Realized P&L
-$26
Unrealized P&L
-$18
Hit rate
59.1%
Resolved
6
Trades
199
lifetime
Volume
$964
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$13
7 positions
First seen
2026-03-26
last 06-16 22:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
55%
Crypto
37% 50% $-26
Other
8%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +40 $11 18¢ $7 $-4 06-14 21:32
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $3 $3 $-0 06-07 21:43
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +40 $11 $2 $-9 06-14 21:26
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +18 $5 $1 $-4 06-08 10:39
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? Yes +27 $1 $0 $-1 06-07 21:36
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes +23 $1 $0 $-1 06-07 21:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -21 $-1 $-0 +$1 06-15 04:11