Mellow-Fingernail — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$33

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 07-09 00:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

29% — —

Sports

24% 50% $-1

Other

23% 100% +$1

Crypto

21% — —

Pop-Culture

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	3	$7	33	0	+33	open	—	05-16 03:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-01 06:39
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Raptors vs. Cavaliers	1	$3	24	0	+24	open	—	05-01 08:00
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	2	$2	250	250	+0	open	—	05-16 03:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$2	5	5	+0	open	—	05-16 03:48
Will Comey smile in his mugshot?	2	$1	30	30	+0	open	—	05-16 03:47
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	1	$1	0	11	-11	open	—	07-09 00:01
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	2	$1	14	14	+0	open	—	05-16 03:33
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-01 07:58
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-08 21:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	05-01 06:41
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	05-01 08:05
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	05-01 08:00
Magic vs. Pistons	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	05-03 19:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	1	$1	17	0	+17	open	—	05-03 19:32
Lakers vs. Thunder	1	$1	8	0	+8	Thunder	$-1	05-06 07:30
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	05-01 06:47
Will Kanye tweet again by May 31?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	05-01 16:24
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Hurricanes vs. Flyers	1	$1	1	0	+1	Canes	+$0	05-01 16:23
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	1	$0	0	9	-9	open	—	07-09 00:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-09 00:01:17	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	11¢	$1	0x628605…
07-09 00:00:38	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0x15e716…
05-16 03:48:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xcf0fa0…
05-16 03:47:56	Will Comey smile in his mugshot?	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0x89ad44…
05-16 03:38:13	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x332b58…
05-16 03:34:38	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0x00f1ad…
05-16 03:33:58	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x77eaa4…
05-10 11:48:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xcc7b92…
05-08 21:22:28	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x65e7a5…
05-06 07:30:28	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x0f9de6…
05-04 04:01:06	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x25f6f9…
05-03 19:33:02	Magic vs. Pistons	Magic	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x930fcd…
05-03 19:32:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x002c7d…
05-01 16:24:36	Will Kanye tweet again by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xf8d071…
05-01 16:23:24	NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Hurricanes vs. Flyers	Canes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x3abcb8…
05-01 16:20:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xf8a15f…
05-01 08:05:30	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x840653…
05-01 08:00:58	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	BUY	24	12¢	$3	0xa3925e…
05-01 08:00:14	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x3fafd8…
05-01 07:58:54	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x55987b…
05-01 06:48:26	Will Comey smile in his mugshot?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x10f6bb…
05-01 06:47:10	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x820ab0…
05-01 06:41:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xc9fd23…
05-01 06:40:46	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x1a4baa…
05-01 06:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x84964a…
05-01 06:37:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x38dbb8…