Realized P&L
-$0
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
42.2%
Resolved
3
Trades
85
lifetime
Volume
$2.75K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$773
7 positions
First seen
2026-02-10
last 05-30 10:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
56% 50% +$0
Politics
23% 0% $-0
Crypto
21%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -200 $-187 94¢ $-188 $-1 05-30 07:26
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No -140 $-136 97¢ $-136 +$0 05-30 07:26
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30? No +134 $132 99¢ $133 +$1 05-30 10:12
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No -100 $-99 100¢ $-100 $-1 05-30 07:26
Xi Jinping out by June 30? No -95 $-94 100¢ $-95 $-1 05-30 07:27
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -80 $-74 93¢ $-74 $-0 05-30 07:26
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +50 $46 95¢ $48 +$1 05-30 10:12