Realized P&L
+$27
Unrealized P&L
-$26
Hit rate
81.0%
Resolved
39
Trades
1,475
lifetime
Volume
$7.58K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$56
18 positions
First seen
2026-04-29
last 07-23 06:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Other
59% 60% +$4
Sports
25% 75% +$17
Politics
13% 71% +$6
Tech
3%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +14 $7 80¢ $12 +$4 07-09 23:00
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +8 $8 92¢ $8 +$0 06-28 04:32
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +7 $7 95¢ $7 +$0 07-08 18:36
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +9 $5 62¢ $6 +$0 07-13 19:49
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +6 $4 70¢ $4 $-0 07-21 16:09
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +4 $2 66¢ $3 +$0 06-15 08:47
Will the Philadelphia Phillies clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes +3 $2 86¢ $2 +$0 07-13 18:58
Will the Chicago Cubs clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes +3 $2 76¢ $2 +$0 07-13 19:06
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? Yes +6 $2 38¢ $2 +$0 07-06 15:05
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 06-27 01:42
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +2 $2 86¢ $2 +$0 06-16 00:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +3 $1 50¢ $2 +$0 07-15 15:12
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +8 $2 20¢ $2 $-0 07-08 16:00
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +6 $2 24¢ $1 $-0 05-29 16:24
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +3 $2 34¢ $1 $-1 06-15 23:24
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +2 $1 29¢ $1 $-0 05-31 10:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +59 $28 $1 $-28 06-26 20:32
Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5 Under +2 $2 $0 $-2 06-02 17:53