Realized P&L
+$21
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
48
lifetime
Volume
$71
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$16
10 positions
First seen
2026-04-26
last 06-04 20:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
64% 100% +$21
Other
36%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -5 $-4 88¢ $-4 $-0 05-29 14:20
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -5 $-4 76¢ $-4 +$0 05-29 22:41
Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026? Yes -5 $-4 54¢ $-3 +$1 06-02 09:41
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -5 $-1 31¢ $-2 $-0 05-29 14:04
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -10 $-2 12¢ $-1 +$0 05-31 00:24
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes -5 $-1 23¢ $-1 +$0 05-31 15:19
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -10 $-2 10¢ $-1 +$1 05-29 16:55
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes -2 $-0 16¢ $-0 +$0 06-04 20:39
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-04 20:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-1 $-0 +$1 05-29 14:28