Realized P&L (30d)
+$3.33K
Unrealized P&L
+$44
Hit rate
68.4%
Resolved (30d)
859
Trades (30d)
3,017
17,799 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$190.0K
$651.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$37
Open exposure
$813
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-11
last 11-08 05:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 149 days
Categories
Other
89% 52% +$5,923
Sports
11% 47% -$2,033
Politics
0% 64% +$117
Crypto
0% 44% -$94
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 411 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +68 $65 97¢ $66 +$2 11-01 20:45
Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +80 $64 80¢ $64 +$0 11-01 20:25
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +62 $61 98¢ $60 $0 11-07 23:59
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +60 $19 98¢ $59 +$40 11-02 12:53
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +59 $44 99¢ $59 +$14 11-02 06:44
Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat? Yes +43 $28 95¢ $41 +$13 11-04 07:53
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +43 $36 90¢ $39 +$3 11-03 18:49
Will "GTA VI: The Album" first week sales be at least 200k? No +47 $40 80¢ $38 -$3 11-07 17:45
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +47 $30 76¢ $36 +$5 10-31 14:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +35 $32 96¢ $33 +$1 10-29 21:56
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +140 $30 20¢ $27 -$2 11-07 21:19
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? No +102 $17 22¢ $22 +$5 11-07 17:56
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +22 $13 98¢ $21 +$8 11-07 07:20
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 31, 2027? No +88 $19 22¢ $20 +$0 11-07 17:55
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in November? No +27 $18 72¢ $19 +$1 11-07 17:51
Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 8.30 ft MLLW or more? Yes +38 $27 51¢ $19 -$8 11-07 17:57
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No +18 $14 97¢ $18 +$4 10-30 14:40
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026? No +35 $19 50¢ $17 -$1 11-07 17:44
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +39 $14 42¢ $16 +$2 11-06 21:09
Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%? No +23 $17 68¢ $16 -$1 11-07 17:52
Will "GTA VI: The Album" first week sales be at least 25k? No +156 $18 10¢ $15 -$3 11-07 17:47
New Zealand Election: Any Bloc Wins a Majority? No +50 $42 30¢ $15 -$28 11-07 17:50
Will "GTA VI: The Album" first week sales be at least 100k? No +34 $22 41¢ $14 -$9 11-07 17:46
Will Intuit Q1 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B? No +21 $17 64¢ $13 -$3 11-02 17:47
Call of Duty: FaZe Vegas vs M80 Boston (BO5) - Monster Launch Invitational Group B FaZe Vegas +24 $13 55¢ $13 +$0 11-07 14:17
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +12 $9 98¢ $12 +$3 11-07 08:46
Will GTA VI break the 24-hour sales record? No +228 $14 5¢ $11 -$3 11-07 17:55
Israel military action against Lebanon on November 9? No +31 $9 34¢ $11 +$2 11-07 17:53
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $32.5B by November 30? No +11 $10 87¢ $10 $0 11-07 17:54
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? Yes +17 $5 43¢ $7 +$2 11-06 18:45