Realized P&L
+$321
Unrealized P&L
-$10
Hit rate
82.1%
Resolved
1,080
Trades
1,404
lifetime
Volume
$20.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$140
20 positions
First seen
2026-06-14
last 11-03 17:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 98 days
Categories
Other
62% 52% +$68
Sports
36% 69% +$287
Politics
1% 29% -$72
Crypto
0% 90% +$38
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +24 $20 88¢ $21 +$1 09-13 00:05
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +12 $10 100¢ $12 +$2 10-12 21:59
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +11 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 06-14 11:50
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +11 $10 97¢ $10 +$0 06-14 11:55
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04? Yes +13 $10 80¢ $10 +$0 11-01 20:56
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04? Yes +13 $10 80¢ $10 +$0 11-03 17:45
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +20 $15 44¢ $9 -$6 09-27 21:25
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +24 $10 32¢ $8 -$2 06-14 11:57
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +11 $6 70¢ $8 +$2 09-09 21:52
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +20 $5 32¢ $6 +$1 10-06 08:43
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +45 $5 14¢ $6 +$1 07-15 22:21
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +42 $5 15¢ $6 +$1 07-15 22:21
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +6 $5 86¢ $6 +$1 09-27 21:25
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 09-13 00:04
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +6 $5 85¢ $5 +$0 09-13 00:04
Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? Yes +8 $5 53¢ $4 -$1 09-09 21:41
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 Yes +12 $3 10¢ $1 -$2 06-28 19:57
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +7 $1 9¢ $1 $0 06-14 11:56
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +6 $5 7¢ $0 -$5 11-01 13:16
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? Yes +7 $5 1¢ $0 -$5 11-01 13:15