(anonymous) 0xfa2bd8…14bb8a
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Realized P&L (90d)
-$18
Unrealized P&L
-$17
Hit rate
13.8%
Resolved (90d)
4
Trades (90d)
30
30 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$145
$145 lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$26
10 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-15 08:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
82% 50% $-18
Other
18% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15? Yes -50 $-9 38¢ $-19 $-10 05-15 08:54
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +19 $5 16¢ $3 $-2 05-10 19:09
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? Yes -17 $-4 14¢ $-2 +$2 05-10 20:14
Will Putin visit China by May 31? No -34 $-2 2¢ $-1 +$1 05-14 21:49
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31? Yes +9 $2 6¢ $1 $-1 05-07 07:39
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? Yes +42 $5 1¢ $1 $-4 05-07 08:23
Iran closes its airspace by May 15? Yes -7 $-2 2¢ $-0 +$1 05-07 21:46
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? Yes +10 $5 1¢ $0 $-4 05-10 12:57
Starmer out by May 15, 2026? Yes -9 $-6 1¢ $-0 +$6 05-12 08:37
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? Yes +15 $5 0¢ $0 $-5 05-06 15:08