Distinct-Ignorant — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

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Unrealized P&L

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Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

477 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$25.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

$52

Open exposure

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0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 08-18 22:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Sports

76% 0% -$13

Crypto

24% 34% -$982

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Other

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-18).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$6.6K	3,303	3,303	+0	No	-$3	05-17 01:20
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	2	$6.4K	3,216	3,216	+0	No	-$3	05-17 01:49
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$6.0K	3,003	3,003	+0	No	-$3	05-16 22:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7PM ET	3	$296	200	200	+0	Up	+$100	05-16 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	2	$290	800	0	+800	Up	-$290	05-10 22:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	2	$278	200	200	+0	Up	+$118	05-13 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	12	$276	200	200	+0	Up	+$120	05-11 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	3	$270	200	200	+0	Up	+$130	05-12 19:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3PM ET	5	$174	410	0	+410	Up	-$174	05-09 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	8	$170	500	0	+500	Down	-$170	05-09 20:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4PM ET	5	$160	120	120	+0	Down	+$78	05-10 20:33
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 12PM ET	2	$147	100	100	+0	Down	+$51	05-09 16:56
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 2PM ET	5	$144	300	300	+0	Up	-$88	05-09 18:27
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	5	$139	100	100	+0	Down	+$59	05-09 16:29
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	6	$130	100	100	+0	Down	+$50	05-09 16:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5PM ET	4	$129	100	100	+0	Up	+$69	05-12 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	3	$121	81	81	+0	Up	+$40	05-13 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	2	$119	80	80	+0	Up	+$39	05-13 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6PM ET	2	$100	200	0	+200	Up	-$100	05-10 20:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	1	$100	400	0	+400	Down	-$100	05-11 23:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6PM ET	2	$87	60	60	+0	Up	+$28	05-13 22:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12PM ET	1	$80	200	0	+200	Down	-$80	05-12 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	2	$80	200	0	+200	Up	+$120	05-10 01:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3PM ET	13	$80	200	0	+200	Up	-$80	05-10 19:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5PM ET	11	$79	60	60	+0	Up	+$40	05-16 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11AM ET	2	$70	200	0	+200	Down	-$70	05-12 15:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2PM ET	13	$70	200	0	+200	Down	-$70	05-10 18:18
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 4PM ET	2	$70	50	50	+0	Down	+$30	05-10 20:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3PM ET	3	$68	200	0	+200	Up	-$68	05-09 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	5	$65	83	43	+40	Up	+$21	05-13 20:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-18 22:09:54	will ethereum reach 3000 in august 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7402f5…
08-18 22:09:42	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x29db3b…
07-27 17:29:34	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5b101b…
06-12 13:17:39	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x4aa3f0…
06-12 13:17:22	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xde6771…
06-12 13:17:03	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Spurs	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x144243…
05-26 14:24:10	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc98f66…
05-26 14:22:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x2676ca…
05-26 14:22:23	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xfedb66…
05-17 01:49:04	Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	3,216	99¢	$3,197	0xce4a3e…
05-17 01:36:52	Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	3,216	100¢	$3,200	0xd336f0…
05-17 01:20:53	Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	3,303	100¢	$3,297	0x0ee90c…
05-17 01:08:30	Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	3,303	100¢	$3,300	0x0ed3ab…
05-16 23:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xdc75bd…
05-16 23:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x248eea…
05-16 23:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0xca98e0…
05-16 23:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xb29e2c…
05-16 23:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0xbe108b…
05-16 23:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x58ca41…
05-16 23:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x2fe274…
05-16 23:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x8c0662…
05-16 23:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x91cf10…
05-16 23:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x03690e…
05-16 23:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	32¢	$0	0xd6f87e…
05-16 23:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x899861…
05-16 23:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$1	0x5e6d4c…
05-16 23:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x396279…
05-16 22:56:55	Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	3,003	100¢	$2,997	0xa51f9e…
05-16 22:46:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x3e8307…
05-16 22:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xd0cf07…
05-16 22:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	2	22¢	$1	0x3351d7…
05-16 22:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0xcdef98…
05-16 22:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	13	22¢	$3	0xeb9a18…
05-16 22:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xcc54d3…
05-16 22:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x65539e…
05-16 22:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0x324a02…
05-16 22:44:25	Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	3,003	100¢	$3,000	0x599d42…
05-16 22:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xc9edb6…
05-16 22:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0x03c6a5…
05-16 21:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xb95fb1…
05-16 21:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x92d88a…
05-16 21:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x7a81f5…
05-16 21:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x3533a3…
05-16 21:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x18a502…
05-16 21:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xbcf19b…
05-16 21:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x44c11e…
05-16 21:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	22	33¢	$7	0x1ec56c…
05-16 21:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xf78326…
05-16 21:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x2a8fef…
05-16 21:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x98b485…
05-16 21:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x9217c5…
05-16 20:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x07bc7a…
05-16 20:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	50	29¢	$15	0x1f9ea0…
05-16 20:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0x726baf…
05-16 20:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xe396ad…
05-16 20:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x23cf48…
05-16 20:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x0aba1f…
05-16 20:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xfe4e97…
05-16 20:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x24f187…
05-16 20:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xccb4c5…
05-16 20:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x8fc1ed…
05-16 20:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x06b409…
05-16 20:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x567203…
05-16 19:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	76	3¢	$2	0x0d9088…
05-16 19:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xaeafc7…
05-16 19:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	57	3¢	$2	0xfeb040…
05-16 19:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	65	10¢	$7	0xa9ab11…
05-16 19:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	35	10¢	$3	0x5ffb79…
05-16 19:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x8cae96…
05-16 19:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x42d5bf…
05-16 19:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xe58001…
05-16 19:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x8890cd…
05-16 19:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x44db3d…
05-16 19:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x213bd6…
05-16 19:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x2fd9f3…
05-16 03:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xb6d642…
05-16 00:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0xb1360a…
05-15 23:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xf04d59…
05-15 23:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0xdeb0d6…
05-15 23:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	160	49¢	$78	0x4fb6ff…
05-15 22:37:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0x692658…
05-15 21:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x8e8194…
05-15 21:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xff510a…
05-15 21:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xf9369f…
05-15 21:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xaac49d…
05-15 21:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x00e0b5…
05-15 21:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	40¢	$7	0xc87584…
05-15 21:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$1	0x7a9020…
05-15 21:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xce84ef…
05-15 21:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xfbd14c…
05-15 21:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$1	0xaf0d2f…
05-15 21:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$3	0x8c6dce…
05-15 21:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xfc9855…
05-15 21:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	60	49¢	$29	0xd54b20…
05-15 21:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xbc9137…
05-15 21:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0x9baf58…
05-15 21:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x987bd8…
05-15 20:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x335678…
05-15 20:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x6f5394…
05-15 20:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	65	40¢	$26	0x5fc718…