Realized P&L
+$118
Unrealized P&L
+$41
Hit rate
63.2%
Resolved
264
Trades
346
lifetime
Volume
$1.42K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$142
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-29
last 08-17 04:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 89 days
Categories
Other
56%
55%
+$141
Sports
23%
45%
-$3
Politics
15%
21%
+$3
Crypto
6%
36%
-$21
Tech
0%
0%
-$2
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-17).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932 | No | +81 | $60 | 90¢ | $73 | +$13 | 08-03 15:44 | |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | +42 | $10 | 87¢ | $36 | +$26 | 08-01 09:58 | |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? | No | +18 | $5 | 96¢ | $17 | +$12 | 07-24 07:30 | |
| us government bans an open source ai model in 2026 20260703221501747 | No | +7 | $5 | 96¢ | $7 | +$2 | 07-24 07:28 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | Yes | -36 | -$4 | 8¢ | $-3 | +$1 | 07-28 04:54 | |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | No | +22 | $15 | 12¢ | $2 | -$12 | 07-24 07:33 | |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? | Yes | +28 | $5 | 7¢ | $2 | -$3 | 07-15 01:44 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | -79 | -$3 | 1¢ | $-1 | +$2 | 07-28 04:54 | |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026? | Yes | -17 | -$1 | 2¢ | $-0 | +$1 | 07-24 07:35 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | 2 | $63 | 45 | 45 | +0 | Yes | +$13 | 08-03 06:15 |
| china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932 | 2 | $60 | 81 | 0 | +81 | open | — | 08-03 15:44 |
| will trump visit china by march 31 | 6 | $56 | 122 | 122 | +0 | No | +$38 | 03-23 01:42 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | 5 | $37 | 70 | 70 | +0 | No | +$15 | 03-27 00:54 |
| nba mil chi 2026 03 01 | 2 | $35 | 25 | 25 | +0 | Bulls | +$15 | 03-02 01:42 |
| cs2 tl1 pssnua 2026 03 01 | 2 | $24 | 17 | 17 | +0 | Passion UA | +$10 | 03-02 01:44 |
| us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191 | 2 | $23 | 15 | 15 | +0 | open | — | 08-16 07:36 |
| atp alcaraz zverev 2026 01 30 set handicap home 2pt5 | 2 | $22 | 17 | 17 | +0 | Zverev | +$12 | 01-30 12:31 |
| nba phi lal 2026 02 05 | 2 | $21 | 16 | 16 | +0 | Lakers | +$11 | 02-06 06:32 |
| deepseek v4 released by february 28 | 3 | $21 | 25 | 25 | +0 | No | +$1 | 02-16 03:23 |
| hok sygami ksg 2026 08 12 | 1 | $20 | 26 | 0 | +26 | SYGaming | -$20 | 08-06 03:47 |
| lol wb al 2026 03 05 game handicap home 1pt5 | 2 | $19 | 14 | 14 | +0 | Weibo Gaming | +$9 | 03-05 14:39 |
| bitcoin up or down february 15 7am et | 4 | $18 | 25 | 25 | +0 | Down | -$2 | 02-15 12:50 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | 3 | $17 | 40 | 9 | +31 | Yes | -$9 | 04-07 14:52 |
| hok wol ksg 2026 03 18 | 3 | $17 | 10 | 10 | +0 | Wolves | +$3 | 03-18 15:42 |
| nba mil was 2026 01 29 | 2 | $16 | 11 | 11 | +0 | Wizards | +$6 | 01-30 04:19 |
| Will Trump visit China by June 30? | 4 | $16 | 32 | 32 | +0 | Yes | $0 | 03-26 03:54 |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | 1 | $15 | 22 | 0 | +22 | open | — | 07-24 07:33 |
| nba bkn mia 2026 03 03 spread home 13pt5 | 2 | $15 | 10 | 10 | +0 | Heat | +$5 | 03-04 04:14 |
| nba sas lac 2026 03 16 spread away 8pt5 | 2 | $13 | 10 | 10 | +0 | Clippers | +$7 | 03-17 04:59 |
| nba gsw hou 2026 03 05 | 2 | $12 | 9 | 9 | +0 | Warriors | +$6 | 03-06 03:45 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | 2 | $12 | 14 | 14 | +0 | Yes | +$2 | 03-18 02:02 |
| will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 | 2 | $12 | 11 | 11 | +0 | Yes | +$2 | 03-03 05:38 |
| nba den uta 2026 03 02 | 2 | $10 | 25 | 25 | +0 | Nuggets | +$0 | 03-03 04:13 |
| hok wol agsp 2026 03 21 | 1 | $10 | 15 | 0 | +15 | Wolves | +$5 | 03-17 07:50 |
| nba cle bkn 2026 03 01 total 222pt5 | 1 | $10 | 19 | 0 | +19 | Under | -$10 | 03-01 11:46 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by December 31? | 1 | $10 | 33 | 0 | +33 | Yes | -$10 | 03-18 02:01 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | 1 | $10 | 42 | 0 | +42 | open | — | 08-01 09:58 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | 1 | $10 | 26 | 0 | +26 | Yes | -$10 | 03-07 03:02 |
| nba okc sas 2026 02 04 | 2 | $10 | 39 | 0 | +39 | Spurs | -$10 | 02-05 02:52 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||