(anonymous) 0xfc1495…074fda Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$63
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
67.6%
Resolved
34
Trades
246
lifetime
Volume
$491
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$141
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-01
last 11-06 11:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Other
79% 40% -$59
Politics
12% 50% +$5
Tech
8% 20% -$8
Crypto
1% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? Yes +60 $22 46¢ $28 +$6 11-05 22:24
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%? Yes +190 $9 11¢ $21 +$12 10-27 19:29
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +13 $10 88¢ $11 +$1 09-01 18:40
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +12 $10 88¢ $11 +$1 09-01 20:42
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $9 72¢ $7 -$2 10-31 12:04
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%? No +10 $5 68¢ $7 +$1 10-27 13:21
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? Yes +10 $6 56¢ $6 +$0 11-04 21:57
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +6 $5 97¢ $6 +$1 09-01 15:21
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +22 $7 24¢ $6 -$1 10-28 03:52
Will South African inflation be between 4.7% and 5.0% in 2026? Yes +10 $2 42¢ $4 +$2 11-04 12:57
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 76¢ $4 +$1 10-29 14:36
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T? Yes +15 $9 22¢ $3 -$6 11-06 06:23
Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between -0.3% and -0.1%? No +5 $3 60¢ $3 +$0 10-31 14:32
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be less than $1.25T? Yes +41 $1 7¢ $3 +$2 11-06 11:47
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $2 57¢ $3 +$1 10-29 14:37
Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be less than -0.3%? No +5 $4 52¢ $3 -$1 10-30 09:37
Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%? Yes +59 $4 3¢ $2 -$2 10-30 16:21
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? Yes +15 $3 13¢ $2 -$1 11-04 18:22
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%? Yes +151 $6 1¢ $2 -$4 09-04 11:04
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? Yes +10 $3 14¢ $1 -$1 11-04 18:10
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +10 $1 12¢ $1 $0 11-05 16:45
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +5 $1 22¢ $1 $0 10-29 16:23
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 09-04 16:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +10 $1 10¢ $1 +$0 11-06 04:46
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +10 $1 9¢ $1 +$0 11-05 08:23
Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%? Yes +20 $5 4¢ $1 -$4 10-30 16:25
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? No +7 $2 12¢ $1 -$1 10-28 15:09
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +11 $1 7¢ $1 $0 11-05 09:37
Will South African inflation be between 4.1% and 4.4% in 2026? Yes +36 $1 2¢ $1 $0 11-05 01:33
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +10 $1 6¢ $1 +$0 11-05 05:55