Realized P&L (90d)
+$617
Unrealized P&L
+$145
Hit rate
63.1%
Resolved (90d)
1,423
Trades (90d)
6,684
11,800 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$281.5K
$427.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$1.37K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-11
last 11-09 22:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 150 days
Categories
Other
89% 52% +$5,919
Sports
11% 48% -$2,067
Politics
0% 66% +$136
Crypto
0% 44% -$94
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 411 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Nuggets vs. Rockets Nuggets +532 $133 38¢ $205 +$72 11-09 05:51
Spread: Rockets (-8.5) Nuggets +259 $124 62¢ $162 +$37 11-09 16:37
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +124 $107 86¢ $107 $0 11-09 18:00
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +222 $100 45¢ $101 +$0 11-09 16:14
Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +80 $64 82¢ $66 +$3 11-01 20:25
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +68 $65 96¢ $66 +$1 11-01 20:45
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +62 $61 98¢ $61 $0 11-07 23:59
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +59 $44 99¢ $59 +$14 11-02 06:44
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +60 $19 98¢ $59 +$39 11-02 12:53
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +60 $52 92¢ $55 +$3 11-09 07:54
Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat? Yes +43 $28 95¢ $41 +$13 11-04 07:53
Will "GTA VI: The Album" first week sales be at least 200k? No +47 $40 80¢ $38 -$3 11-07 17:45
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +140 $30 26¢ $37 +$7 11-07 21:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +35 $32 95¢ $33 +$1 10-29 21:56
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies Nuggets +53 $32 60¢ $32 $0 11-09 19:18
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +47 $30 67¢ $31 +$1 10-31 14:44
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +22 $13 98¢ $21 +$8 11-07 07:20
Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 8.30 ft MLLW or more? Yes +38 $27 52¢ $20 -$7 11-07 17:57
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 31, 2027? No +88 $19 22¢ $20 +$0 11-07 17:55
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in November? No +27 $18 71¢ $19 +$1 11-07 17:51
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No +18 $14 97¢ $17 +$4 10-30 14:40
Will Hong Kong have 95mm or more of precipitation in November? No +19 $18 83¢ $16 -$3 11-07 17:48
Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%? No +23 $17 67¢ $16 -$1 11-07 17:52
New Zealand Election: Any Bloc Wins a Majority? No +50 $42 30¢ $15 -$27 11-07 17:50
Will Intuit Q1 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B? No +21 $17 64¢ $13 -$3 11-02 17:47
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +39 $14 32¢ $13 -$1 11-06 21:09
Will "GTA VI: The Album" first week sales be at least 25k? No +156 $18 8¢ $12 -$6 11-07 17:47
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +12 $9 98¢ $12 +$3 11-07 08:46
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? No +102 $17 11¢ $11 -$6 11-07 17:56
Will GTA VI break the 24-hour sales record? No +228 $14 5¢ $11 -$4 11-07 17:55