Realized P&L (90d)
-$9
Unrealized P&L
+$32
Hit rate
72.6%
Resolved (90d)
7
Trades (90d)
5
346 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$21
$1.42K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$133
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-29
last 08-17 04:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 89 days
Categories
Other
56% 55% +$141
Sports
23% 45% -$3
Politics
15% 21% +$3
Crypto
6% 36% -$21
Tech
0% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932 No +81 $60 88¢ $71 +$11 08-03 15:44
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +42 $10 65¢ $27 +$17 08-01 09:58
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +18 $5 89¢ $16 +$11 07-24 07:30
us government bans an open source ai model in 2026 20260703221501747 No +7 $5 96¢ $7 +$2 07-24 07:28
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +22 $15 23¢ $5 -$10 07-24 07:33
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes -36 -$4 8¢ $-3 +$1 07-28 04:54
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes +28 $5 8¢ $2 -$3 07-15 01:44
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -79 -$3 2¢ $-1 +$2 07-28 04:54
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026? Yes -17 -$1 2¢ $-0 +$1 07-24 07:35