Realized P&L (30d)
-$14
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved (30d)
3
Trades (30d)
0
3,839 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$0
$19.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$125
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-29
last 08-15 11:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 123 days
Categories
Other
79% 59% +$218
Sports
14% 71% +$227
Politics
6% 68% +$55
Tech
2% 79% +$42
Crypto
0% 0% -$4
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-15).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +18 $13 94¢ $16 +$3 07-21 19:11
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +14 $7 98¢ $14 +$7 07-09 23:00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +12 $9 92¢ $11 +$2 08-04 13:54
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +9 $5 97¢ $9 +$3 07-13 19:49
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +9 $8 98¢ $8 +$1 06-28 04:32
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 Yes +8 $6 98¢ $8 +$2 07-07 18:00
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +7 $7 98¢ $7 +$0 07-08 18:36
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +6 $4 92¢ $6 +$2 07-21 10:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +6 $3 94¢ $5 +$3 08-12 14:48
will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31 Yes +80 $5 6¢ $5 $0 07-14 12:58
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +37 $5 9¢ $3 -$2 07-26 20:25
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +4 $3 90¢ $3 +$0 07-29 17:34
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +4 $3 86¢ $3 $0 08-05 11:10
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +22 $12 11¢ $2 -$10 08-11 01:13
Will Guadalajara win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? No +3 $2 78¢ $2 $0 08-04 22:14
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes +7 $2 29¢ $2 $0 07-08 16:02
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 06-27 01:42
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 06-16 00:07
will the grand theft auto vi ps5 launch price be at least 80 20260618224014046 No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 06-26 08:03
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +2 $2 82¢ $2 +$0 07-20 23:45
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +2 $1 94¢ $2 +$0 07-23 19:29
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +2 $1 98¢ $2 +$0 05-01 16:30
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +2 $1 82¢ $1 $0 06-16 04:36
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 05-09 18:21
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-21 15:16
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +8 $2 13¢ $1 $0 05-12 00:27
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169 Yes +5 $1 8¢ $0 $0 07-09 22:00
us government removes public access to a major chinese ai model in 2026 20260703203328223 Yes +7 $2 6¢ $0 -$1 07-10 15:48
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +6 $2 6¢ $0 -$1 05-29 16:24
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? No +5 $3 6¢ $0 -$3 07-15 15:14