Realized P&L
+$3.51K
Unrealized P&L
+$38
Hit rate
68.9%
Resolved
1,647
Trades
18,147
lifetime
Volume
$658.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$1.39K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-11
last 11-13 23:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 155 days
Categories
Other
88% 52% +$5,865
Sports
11% 47% -$2,406
Politics
0% 65% +$143
Crypto
0% 45% -$94
Tech
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 411 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No +121 $114 94¢ $113 -$1 11-11 23:54
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +124 $107 86¢ $107 $0 11-09 18:00
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +222 $100 47¢ $105 +$5 11-09 16:14
Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election? Yes +100 $76 76¢ $77 +$1 11-12 13:11
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +76 $75 99¢ $75 +$1 11-10 17:53
Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +80 $64 90¢ $73 +$9 11-01 20:25
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +68 $65 98¢ $67 +$2 11-01 20:45
Will XRP dip to $0.80 in November? Yes +461 $67 14¢ $64 -$3 11-12 12:50
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +62 $61 98¢ $60 $0 11-07 23:59
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +60 $19 99¢ $60 +$40 11-02 12:53
Nuggets vs. Pelicans Pelicans +366 $62 16¢ $57 -$5 11-13 19:27
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +60 $52 92¢ $55 +$3 11-09 07:54
will the republicans win massachusetts in the 2028 presidential election No +49 $44 94¢ $46 +$1 11-11 23:53
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +51 $35 82¢ $42 +$7 11-10 16:56
Will "GTA VI: The Album" first week sales be at least 200k? No +47 $40 82¢ $39 -$2 11-07 17:45
Will the Democrats win California in the 2028 Presidential Election? Yes +41 $38 94¢ $38 +$0 11-11 23:13
will the democrats win oregon in the 2028 presidential election Yes +42 $41 88¢ $37 -$3 11-12 00:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +35 $32 97¢ $34 +$1 10-29 21:56
Will Centre Party win the most seats in the 2027 Estonian parliamentary election? Yes +70 $29 47¢ $33 +$4 11-11 21:17
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +140 $30 21¢ $29 -$1 11-07 21:19
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +22 $13 99¢ $22 +$8 11-07 07:20
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 31, 2027? No +88 $19 24¢ $22 +$2 11-07 17:55
Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 8.30 ft MLLW or more? Yes +38 $27 52¢ $20 -$7 11-07 17:57
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in November? No +27 $18 72¢ $19 +$1 11-07 17:51
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No +18 $14 96¢ $17 +$3 10-30 14:40
Hornets vs. Clippers Clippers +29 $17 58¢ $17 +$0 11-13 22:07
Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%? No +23 $17 71¢ $17 $0 11-07 17:52
New Zealand Election: Any Bloc Wins a Majority? No +50 $42 30¢ $15 -$27 11-07 17:50
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? No +102 $17 14¢ $14 -$3 11-07 17:56
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from November 13 to November 20, 2026? Yes +14 $12 92¢ $13 +$1 11-11 23:59