Realized P&L
+$350
Unrealized P&L
-$26
Hit rate
82.3%
Resolved
1,064
Trades
1,400
lifetime
Volume
$20.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$184
29 positions
First seen
2026-06-14
last 11-01 21:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 96 days
Categories
Other
62% 52% +$56
Sports
36% 69% +$287
Politics
1% 33% -$31
Crypto
0% 90% +$38
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +24 $20 82¢ $20 $0 09-13 00:05
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +20 $15 64¢ $13 -$2 09-27 21:25
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +12 $10 87¢ $11 +$1 10-12 21:59
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +11 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 06-14 11:50
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +11 $10 96¢ $10 +$0 06-14 11:55
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-03? Yes +13 $10 78¢ $10 $0 11-01 20:56
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +24 $10 32¢ $8 -$2 06-14 11:57
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +11 $6 70¢ $8 +$2 09-09 21:52
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +20 $5 38¢ $8 +$3 10-06 08:43
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +45 $5 15¢ $7 +$2 07-15 22:21
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +26 $10 24¢ $6 -$4 10-12 21:59
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +6 $5 94¢ $6 +$1 09-27 21:25
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +42 $5 14¢ $6 +$1 07-15 22:21
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-11-03? Yes +11 $5 48¢ $5 +$0 11-01 21:01
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 09-13 00:04
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +6 $5 84¢ $5 +$0 09-13 00:04
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +6 $5 86¢ $5 $0 11-01 13:16
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +8 $5 64¢ $5 $0 11-01 13:13
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +83 $15 6¢ $5 -$10 06-28 19:55
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +7 $5 63¢ $5 $0 11-01 13:13
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +6 $5 68¢ $4 -$1 11-01 13:16
Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? Yes +8 $5 54¢ $4 -$1 09-09 21:41
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? Yes +7 $5 66¢ $4 -$1 11-01 13:15
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +18 $10 24¢ $4 -$6 06-14 11:49
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +8 $5 46¢ $4 -$1 11-01 13:13
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $5 36¢ $4 -$1 11-01 13:14
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +29 $5 6¢ $2 -$3 06-14 11:50
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 Yes +12 $3 11¢ $1 -$2 06-28 19:57
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +7 $1 9¢ $1 $0 06-14 11:56