Realized P&L (30d)
-$81
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
59.5%
Resolved (30d)
280
Trades (30d)
308
1,404 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$1.68K
$20.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$143
20 positions
First seen
2026-06-14
last 11-03 17:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 98 days
Categories
Other
62% 52% +$68
Sports
36% 69% +$287
Politics
1% 29% -$72
Crypto
0% 90% +$38
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +24 $20 86¢ $21 +$1 09-13 00:05
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +12 $10 100¢ $12 +$2 10-12 21:59
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +20 $15 59¢ $12 -$3 09-27 21:25
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +11 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 06-14 11:50
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +11 $10 97¢ $10 +$0 06-14 11:55
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04? Yes +13 $10 80¢ $10 +$0 11-01 20:56
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04? Yes +13 $10 80¢ $10 +$0 11-03 17:45
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +24 $10 32¢ $8 -$2 06-14 11:57
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +11 $6 70¢ $8 +$2 09-09 21:52
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +45 $5 15¢ $7 +$2 07-15 22:21
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +42 $5 15¢ $6 +$1 07-15 22:21
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +6 $5 90¢ $6 +$1 09-27 21:25
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +20 $5 29¢ $6 +$1 10-06 08:43
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 09-13 00:04
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +6 $5 84¢ $5 +$0 09-13 00:04
Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? Yes +8 $5 53¢ $4 -$1 09-09 21:41
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 Yes +12 $3 10¢ $1 -$2 06-28 19:57
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +6 $5 12¢ $1 -$4 11-01 13:16
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +7 $1 8¢ $1 $0 06-14 11:56
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? Yes +7 $5 2¢ $0 -$5 11-01 13:15