	SELL	234	58¢	$136	0xae9edf…
06-08 22:22:00	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	234	57¢	$133	0x0ed3d9…
06-08 21:12:22	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	66	91¢	$60	0x4fb98e…
06-08 21:12:18	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	96	91¢	$87	0x168eac…
06-08 18:57:24	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	162	91¢	$147	0x1e3a11…
06-06 00:34:49	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	19	19¢	$4	0xeefb4e…
06-06 00:34:49	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	31	19¢	$6	0xe6e734…
06-06 00:34:49	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	44	19¢	$8	0xa0415e…
06-06 00:34:49	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	54	19¢	$10	0x517f77…
06-05 23:29:58	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	148	19¢	$28	0xfd0462…
06-05 19:06:33	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	203	45¢	$91	0x892dc8…
06-05 19:06:33	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	88	45¢	$40	0x3488a2…
06-05 17:01:54	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	106	45¢	$48	0xff9123…
06-05 17:01:54	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	185	45¢	$83	0xdedc39…
06-05 06:06:52	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	196	68¢	$133	0x2ffcbd…
06-05 00:55:39	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	87	68¢	$59	0xdc4652…
06-05 00:55:39	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	109	68¢	$74	0x41a845…
06-04 16:14:48	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	105	82¢	$86	0xf2542b…
06-04 16:14:48	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	57	82¢	$47	0x81f4fe…
06-04 12:31:09	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	162	80¢	$130	0x29c3a4…
06-01 07:51:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	204	56¢	$114	0x8f4822…
06-01 07:49:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xa6c185…
06-01 07:40:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xd2b0bd…
06-01 07:32:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0x6de130…
06-01 07:28:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x9546b8…
06-01 07:22:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0x5e5bf6…
06-01 07:22:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0x003288…
06-01 07:17:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	57¢	$1	0x2ffb8b…
06-01 07:17:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0x610db6…
06-01 07:13:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x3dd03a…
06-01 07:02:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	57¢	$8	0x07619d…
05-31 22:16:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xec7499…
05-31 22:16:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	251	57¢	$143	0x7fc573…
05-31 17:44:36	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	19	70¢	$13	0xae8f7d…
05-31 17:44:35	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	170	70¢	$119	0xb4187f…
05-31 14:06:26	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	79	79¢	$62	0xe5463d…
05-31 11:59:36	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	79	75¢	$59	0xb8f51b…
05-30 21:48:50	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	213	50¢	$106	0xd8cac9…
05-30 21:48:50	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	46	50¢	$23	0x7b4ccb…