Unique-Person — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11.6K

Unrealized P&L

+$739

Hit rate

55.3%

Resolved

189

Trades

1,818

lifetime

Volume

$86.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$47

Open exposure

$6.02K

13 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 09-11 06:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 88 days

Categories

Other

83% 34% -$13,967

Politics

14% 28% +$2,289

Sports

3% 31% +$321

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$200

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (13) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	Yes	-1,970	-$1,696	96¢	$-1895	-$199	08-28 16:50
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	No	+1,754	$1,155	90¢	$1.6K	+$415	09-07 00:36
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	+1,678	$649	88¢	$1.5K	+$819	08-24 11:01
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Yes	+620	$260	88¢	$542	+$283	08-26 20:34
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	+200	$60	87¢	$174	+$114	07-26 20:08
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	+400	$205	30¢	$122	-$83	09-06 17:26
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+100	$25	80¢	$80	+$54	07-09 09:33
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	No	+1,000	$130	5¢	$46	-$84	07-10 09:39
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+2,750	$583	1¢	$40	-$544	08-18 08:13
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?	Yes	+700	$32	5¢	$35	+$3	09-05 22:17
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	Yes	+214	$45	11¢	$23	-$23	07-09 21:13
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+500	$45	4¢	$18	-$27	08-22 09:30
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?	Yes	-78	-$13	6¢	$-4	+$9	07-11 23:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
atp alcaraz zverev 2026 01 30	68	$10.4K	8,329	8,329	+0	Alcaraz	+$285	01-30 11:11
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	24	$7.2K	5,254	3,500	+1,754	open	—	09-07 00:36
Fed rate hike in 2026?	58	$5.6K	13,500	0	+13,500	Yes	-$5,559	09-09 01:21
atp alcaraz djokovi 2026 02 01	39	$5.5K	10,125	5,825	+4,301	Alcaraz	+$1,050	02-01 11:47
atp alcaraz zverev 2026 01 30 first set winner Alcaraz vs Zverev	47	$5.4K	3,214	3,214	+0	Alcaraz	+$1,005	01-30 04:36
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	16	$2.8K	3,793	0	+3,793	Yes	+$989	05-07 02:52
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	28	$2.4K	3,800	0	+3,800	No	-$2,393	09-04 11:03
trump deploys active duty troops to minnesota by jan 31 472	6	$2.1K	1,200	1,000	+200	No	+$46	01-30 12:09
will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt0 and 5pt5	17	$2.0K	2,538	0	+2,538	Yes	-$1,988	04-15 01:48
atp djokovi sinner 2026 01 30 set handicap away 2pt5	17	$1.8K	2,466	0	+2,466	Djokovic	-$1,776	01-30 11:21
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	3	$1.7K	0	1,970	-1,970	open	—	08-28 16:50
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	81	$1.5K	3,589	3,000	+589	Yes	-$165	09-03 09:28
atp alcaraz zverev 2026 01 30 set totals 3pt5	42	$1.4K	2,093	1,293	+800	Over 3.5	-$295	01-30 07:06
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	11	$1.2K	1,650	0	+1,650	Yes	+$471	04-24 16:43
atp sinner djokovi 2026 07 08	15	$1.1K	3,200	1,400	+1,800	Jannik Sinner	+$75	07-10 17:16
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	5	$937	1,400	0	+1,400	No	-$937	04-18 14:52
wta eala zhen 2026 07 27	27	$898	1,150	999	+151	Alexandra Eala	-$116	07-28 19:30
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	29	$855	1,000	600	+400	Yes	+$725	02-01 08:37
Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	6	$849	280	1,230	-950	Yes	+$637	04-23 09:50
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?	1	$790	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$210	03-12 12:31
atp alcaraz zverev 2026 01 30 set handicap home 2pt5	17	$786	1,700	36	+1,664	Zverev	-$754	01-30 07:00
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	8	$734	1,050	850	+200	No	-$382	03-25 17:42
atp alcaraz djokovi 2026 02 01 set handicap home 1pt5	5	$729	1,582	0	+1,582	Alcaraz	+$854	02-01 09:49
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	6	$649	1,678	0	+1,678	open	—	08-24 11:01
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	4	$640	400	400	+0	open	—	07-10 15:32
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	1	$614	1,227	0	+1,227	Yes	-$614	06-25 14:03
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	27	$604	1,024	0	+1,024	No	+$420	05-11 18:25
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in April?	23	$590	1,020	420	+600	Yes	+$337	05-11 03:32
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	30	$583	2,750	0	+2,750	open	—	08-18 08:13
atp alcaraz zverev 2026 01 30 set handicap home 1pt5	9	$572	897	0	+897	Zverev	-$472	01-30 06:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-11 06:37:06	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in August?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xdfade3…
09-09 07:01:03	US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	60	55¢	$33	0x5e2a92…
09-09 06:57:18	US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x6aa9a5…
09-09 06:50:27	US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0xf95bb3…
09-09 06:30:58	US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x3a90b6…
09-09 01:21:00	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	273	29¢	$79	0x744172…
09-09 01:11:58	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x45d058…
09-08 18:46:46	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x2e1b72…
09-08 18:16:37	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xe6109e…
09-07 07:36:24	atp zverev darderi 2026 09 07	Luciano Darderi	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0xe0e733…
09-07 03:53:10	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in August?	Yes	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x13a70f…
09-07 00:36:57	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	No	SELL	54	89¢	$48	0x8757b5…
09-06 19:51:25	Will Alcaraz or Sinner win more Grand Slams in 2026?	Sinner	BUY	285	27¢	$77	0x98ec8a…
09-06 19:47:31	Will Alcaraz or Sinner win more Grand Slams in 2026?	Sinner	BUY	13	27¢	$4	0xe7ad6f…
09-06 17:26:36	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	200	49¢	$98	0x2f506e…
09-05 22:17:10	Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	4¢	$20	0x0228a7…
09-05 17:38:30	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August?	Yes	BUY	1	45¢	$1	0xb18b73…
09-05 17:34:57	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August?	Yes	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0xb84ed8…
09-05 17:34:55	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xab4153…
09-05 17:34:55	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x7b5149…
09-05 05:13:34	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06?	Yes	BUY	250	57¢	$142	0x418b79…
09-04 22:28:43	Will Alcaraz or Sinner win more Grand Slams in 2026?	Sinner	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x8646be…
09-04 15:00:33	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August?	Yes	BUY	58	46¢	$27	0xfab323…
09-04 15:00:31	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August?	Yes	BUY	42	46¢	$19	0xdf8778…
09-04 12:31:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	300	26¢	$78	0xb9af3a…
09-04 12:24:03	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in August?	Yes	SELL	69	14¢	$10	0x1e2fc3…
09-04 12:08:13	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	No	SELL	150	89¢	$134	0x543ff5…
09-04 11:03:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	34	57¢	$19	0xd8b220…
09-04 11:03:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$3	0x02d96a…
09-04 10:59:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xff3886…
09-04 10:11:33	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	300	22¢	$66	0x63d23f…
09-04 08:35:24	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0x994d86…
09-04 08:34:22	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x6a1eb2…
09-04 08:34:10	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	BUY	40	44¢	$18	0x98b328…
09-04 08:34:07	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xbf01d5…
09-04 08:18:09	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	BUY	198	44¢	$87	0x770c03…
09-04 08:18:07	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	BUY	36	44¢	$16	0x2c8529…
09-04 08:16:39	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	300	38¢	$114	0x387e15…
09-04 08:14:48	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in August?	Yes	SELL	32	8¢	$3	0xcb6fd6…
09-04 07:17:10	Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x1192da…
09-04 07:08:30	Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x744299…
09-04 05:21:33	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	No	SELL	296	89¢	$264	0xcfdd75…
09-04 05:13:16	atp wu alcaraz 2026 09 04	Yibing Wu	BUY	1,000	6¢	$60	0xfa6654…
09-04 00:32:31	Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	Yes	BUY	60	30¢	$18	0xb1440e…
09-04 00:31:09	Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x62a5de…
09-04 00:31:07	Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	Yes	BUY	52	30¢	$16	0xb76d70…
09-04 00:31:07	Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	Yes	BUY	23	30¢	$7	0x8a92f6…
09-03 11:32:10	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in August?	Yes	SELL	30	11¢	$3	0x02b540…
09-03 09:28:54	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	SELL	1,000	4¢	$40	0x13aa09…
09-03 07:57:43	atp wu alcaraz 2026 09 04	Yibing Wu	BUY	1,000	9¢	$90	0xb3bb30…
09-02 10:09:18	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in August?	Yes	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0x757ee2…
09-02 07:06:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	300	38¢	$114	0xe35509…
09-02 06:06:57	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August?	Yes	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x1db8c8…
09-01 18:55:49	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in August?	Yes	SELL	38	8¢	$3	0x69cd7d…
09-01 18:55:31	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in August?	Yes	SELL	81	11¢	$9	0x045897…
09-01 18:44:15	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in August?	Yes	SELL	19	8¢	$2	0x9baad8…
09-01 15:04:24	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0c92c4…
09-01 13:24:46	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in August?	Yes	SELL	89	11¢	$10	0x63ecae…
09-01 11:53:06	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xdaab2d…
09-01 08:58:19	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	No	SELL	380	88¢	$334	0x4f261d…
08-31 17:57:57	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	No	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0x88ec71…
08-31 13:54:45	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x038506…
08-31 02:21:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	150	46¢	$69	0x1cb9df…
08-30 05:04:55	Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xf9732b…
08-30 00:39:16	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x225dbf…
08-29 22:38:48	Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	Yes	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0x474185…
08-29 12:16:15	Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xdf981e…
08-29 12:14:31	Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x28699f…
08-29 04:56:04	Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	Yes	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0xf2ad70…
08-29 03:44:58	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	Yes	SELL	122	31¢	$38	0xe844a3…
08-29 03:44:57	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	Yes	SELL	178	31¢	$55	0x10a87e…
08-29 03:19:15	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	Yes	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0xa67da9…
08-29 03:13:06	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	Yes	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0xb36764…
08-29 03:05:16	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	Yes	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0xa39581…
08-29 02:23:19	Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	Yes	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x589be9…
08-29 00:47:37	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	Yes	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x1dd067…
08-29 00:45:01	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	Yes	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x60ed4d…
08-29 00:42:13	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	Yes	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0xe062ed…
08-29 00:42:13	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	Yes	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x5b0d4b…
08-29 00:30:51	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	Yes	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0xa5806e…
08-29 00:29:28	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	Yes	SELL	17	30¢	$5	0x5bc4f4…
08-29 00:29:27	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	Yes	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x2aba40…
08-29 00:15:18	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	Yes	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x1bf9ff…
08-29 00:13:00	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	Yes	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x0c2601…
08-28 23:30:06	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x08bc81…
08-28 22:18:10	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	Yes	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x47959a…
08-28 22:17:15	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	Yes	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x67942f…
08-28 22:05:36	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	Yes	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0xaab3e3…
08-28 22:05:04	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	Yes	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x1f926f…
08-28 21:57:39	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	Yes	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x856442…
08-28 21:55:13	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	Yes	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x3e568e…
08-28 21:47:12	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	Yes	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x05635e…
08-28 21:30:45	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	Yes	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x8ae174…
08-28 21:24:10	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	Yes	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x1bcaed…
08-28 21:22:55	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x0e18fb…
08-28 21:22:54	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August?	Yes	BUY	200	42¢	$84	0xb3b9c4…
08-28 21:12:46	Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	Yes	BUY	19	30¢	$6	0xbb78c3…
08-28 21:12:40	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	Yes	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x606f77…
08-28 21:12:13	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	Yes	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x706a37…
08-28 20:59:43	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	Yes	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x22cc24…