Showy-Plastic 0xfd8a21…ddf8e2
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$551
Unrealized P&L
+$25
Hit rate
73.7%
Resolved
869
Trades
3,839
lifetime
Volume
$19.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$143
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-29
last 08-15 11:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 121 days
Categories
Other
79% 59% +$218
Sports
14% 71% +$227
Politics
6% 69% +$56
Tech
2% 81% +$54
Crypto
0% 0% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31 Yes +80 $5 20¢ $16 +$11 07-14 12:58
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +18 $13 85¢ $15 +$2 07-21 19:11
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +14 $7 96¢ $14 +$6 07-09 23:00
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +22 $12 61¢ $14 +$1 08-11 01:13
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +12 $9 82¢ $10 +$1 08-04 13:54
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +9 $5 94¢ $8 +$3 07-13 19:49
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +9 $8 98¢ $8 +$1 06-28 04:32
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +7 $7 97¢ $7 +$0 07-08 18:36
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 Yes +8 $6 86¢ $7 +$1 07-07 18:00
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +6 $4 92¢ $6 +$2 07-21 10:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +6 $3 88¢ $5 +$2 08-12 14:48
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +37 $5 10¢ $4 -$2 07-26 20:25
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +4 $3 89¢ $3 +$0 07-29 17:34
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +4 $3 86¢ $3 $0 08-05 11:10
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes +7 $2 38¢ $3 +$1 07-08 16:02
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 06-27 01:42
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +2 $2 84¢ $2 +$0 07-20 23:45
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 06-16 00:07
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +2 $1 89¢ $2 +$0 07-23 19:29
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +2 $1 97¢ $2 +$0 05-01 16:30
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +8 $2 18¢ $1 $0 05-12 00:27
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169 Yes +5 $1 26¢ $1 +$1 07-09 22:00
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +2 $1 83¢ $1 +$0 06-16 04:36
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes +1 $1 93¢ $1 +$0 05-09 18:21
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 06-21 15:16
us government removes public access to a major chinese ai model in 2026 20260703203328223 Yes +7 $2 16¢ $1 -$1 07-10 15:48
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +3 $1 31¢ $1 $0 07-09 00:21
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? No +5 $4 14¢ $1 -$3 08-02 23:44
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? No +5 $3 11¢ $1 -$2 07-15 15:14
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +6 $2 8¢ $0 -$1 05-29 16:24